Recount chances
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Poll
Question: What are the odds of Clinton winning at least one of the recount states (MI, WI, PA)?
#1
Less than 1%		  
#2
1%-2%		  
#3
2%-5%		  
#4
5%-10%		  
#5
10-20%		  
#6
20-30%		  
#7
30-40%		  
#8
40-50%		  
#9
50-60%		  
#10
60-70%		  
#11
70-80%		  
#12
80-90%		  
#13
90-95%		  
#14
95-98%		  
#15
98-99%		  
#16
More than 99%		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 51

Author Topic: Recount chances  (Read 1324 times)
Plankton5165
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« on: December 04, 2016, 09:41:03 PM »
It would also be nice if you tell me Hillary's chance of winning all three of them.
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Bigby
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« Reply #1 on: December 04, 2016, 09:41:39 PM »
It may as well be a negative number, since Trump is apparently making (tiny) gains over Hillary instead.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #2 on: December 04, 2016, 09:47:51 PM »
Nothing is going to change unless someone screwed with Milwaukee's absentee ballots on election day.
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bandg
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« Reply #3 on: December 04, 2016, 09:49:31 PM »
« Edited: December 04, 2016, 09:51:10 PM by bandg »
WI: 0%
MI: .0000000001%
PA: There will be no recount
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DPKdebator
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« Reply #4 on: December 04, 2016, 10:24:51 PM »
Quote from: Bigby on December 04, 2016, 09:41:39 PM
It may as well be a negative number, since Trump is apparently making (tiny) gains over Hillary instead.
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Lincoln Republican
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« Reply #5 on: December 04, 2016, 11:48:08 PM »
Less than zero.
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DPKdebator
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« Reply #6 on: December 05, 2016, 08:59:54 AM »
The margin is way too large for the recount to change the results. Anyone who thinks that any of these states will flip is incorrect.
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PresidentTRUMP
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« Reply #7 on: December 05, 2016, 10:50:12 AM »
0%
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zorkpolitics
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« Reply #8 on: December 05, 2016, 11:55:05 AM »
0.0000%
No statewide recount has ever resulted in changing a margin by 1000 votes, much less the 10,000+ needed in WI
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Nym90
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« Reply #9 on: December 05, 2016, 12:02:16 PM »
The only way the recounts change anything is if there was systematic fraud. I don't think anyone prominent on the left has stated otherwise.

So really the question at hand here is what the odds of the results have been systematically hacked are (and the odds that is discovered).

Given that we already know that one political party's servers/emails were systematically hacked in order to influence the election this year (an event which, bizarrely, didn't inspire national outrage among the entire country as opposed to only half the country), I think it's reasonable to put the odds around 5 percent, though I honestly have no way of knowing how to estimate this reliably.
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TomC
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« Reply #10 on: December 05, 2016, 12:27:51 PM »
Having correct counts, even if they don't overturn a state's winner, is in the interest of democracy. So, if mistakes or fraud are found, it was worth the effort.
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SUSAN CRUSHBONE
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« Reply #11 on: December 05, 2016, 02:07:00 PM »
unfortunately, recounts don't catch many of the methods by which an election can be tampered with
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FDRfan1985
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« Reply #12 on: December 05, 2016, 02:53:40 PM »
I think faithless electors has a better chance of flipping the election then a recount.
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Kolip1
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« Reply #13 on: December 05, 2016, 11:46:28 PM »
80-90%
The ELECTION is RIGGED
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