OH-SEN: Renacci Wins Weak Plurality

[Xing]

Yes, clearly Mandel has to win this time. Just like Allen, Feingold, Raese, McMahon, Foley, Sheheen, Rossi... wait, these people won after running in an election they previously lost, right!?

Brown isn't going to be safe, but Tiberi scares me more than Mandel. If Mandel wins the primary, I'd probably move this to Lean D.

[Xing]

Yes, clearly Mandel has to win this time. Just like Allen, Feingold, Raese, McMahon, Foley, Sheheen, Rossi... wait, these people won after running in an election they previously lost, right!?

So you don't think Kander is very likely to beat Blunt in 2022 either?

Certainly not "very likely." It's possible (and I'm not saying it's impossible for Mandel to beat Brown), but Kander might be old news in 2022.

Of course Mandel vs. Brown wouldn't be Safe D (unless Brown is up by double digits in September 2018), but Mandel probably needs some wind at his back to beat Brown.

[Xing]

Brown is somewhat moderate compared to Mandel. Anyway, my guess is Brown by a somewhat narrow margin. I don't think he's as vulnerable as most people here seem to think (though obviously he could lose)

[Xing]

I hope his wife recovers. Let's be honest, Mandel probably wouldn't have won anyway. I never bought Brown being more vulnerable than Tester or Manchin anyway.