Senate Ratings and Predictions - Louisiana

[MT Treasurer]

Likely R (but closer to Safe than Lean), Kennedy wins 56/44. Potentially a missed opportunity for Democrats.

Kennedy 56% ✓
Campbell 44%

Current balance of power

Republicans 51 ✓  
Democrats 48

Undecided 1

[NeverAgain]

I think Democrats are making a significant blunder here not investing in this race, but on the flip side this can help advance Campbell's message of being an outsider. "While Kennedy is getting millions from his corporate Washington backers, Foster Campbell is running a campaign solely on the people."

I will say Campbell's raised almost double was his opponent's raised. I am cautiously watching this one, as I think there is still a lot of hope here.

Lean/Likely R.

[GlobeSoc]

I think Democrats are making a significant blunder here not investing in this race, but on the flip side this can help advance Campbell's message of being an outsider. "While Kennedy is getting millions from his corporate Washington backers, Foster Campbell is running a campaign solely on the people."

I will say Campbell's raised almost double was his opponent's raised. I am cautiously watching this one, as I think there is still a lot of hope here.

Lean/Likely R.

[ElectionsGuy]

Safe R, 57-43 Kennedy. Watch Campbell win the race lmao.

[Xing]

I don't think this race was winnable for Democrats. More spending might have made it closer, but I don't think Campbell can actually win it. I welcome Louisiana to prove me wrong, but Kennedy is no Vitter.

Safe R, Kennedy wins 57-43.

[Mr.Phips]

Kennedy 57%-43%.  However if the shoe was on the other foot and Hillary had won and there was a hypothetical December runoff in Massachusetts, Republicans would win.

[Kingpoleon]

Kennedy 61-39.

[Figueira]

Safe JNK, although it could be surprisingly close like 2014. Democrats were only going to win if Duke made the runoff or if it was Campbell vs. Fayard. I'm kind of glad neither of those happened, as much as I would love to have that Senate seat.

Also Mr.Phips is wrong; Scott Brown was a one-time event. Markey won easily in 2013 against a fairly good recruit by Republicans.

[Kingpoleon]

Safe JNK, although it could be surprisingly close like 2014. Democrats were only going to win if Duke made the runoff or if it was Campbell vs. Fayard. I'm kind of glad neither of those happened, as much as I would love to have that Senate seat.

Also Mr.Phips is wrong; Scott Brown was a one-time event. Markey won easily in 2013 against a fairly good recruit by Republicans.

You don't think Fayard or Campbell could beat Boustany, Fleming, or Manness?

[Mr.Phips]

Kennedy 57%-43%.  However if the shoe was on the other foot and Hillary had won and there was a hypothetical December runoff in Massachusetts, Republicans would win.

Nah, come on.

That's the way it is.  I remember Scott Brown, I remember Chris Christie, and I remember Joe Cao. 

[jamestroll]

Here is a race we can actually confidently predict.

Kennedy 58%
Campbell 42%

[Mr.Phips]

Kennedy 57%-43%.  However if the shoe was on the other foot and Hillary had won and there was a hypothetical December runoff in Massachusetts, Republicans would win.

Nah, come on.

That's the way it is.  I remember Scott Brown, I remember Chris Christie, and I remember Joe Cao.  

Then what about Jim Justice, Steve Bullock, John Bel Edwards, Heidi Heitkamp, Jon Tester, Claire McCaskill (!!), Joe Manchin, etc.? Jason Kander came close to winning as well.

(And didn't Cao lose badly in 2010?)

Well, pretty much all of them (save JBE and Manchin) won in Presidential years.  In non-presidential years with a Dem in the White House, Democrats often found a way to lose even in very blue states.

[jamestroll]

Mr. Phips not everything will be like the Obama years forever.

It is a high probability that a at least one Trump state will elect a Senator well to the left of the states median in 2018.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Likley R
John Kennedy 56.5-43.5

[peterthlee]

Safe R-Strong
Kennedy 55-45
Long haven't I made any predictions after my predictions were smashed on election night (in Hong Kong it is election morning)

[Cynthia]

Kennedy is no Martha Coakley. She's such a flawed candidate who could win no race.

[I’m not Stu]

Kennedy, Likely R.

[MT Treasurer]

Moving this to Safe R. Kennedy wins 58/42.

[Mike67]

I've read that President Trump will be Campaigning for him

[Tender Branson]

My prediction:

62.3% R
37.7% D

[Skye]

Kennedy 61
Campbell 39

[Young Conservative]

Kennedy will win with over 60% of the vote.

[rbt48]

Kennedy, 59.5 to 40.5

Also, in CD 4, Johnson over Jones, 54 to 46.

[Skye]

Kennedy 61
Campbell 39

Nailed it.

[Kingpoleon]

Kennedy 61-39.

Nailed it!!