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Author Topic: LA-University of New Orleans: Campbell = wiped out, trails by 29 points  (Read 427 times)
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« on: December 09, 2016, 12:34:22 am »
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62% John Neely Kennedy (R)
33% Foster Campbell (D)

http://www.wwltv.com/news/politics/poll-shows-kennedy-with-healthy-lead-in-senate-race/366388031

http://www.uno.edu/campus-news/2016/University_of_New_Orleans_Survey_Research_Center_Releases_Poll_on_Louisiana_Senate_Runoff.aspx
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Even if you don't agree with the women stuff, it's really hard to argue that NH is still a competitive swing state. And after 2016 (when Kelly Ayotte and Donald Trump lose the state, despite a very close presidential race and Republicans holding the Senate), this will become clear to you as well, Kingpoleon.

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« Reply #1 on: December 09, 2016, 12:40:08 am »
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Southern Democrats are dead ... and by that, I literally mean the types of people who loved the local Democrat and would never vote for a Republican because that's what their parents taught them have almost all died.
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« Reply #2 on: December 09, 2016, 12:40:58 am »
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I guess with this, we can officially say that all the conservative support that JBE got was "I'll vote democrat just this once because Vitter deserves to go to Hell" support, rather than any sort of permanent gain for the democratic party.
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« Reply #3 on: December 09, 2016, 12:45:02 am »
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Southern Democrats are dead ... and by that, I literally mean the types of people who loved the local Democrat and would never vote for a Republican because that's what their parents taught them have almost all died.

Lol! So true! Those yellow dogs are literally almost all dead or don't vote.

To be honest, it would not shock me if Democrats pick up one or even several southern governorships in 2018. Those just operate so different from Senate Races.

 
I guess with this, we can officially say that all the conservative support that JBE got was "I'll vote democrat just this once because Vitter deserves to go to Hell" support, rather than any sort of permanent gain for the democratic party.

And Vitter may have well won a Senate race over Jon Bel Edwards!
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It's become a tradition to say that the party that loses is doomed.

2004: The Democrats are done for! They're just a coastal party now!

2008: The Republicans are done for! They're just a Southern party now!

2010: Obama is done for in 2012!

2012: The Republicans are done for! They're just a Southern party now!

2016: The Democrats are done for! They're just a coastal party now!
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« Reply #4 on: December 09, 2016, 01:22:40 am »
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B-b-but I thought Democrats could clearly have won this race and lose because they don't target states like Louisiana!?
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« Reply #5 on: December 09, 2016, 01:49:43 am »
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I guess with this, we can officially say that all the conservative support that JBE got was "I'll vote democrat just this once because Vitter deserves to go to Hell" support, rather than any sort of permanent gain for the democratic party.

I will have to disagree. Vitter's affairs had been out in the open for years beforehand, and besides Trump has way more baggage, so there was more at work.
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« Reply #6 on: December 09, 2016, 12:44:33 pm »
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I guess with this, we can officially say that all the conservative support that JBE got was "I'll vote democrat just this once because Vitter deserves to go to Hell" support, rather than any sort of permanent gain for the democratic party.

Gubernatorial races are always more competitive than Senate or House races.
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Healthcare is a right, not a moneymaking business - Bernie Sanders

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« Reply #7 on: December 09, 2016, 12:59:19 pm »
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I guess with this, we can officially say that all the conservative support that JBE got was "I'll vote democrat just this once because Vitter deserves to go to Hell" support, rather than any sort of permanent gain for the democratic party.

I will have to disagree. Vitter's affairs had been out in the open for years beforehand, and besides Trump has way more baggage, so there was more at work.
IIRC the prostitution was an issue in 2010, but he still won against a strong opponent because
a. It was 2010, and
b. It was a federal race.
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I've been trying to tell you guys. Clinton's win is going to be massive. Imagine Obama's numbers with minorities, four more years of minority population growth, and Clinton out-performing him by >5% with white voters. No state will be safe.

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« Reply #8 on: December 09, 2016, 01:21:50 pm »
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How can anyone pick the guy on the right?
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Healthcare is a right, not a moneymaking business - Bernie Sanders

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« Reply #9 on: December 09, 2016, 03:54:49 pm »
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B-b-but I thought Democrats could clearly have won this race and lose because they don't target states like Louisiana!?

well i mean Republicans were the only ones who took this seriously. I mean they're flying out god damn Donald Trump and Mike Pence and spending millions here while Campbelll is left fighting for himself. And when Kennedy wins by an out-sized margin that even the pundits didn't expect, Trump and Co. will flail this as a god damn victory for the administration.

There wasn't a chance of winning this, there was a chance to at least FIGHT for once.

Quitely literally this is the inversion of the 50 state strategy - we're gonna lose EVERYWHERE.
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« Reply #10 on: December 11, 2016, 01:12:55 am »
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B-b-but I thought Democrats could clearly have won this race and lose because they don't target states like Louisiana!?

well i mean Republicans were the only ones who took this seriously. I mean they're flying out god damn Donald Trump and Mike Pence and spending millions here while Campbelll is left fighting for himself. And when Kennedy wins by an out-sized margin that even the pundits didn't expect, Trump and Co. will flail this as a god damn victory for the administration.

There wasn't a chance of winning this, there was a chance to at least FIGHT for once.

Quitely literally this is the inversion of the 50 state strategy - we're gonna lose EVERYWHERE.
Yes. Democrats are doing opposite of 50 state strategy now. All they do is give up everywhere. I bet they wont even try to contest any Trump State Senate seat in 2018.

They just want to give up on everything.
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It's become a tradition to say that the party that loses is doomed.

2004: The Democrats are done for! They're just a coastal party now!

2008: The Republicans are done for! They're just a Southern party now!

2010: Obama is done for in 2012!

2012: The Republicans are done for! They're just a Southern party now!

2016: The Democrats are done for! They're just a coastal party now!
Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #11 on: December 11, 2016, 01:23:12 am »
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B-b-but I thought Democrats could clearly have won this race and lose because they don't target states like Louisiana!?

well i mean Republicans were the only ones who took this seriously. I mean they're flying out god damn Donald Trump and Mike Pence and spending millions here while Campbelll is left fighting for himself. And when Kennedy wins by an out-sized margin that even the pundits didn't expect, Trump and Co. will flail this as a god damn victory for the administration.

There wasn't a chance of winning this, there was a chance to at least FIGHT for once.

Quitely literally this is the inversion of the 50 state strategy - we're gonna lose EVERYWHERE.
Yes. Democrats are doing opposite of 50 state strategy now. All they do is give up everywhere. I bet they wont even try to contest any Trump State Senate seat in 2018.

They just want to give up on everything.

They are very pro-incumbent. They spent into the ground on PRYOR in 2014.
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I stand with the Korean Churches for Community Development, the National Association of Evangelicals, the National Hispanic Christian Leadership Conference, World Relief, etc. in their belief that Trump's refugee orders are fundamentally anti-christian (and therefore against the values America was founded on) and must be repealed.

#IMPEACHTRUMP

2017 Governor Predictions: https://docs.google.com/document/d/12c6eNxbaRTtjwzaaXZHFWR1l7mR0vfeoROyVwN34COQ

2018 House Rating: Leans Republican
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