If Dan Boren ran for the House in 2018, would he win?

[Kingpoleon]

He lives in a R+14 district, which makes it about as Republican as Kentucky, where Beshear and Grimes won in 2015. Boren won in 2008 70-30 as McCain won the district 66-34.

[JGibson]

Prior to 2012, likely yes. Nowadays, however, probably to likely not.

[Young Conservative]

Definitely not.

[Vega]

It's more possible than some people on here think. At worst he stills gets in the mid 40s which is better than most OK Democrats could do.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

No, but he might make the Republicans waste money that would be better spent elsewhere.

[Xing]

Nah, he'd probably be seen as a has-been.

[Figueira]

He can try.

[jamestroll]

If it is a Democratic friendly year and he does not come off as smug and entitled, perhaps he could.

It is why to hypothetical to even think about now, but if he wants to run he should.

[Zioneer]

All I know is my gut says maybe.

[Vega]

A better question is if he would win the primary. If it's a low turnout affair and there is a Berniecrat progressive I could see a surprising upset, and boy would that be both indicative and humiliating for Boren.

[Figueira]

A better question is if he would win the primary. If it's a low turnout affair and there is a Berniecrat progressive I could see a surprising upset, and boy would that be both indicative and humiliating for Boren.

I hope a left-wing Tea Party (in that sense) doesn't happen. 2018 simply isn't 2010.

[Cynthia]

No. See also: Evan Bayh.

He didn't become a lobbyist and still lives in OK though.

[I’m not Stu]

Did he vote yes or no on the ACA?

[Kingpoleon]

Did he vote yes or no on the ACA?

He was one of forty House Democrats to vote against it in 2009, and he was one of three House Democrats to vote to repeal it in 2011.

[I’m not Stu]

Did he vote yes or no on the ACA?

He was one of forty House Democrats to vote against it in 2009, and he was one of three House Democrats to vote to repeal it in 2011.

Then I say probably not, but he has a slight chance.

[PAK Man]

Hard to say if he'd win or not, but it wouldn't hurt to try. He'd have nothing to lose.

[Maxwell]

Almost definitely not - the Boren Sales Tax initiative tanked here, and Dan Boren would get the lobbyist pin on his back the same way that Evan Bayh did. He'd be much better served running for Governor, and even then I would definitely prefer someone less conservative.

Oklahoma Democrats need to invest in Oklahoma's 5th when Russell retires, and do so quickly. Boren is not from the 5th, he is from the 2nd, where Pro-Trump trends may have hit the hardest. Markwayne Mullin is a weak, incompetent incumbent, but not incompetent enough to lose in this nearly 70% Trump district. In the 5th, Cyndi Munson almost certainly has the right of first refusal - winning re-election by 8 points even as her district went for Trump probably by double digits.

Speaking of the fifth, I'd almost be fascinated to see how Ed Shadid does if he flipped party labels to Democrat - Shadid is a current Green Party guy who won a spot on the city council in Oklahoma City and didn't do so badly in a race that probably should've been close to uncontested for popular mayor Mick Cornett.