Predict Control of the Senate After 2018/20/22 (user search)
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  Predict Control of the Senate After 2018/20/22 (search mode)
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Poll
Question: We did a similar poll in pre-2014
#1
R/R/R
 
#2
R/R/D
 
#3
R/D/R
 
#4
R/D/D
 
#5
D/D/D
 
#6
D/D/R
 
#7
D/R/D
 
#8
D/R/R
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 91

Author Topic: Predict Control of the Senate After 2018/20/22  (Read 5072 times)
Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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Posts: 13,403
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« on: December 05, 2016, 01:51:45 PM »

R/D/R: Dems pick up Nevada in 2018 for 51-49 GOP control. Dems pick up NC and CO in 2020 for 51-49 Democrat control, but GOP regains control when they pick up NH and CO in 2022 (Gardner runs against Bennet after losing in 2020). Or this could all be incorrect! Who knows?

I would assume you have Trump losing in 2020?
Why are we assuming Trump even runs? I'm not so sure he will...
Trump would run in 2020 unless he really unpopular in which case Pence is screwed as well
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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*****
Posts: 13,403
United States


« Reply #1 on: December 10, 2016, 10:28:05 AM »

R/D/D the D will do great in 2018 (retake the house and pick up a lot of governorships) but face too much of an uphill battle in 2018 but in 2020 an 2022 that is flipped with the map being awful for R's
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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*****
Posts: 13,403
United States


« Reply #2 on: December 10, 2016, 11:41:21 PM »

R/D/D make sense on paper, but I don't get it considering the context of 18. Let's say that year is R+4. That's 56, so losing all of Tillis, Gardner, and Ernst, AND keeping Shaheen's seat, would STILL result in only 53. At that point, you have to wait for 2022 and pray to God Hassan survives without Day and you can pick up any of the competitives from this year.
Well I think it will be only +2 R in 2018 also 2018 the R's are defending 24 seats to 9
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,403
United States


« Reply #3 on: December 18, 2016, 10:21:07 PM »

R/D/D

2018: Bad year for Rs they pick up ND, IND but lose NV, ARI, an what for it UT that's right I'm calling for Huntmans or Evans running 3rd party splitting the R vote and Jim Matheson steals it in a perfect storm leading to the senate being only 51-49 Rs
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