How exactly can Kanye West win the Democratic nomination? (user search)
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  How exactly can Kanye West win the Democratic nomination? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How exactly can Kanye West win the Democratic nomination?  (Read 5040 times)
Figueira
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« on: December 10, 2016, 11:38:20 PM »

I agree that it is very unlikely that he will win the nomination for the reasons stated here by BRTD, but I don't think that Democrats should just say "Nope, Kanye can't win, let's ignore him!" If he runs we may need to actually work to beat him.
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Figueira
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« Reply #1 on: December 12, 2016, 02:11:42 PM »

He could somehow win black voters and urban white voters? But if you'd asked the same thing about Donald Trump in late 2012, what would any of us had said?

It all depends on context

So you are literally just saying "but Trump" and "blacks/Millennials", without addressing any of the counterpoints to that.

Also how does he win Iowa or New Hampshire that way?

I'm indicating that it would be difficult for him to build a winning coalition and that we have no idea. Anyway, my actual thoughts.

-Among the first four states, NH and SC are the only ones he has a chance of. He could possibly win Southern NH by enough to cancel out the northern parts of the state, and get a small plurality there. Then, momentum would get him a decent-sized SC win. This leads to this sort of map:



Kirsten Gilibrand
Kamala Harris
Kanye West
Sherrod Brown


So Kanye wins on a black-young coalition by being Bernie with appeal to African-Americans, I guess.

Why would he do better in southern than northern NH? Huh
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Figueira
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« Reply #2 on: December 13, 2016, 08:42:46 AM »

That also fails to explain how he wins those lily white plains states.

Well if we assume that no white person is ever voting for Kanye West than he's screwed.
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Figueira
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« Reply #3 on: December 13, 2016, 04:14:24 PM »

Oh sh[inks] he's gonna be the Ralph Nader of 2020 isn't he? Angry

I don't get how you came to that conclusion.
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