PA-Sen: Barletta is running (user search)
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  PA-Sen: Barletta is running (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA-Sen: Barletta is running  (Read 11665 times)
100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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Posts: 11,727


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


« on: December 04, 2016, 03:10:27 AM »

Charlie Dent would be a better fit to take on Casey.


Frankly, Charlie Dent isn't a significant improvement on Bob Casey.  I would rather lower our odds of winning slightly (I don't think it even would in a state with a pro-life tradition and a nominally pro-life Democratic candidate) for a chance at a real conservative.  It doesn't have to be a Freedom Caucus type, but it does have to be a solid conservative.  Why not Costello or Fitzpatrick?
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
Moderators
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,727


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


« Reply #1 on: December 04, 2016, 04:22:54 PM »

I don't see big difference between Dent and Costello, except on abortion issue (where i, naturally, prefer pro-choice position)
Costello is probably one of the twenty-five most moderate Republicans in the House, whereas Dent is probably in the top three(along with Ileana Ros-Lehtinehen and Richard Hanna).

Dold has to be more liberal than IRL, as does Freilinghuysen.  I know Dold is retiring.  In my opinion, if one is not pro-life, they are not a Republican or a conservative.
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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*****
Posts: 11,727


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


« Reply #2 on: February 07, 2017, 06:18:03 PM »

I've changed my list of most electable people:
1. Mike Fitzpatrick
2. Ryan Costello
3. Charlie Dent
4. Jim Cawley
5. Jake Corman
6. Mary Beth Buchanan

I would've put Dent at one or two tbh.

I disagree.  A pro-choice nominee will lose more social conservative votes than they would gain from suburban moderates, relative to an inoffensive pro-lifer like Costello or Fitzpatrick.
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
Moderators
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,727


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


« Reply #3 on: May 05, 2017, 04:51:18 PM »

Costello would probably be the strongest candidate, followed by Dent.

Costello has never faced a tough race before. He has not won in a 2006 or a 2008 in a 57% Obama district.

I am not saying he is a weak candidate, he probably should be on the list. But I wouldn't put him as number 1.

Costello's district is just like R+2 or something, but he's probably a pretty good fit for it.  Anyway, Dent is not a strong candidate because the pro-life vote is very influential in PA, and for every "socially liberal, fiscally conservative" vote he picks up in Lower Merion or Radnor, he will lose two votes to his nominally pro-life Democratic opponent.
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