Predict Control of the Senate After 2018/20/22 (user search)
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  Predict Control of the Senate After 2018/20/22 (search mode)
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Poll
Question: We did a similar poll in pre-2014
#1
R/R/R		  
#2
R/R/D		  
#3
R/D/R		  
#4
R/D/D		  
#5
D/D/D		  
#6
D/D/R		  
#7
D/R/D		  
#8
D/R/R		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 91

Author Topic: Predict Control of the Senate After 2018/20/22  (Read 5040 times)
Coolface Sock #42069
whitesox130
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Posts: 4,695
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Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: 2.26
« on: December 05, 2016, 07:49:51 PM »
RRD or RRR. I just don't see Dems picking up many seats in 2020, so it all comes down to whether they can do better in 2022 (a midterm) than they did this year.
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Coolface Sock #42069
whitesox130
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,695
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: 2.26
« Reply #1 on: December 07, 2016, 12:06:26 AM »
Quote from: ERM64man on December 06, 2016, 12:04:40 AM
Quote from: Skill and Chance on December 05, 2016, 09:26:11 PM
Strangely, R/D/R is probably the second most likely scenario overall and the likeliest if Trump loses in 2020.  D/D/D is insane and the only I can see R/R/R happening is if Trump just barely loses.  Given where the states are moving, the 2022 map is almost as bad for R's as the 2018 map is for D's
What if Trump is unpopular and one or two Republicans become Democrats, perhaps John McCain and/or former Blue Dog Democrat John Kennedy (if he wins in LA). I can only see R/R/R if Trump is popular. R/R/D barring party switches by Senators. With one or two Senators changing parties, R/D/D maybe.
John McCain, a Democrat?
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