All Along The Watchtower
Progressive Realist
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« on: December 05, 2016, 11:36:49 AM » |
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« edited: December 05, 2016, 11:47:03 AM by PR »
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(cross-posted from AAD):
College-educated, affluent white suburbanites are the most sorted of voters (and furthermore, the most likely to be "polarized") in regard to the two major parties. They are, for the most part, locked into their respective party. While this is especially true in states - or regions within states - that are either reliably conservative or reliably liberal, it's also increasingly true in the (relatively) "purple" states like Colorado, Virginia, North Carolina, Florida, and obviously Arizona (lol), as well as in the Rust Belt.
As for ethnic and racial minorities...well, hell will freeze over when the contemporary Republican Party wins a non-negligible number of black votes. Latinos are certainly growing as a part of the electorate but are (a) more concentrated in either solidly liberal states or, in the cases of Arizona and Texas, solidly conservative, with Florida really being the only "purple" state in which they play a critically significant role in the Democratic coalition and (b) are still significantly less likely to vote than blacks and whites. Same with Asians, except that they're even more concentrated in certain (liberal) states and cities.
Meanwhile, as all of us political demographics nerds are well aware, working class white voters - particularly in places like (surprise, surprise!) the Rust Belt - are among the most "elastic" of all demographics in American electoral politics. And they continue to play a critical role in deciding the results in said Rust Belt states - and hence, in deciding who the President of the United States will be, which every Clinton supporter (or at the very least, anti-Trump voter) was (*heavy sigh*) painfully reminded of this year.
And yet...the brilliant minds at the incredibly well organized, extraordinarily well-financed, and very "cutting-edge" 2016 Hillary Clinton presidential campaign managed to miss all of this?! (or forget about it - maybe even deliberately...)
Utterly moronic.
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