Predict Control of the Senate After 2018/20/22 (user search)
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  Predict Control of the Senate After 2018/20/22 (search mode)
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Poll
Question: We did a similar poll in pre-2014
#1
R/R/R
 
#2
R/R/D
 
#3
R/D/R
 
#4
R/D/D
 
#5
D/D/D
 
#6
D/D/R
 
#7
D/R/D
 
#8
D/R/R
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 91

Author Topic: Predict Control of the Senate After 2018/20/22  (Read 5065 times)
I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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Posts: 12,791


« on: December 05, 2016, 08:16:58 PM »

Depends on how Trump does as President.
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I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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*****
Posts: 12,791


« Reply #1 on: December 05, 2016, 08:24:47 PM »

Maybe R/R/D? Trump might not even run for a second term.
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I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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*****
Posts: 12,791


« Reply #2 on: December 06, 2016, 12:04:40 AM »

Strangely, R/D/R is probably the second most likely scenario overall and the likeliest if Trump loses in 2020.  D/D/D is insane and the only I can see R/R/R happening is if Trump just barely loses.  Given where the states are moving, the 2022 map is almost as bad for R's as the 2018 map is for D's
What if Trump is unpopular and one or two Republicans become Democrats, perhaps John McCain and/or former Blue Dog Democrat John Kennedy (if he wins in LA). I can only see R/R/R if Trump is popular. R/R/D barring party switches by Senators. With one or two Senators changing parties, R/D/D maybe.
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I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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*****
Posts: 12,791


« Reply #3 on: December 07, 2016, 12:29:18 AM »
« Edited: December 07, 2016, 12:31:52 AM by ERM64man »

Strangely, R/D/R is probably the second most likely scenario overall and the likeliest if Trump loses in 2020.  D/D/D is insane and the only I can see R/R/R happening is if Trump just barely loses.  Given where the states are moving, the 2022 map is almost as bad for R's as the 2018 map is for D's
What if Trump is unpopular and one or two Republicans become Democrats, perhaps John McCain and/or former Blue Dog Democrat John Kennedy (if he wins in LA). I can only see R/R/R if Trump is popular. R/R/D barring party switches by Senators. With one or two Senators changing parties, R/D/D maybe.
John McCain, a Democrat?
I'm not certain he will switch, but I think there's a chance he might become a DINO (switch registration and change caucus but still effectively be a Republican in practice) due to a poor relationship with Trump.
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I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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*****
Posts: 12,791


« Reply #4 on: December 07, 2016, 08:59:31 PM »

Which GOP Senators would vote to turn Medicare into a voucher program? Will that have an impact on their careers?
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I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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*****
Posts: 12,791


« Reply #5 on: December 15, 2016, 11:32:46 PM »

Sorry Extreme, the New Hampshire seats are gone. Would you be fine with pro-abortion Republican New Hampshire Senators?
I support pro-abortion Republicans. Extreme, would you be fine with them winning in NH?
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