OH-SEN: Renacci Wins Weak Plurality

[edtorres04]

Mary Taylor to stay in gov race.

[Figueira]

Mandel is still quite popular with Trump voters and benefits from good name ID.

Getting in this late is will prove to be a major hurdle for damn near everyone.

I'm skeptical that the first one would ultimately matter, but your last point is a good one.

[Dr. MB]

Viva Sherrod! And condolences to Mandel and his wife.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Mary Taylor to stay in gov race.

Keeps getting better and better, long live King Sherrod, dilly dilly!

[Nyvin]

So it looks like it'll be Renacci vs Gibbons in the GOP primary.

[Heisenberg]

So it looks like it'll be Renacci vs Gibbons in the GOP primary.

Huh?

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http://www.newarkadvocate.com/story/news/2018/01/08/candidate-governor-touts-business-experience-attacks-career-politicians/1008053001/

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http://wksu.org/post/mandel-out-senate-race-turns-other-republicans#stream/0

Unless you know something I don't, it doesn't sound like Renacci will jump in.

[BuckeyeNut]

I always thought Gibbons was more intimidating than Mandel anyway. Unless the Ohio posters here can explain why I might be wrong on that?

Name rec has a lot to do with it. If Clinton were President, Mandel would be a worse candidate – despite Sherrod being more vulnerable – as his brand of politics would be hurting, but he's always been one to buck Kasich, and given the coupe in the Ohio GOP that put a Trumpeter in charge, Mandel's vision of politics is on the up and up with the establishment. And for all the talk about being a "self funder," Gibbons has been afraid to actually help his campaign's finances in any meaningful way.

[Usili]

So in a probable squashing of Vance for Senate: https://twitter.com/darreldrowland/status/950560553755467776

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[Suburbia]

Ken Blackwell would be a formidable candidate, he'd do well in the suburbs, but Sherrod Brown would win 60%-40%.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Ken Blackwell would be a formidable candidate, he'd do well in the suburbs, but Sherrod Brown would win 60%-40%.

ROTFL

[Holmes]

Ken Blackwell would be a formidable candidate, he'd do well in the suburbs, but Sherrod Brown would win 60%-40%.

If Blackwell does well in the suburbs but loses by 20%, where does he get crushed to provide such a margin? Cleveland, Columbus and Cincinatti wouldn't be enough.

[BuckeyeNut]

Ken Blackwell would be a formidable candidate, he'd do well in the suburbs, but Sherrod Brown would win 60%-40%.

ROTFL

IKR? We could actually run Ted for Senate again and win if the GOP put up Blackwell.

[IceSpear]

Ken Blackwell would be a formidable candidate, he'd do well in the suburbs, but Sherrod Brown would win 60%-40%.

If Blackwell does well in the suburbs but loses by 20%, where does he get crushed to provide such a margin? Cleveland, Columbus and Cincinatti wouldn't be enough.

>taking bronz seriously

[BuckeyeNut]

The Cincinnati Enquirer has a nice piece on the state of the race.

TL;DR:

Rep. Renacci (OH-16) is essentially waiting for a phone call -- and endorsement -- from Trump.

Vance is being courted by Mitch McConnell, but seems unlikely to jump in.

Rep. Johnson (OH-06) is likely to jump in if he isn't made House Budget Chairman.

Gibbons is desperately trying to keep anyone with name ID and money from entering.

[Rjjr77]

Wow. His wife must have a really serious illness for him to drop out.

She's just about as ill as FitzGerald's son was when the whole Irish prostitute scandal dropped.

been gone for a bit, and Ohios blown up. My sources confirm Mandel's wife is genuinely ill

[Rjjr77]

The Cincinnati Enquirer has a nice piece on the state of the race.

TL;DR:

Rep. Renacci (OH-16) is essentially waiting for a phone call -- and endorsement -- from Trump.

Vance is being courted by Mitch McConnell, but seems unlikely to jump in.

Rep. Johnson (OH-06) is likely to jump in if he isn't made House Budget Chairman.

Gibbons is desperately trying to keep anyone with name ID and money from entering.

Sources close to Johnson say he is not running, a name to keep an eye on is State Senator Matt Huffman, who came close to pulling the trigger against mandel, and apparently has a bunch of donors lined up for a senate president bid.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

The Cincinnati Enquirer has a nice piece on the state of the race.

TL;DR:

Rep. Renacci (OH-16) is essentially waiting for a phone call -- and endorsement -- from Trump.

Vance is being courted by Mitch McConnell, but seems unlikely to jump in.

Rep. Johnson (OH-06) is likely to jump in if he isn't made House Budget Chairman.

Gibbons is desperately trying to keep anyone with name ID and money from entering.

Sources close to Johnson say he is not running, a name to keep an eye on is State Senator Matt Huffman, who came close to pulling the trigger against mandel, and apparently has a bunch of donors lined up for a senate president bid.

But why trade a state-senate president bid for a surefire loss in a Senate race?

[Rjjr77]

The Cincinnati Enquirer has a nice piece on the state of the race.

TL;DR:

Rep. Renacci (OH-16) is essentially waiting for a phone call -- and endorsement -- from Trump.

Vance is being courted by Mitch McConnell, but seems unlikely to jump in.

Rep. Johnson (OH-06) is likely to jump in if he isn't made House Budget Chairman.

Gibbons is desperately trying to keep anyone with name ID and money from entering.

Sources close to Johnson say he is not running, a name to keep an eye on is State Senator Matt Huffman, who came close to pulling the trigger against mandel, and apparently has a bunch of donors lined up for a senate president bid.

But why trade a state-senate president bid for a surefire loss in a Senate race?

Senate president is no gimmie, 2 other very viable names, and it would be huffmans only shot.

Surefire loss? no. but certainly a likely loss.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Ohio posters, how bad (or good) would it be for Republicans if Gibbons actually ends up as the nominee?

[Rjjr77]

Ohio posters, how bad (or good) would it be for Republicans if Gibbons actually ends up as the nominee?

Gibbons is a joke. Hes been a pay as he goes candidate with a dismally weak staff and crappy poll numbers. He's a lousy public speaker and has hidden Kasich ties. He could drag down the whole GOP slate.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Ohio posters, how bad (or good) would it be for Republicans if Gibbons actually ends up as the nominee?

Gibbons is a joke. Hes been a pay as he goes candidate with a dismally weak staff and crappy poll numbers. He's a lousy public speaker and has hidden Kasich ties. He could drag down the whole GOP slate.

This aside from the last sentence.

[BuckeyeNut]

Wow. His wife must have a really serious illness for him to drop out.

She's just about as ill as FitzGerald's son was when the whole Irish prostitute scandal dropped.

been gone for a bit, and Ohios blown up. My sources confirm Mandel's wife is genuinely ill

That being the case, I genuinely wish him and his family well.

The Cincinnati Enquirer has a nice piece on the state of the race.

TL;DR:

Rep. Renacci (OH-16) is essentially waiting for a phone call -- and endorsement -- from Trump.

Vance is being courted by Mitch McConnell, but seems unlikely to jump in.

Rep. Johnson (OH-06) is likely to jump in if he isn't made House Budget Chairman.

Gibbons is desperately trying to keep anyone with name ID and money from entering.

Sources close to Johnson say he is not running, a name to keep an eye on is State Senator Matt Huffman, who came close to pulling the trigger against mandel, and apparently has a bunch of donors lined up for a senate president bid.

Seems early to say Johnson isn't running, unless they know he's got the Chairmanship.

Tangentially related to Huffman: do you know what happened to Kevin Coughlin?

[I’m not Stu]

Who wins GOP primary now that Mandel is out?

[Landslide Lyndon]

Ohio posters, how bad (or good) would it be for Republicans if Gibbons actually ends up as the nominee?

Gibbons is a joke. Hes been a pay as he goes candidate with a dismally weak staff and crappy poll numbers. He's a lousy public speaker and has hidden Kasich ties. He could drag down the whole GOP slate.

I don't think it was ever a secret that Gibbons was a Kasich ally.

[MaxQue]

Wow. His wife must have a really serious illness for him to drop out.

She's just about as ill as FitzGerald's son was when the whole Irish prostitute scandal dropped.

been gone for a bit, and Ohios blown up. My sources confirm Mandel's wife is genuinely ill

That being the case, I genuinely wish him and his family well.

The Cincinnati Enquirer has a nice piece on the state of the race.

TL;DR:

Rep. Renacci (OH-16) is essentially waiting for a phone call -- and endorsement -- from Trump.

Vance is being courted by Mitch McConnell, but seems unlikely to jump in.

Rep. Johnson (OH-06) is likely to jump in if he isn't made House Budget Chairman.

Gibbons is desperately trying to keep anyone with name ID and money from entering.

Sources close to Johnson say he is not running, a name to keep an eye on is State Senator Matt Huffman, who came close to pulling the trigger against mandel, and apparently has a bunch of donors lined up for a senate president bid.

Seems early to say Johnson isn't running, unless they know he's got the Chairmanship.

Tangentially related to Huffman: do you know what happened to Kevin Coughlin?

He was elected clerk of a municipal court in Summit County 2013 and managed to lose to a Democrat in 2015.