OH-SEN: Renacci Wins Weak Plurality

[publicunofficial]

Out of all the possible R candidates, Mandel scares me the least.

[publicunofficial]

I don't think Kasich or Stivers runs. So they only competition for Mandel would probably be Pat Tiberi.

[publicunofficial]

Hopefully Tiberi or Kasich runs for this.

Kasich won't, Tiberi likely will. Small chance Renanci does.

Renacci, from what I can tell, doesn't seem like the ambitious type. Could be wrong though.

[publicunofficial]

Yes, clearly Mandel has to win this time. Just like Allen, Feingold, Raese, McMahon, Foley, Sheheen, Rossi... wait, these people won after running in an election they previously lost, right!?

So you don't think Kander is very likely to beat Blunt in 2022 either?

No, I don't. I think if Kander is smart he'll run against Greitens or for an open seat.

[publicunofficial]

No, I don't. I think if Kander is smart he'll run against Greitens or for an open seat.

Eh, maybe. But I think this whole "OMG rematches never work!!" narrative is a bit overblown. If 2018 is a good year for the GOP, Mandel will beat Brown. He could even do it in a neutral year.

I also think Tiberi is overhyped, but maybe that's just me. 

No offense but sometimes I think you let your individual feelings towards a candidate cloud your judgement of how strong/weak they are.

[publicunofficial]

Besides his fundraising ability, I don't see how Mandel was a good enough candidate in 2012 to justify a retread. And it's not like Ohio has a small Republican bench.

[publicunofficial]

Josh Mandel is the poor man's Tom Cotton.

[publicunofficial]

Josh Mandel has a shot now that the Trump swept Ohio. Brown is certainly far from being safe. Mandel could capitalize on Brown being a dinosaur of DC and he could win on that sentiment.

Who better to defeat a dinosaur than a 40 year old man who looks like a dweeby high school sophomore?

[publicunofficial]

What specific policies of Brown's are too liberal for the people of Ohio?

[publicunofficial]

So not only is Brown going to face the same opponent as 2012, but he'll also be using the same attacks from 2012 (Obamacare!)?

You can't just assume trends + midterm turnout will bail you out.

[publicunofficial]

Some Team Kasich people want Vance to run, which IMO is quite stupid because a bloody pro/anti-Trump primary could severely damage whoever won (probably Mandel). Better idea would be Vance for Mandel's current job.

A JD Vance/Josh Mandel primary would be a contest to see which one I hate more.

[publicunofficial]

This Mandel tweet speaks for itself.

Manboys with horrific political views gotta stay together.

[publicunofficial]

When I think of what Mandel would be like as a Senator I just keep remembering that time Tom Cotton held up the appointment of a woman dying of cancer because she was Obama's friend.  I imagine he'll be a lot like that.

[publicunofficial]

"My loved one is sick with an undisclosed illness" has been used as an excuse before for candidates running bad campaigns looking for a way to bow out.

[publicunofficial]

Vance for Senate talk already up in flames due to 1: being anti-Trump, 2: questionable residency.

I feel like nearly everyone who read his book and liked it would call themselves a moderate to conservative Democrat, I don't see him ever having a future in Republican politics.