MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25
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  MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25
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Author Topic: MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25  (Read 231752 times)
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #1125 on: May 22, 2017, 06:25:15 PM »

They're obviously having to do some last-minute crosstab fudging before it's ready.

They could be just that incompetent

No, they are that incompetent.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1126 on: May 22, 2017, 06:36:04 PM »

The beads came unstrung from their abacus.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #1127 on: May 22, 2017, 06:43:21 PM »

It will probably be something totally unsurprising anyway, maybe Gianforte +2/3 or so. Pretty sure either candidate will lead by 4 or less.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #1128 on: May 22, 2017, 07:59:54 PM »

Quote
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https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/866729188484624385
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McGovernForPrez
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« Reply #1129 on: May 22, 2017, 08:11:20 PM »

This has been tossup all along. Had Quist ran a better campaign I would say lean D, but he was weaker than I expected and Pianoforte actually showed and campaigned decently. Feeling optimistic about this seat though. I really do like Quist.
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #1130 on: May 22, 2017, 09:17:02 PM »

4 hours later.
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GlobeSoc
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« Reply #1131 on: May 22, 2017, 09:20:38 PM »

Maybe Gravis found Quist in the lead and decided to just scrap the poll entirely?
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #1132 on: May 22, 2017, 09:22:05 PM »


I think something is fishy here.
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #1133 on: May 22, 2017, 09:23:31 PM »


Maybe Gravis found Quist in the lead and decided to just scrap the poll entirely?

Nah they found Wicks in the lead and realized they smoked one too many while taking the poll.
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Shameless Lefty Hack
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« Reply #1134 on: May 22, 2017, 09:35:02 PM »

qualitative report from a GOTV phonebank today - it sounds like the Quist campaign is really hitting its GOTV universe. We're exactly where you want to be 3 days out - pretty much 2/3 of people you call have been called like 8 times and are incredibly annoyed XD.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1135 on: May 22, 2017, 09:35:35 PM »


Maybe Gravis found Quist in the lead and decided to just scrap the poll entirely?

Nah they found Wicks in the lead and realized they smoked one too many while taking the poll.

Lol. Over five and a half hours later, and three hours since any contact with Gravis.
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McGovernForPrez
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« Reply #1136 on: May 22, 2017, 09:36:10 PM »

They probably realized they didn't have an actual poll in the field and just put it out now, because they promised everybody a poll. Gravis is a straight up meme tier polling firm and it's great.
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« Reply #1137 on: May 22, 2017, 09:36:37 PM »


Maybe Gravis found Quist in the lead and decided to just scrap the poll entirely?

Nah they found Wicks in the lead and realized they smoked one too many while taking the poll.

Lol. Over five and a half hours later, and three hours since any contact with Gravis.

4.5 hours if we're generous and assume they actually meant EST for some reason.
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cinyc
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« Reply #1138 on: May 22, 2017, 09:41:34 PM »
« Edited: May 22, 2017, 09:47:46 PM by cinyc »

Gravis just Tweeted their poll.  It's something like Gianforte +14.

Gianforte 49%
Quist 35%
Wicks 8%
Undecided 9%

https://twitter.com/GravisMarketing/status/866846140150423552/photo/1
https://twitter.com/GravisMarketing/status/866846545483894784/photo/1
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #1139 on: May 22, 2017, 09:42:51 PM »

Lol
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1140 on: May 22, 2017, 09:43:41 PM »

Those are probably bs numbers. Wicks is not getting 8% with the potential to gain more.
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #1141 on: May 22, 2017, 09:44:40 PM »

WE WAITED 4 HOURS FOR THIS?
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heatcharger
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« Reply #1142 on: May 22, 2017, 09:44:51 PM »

They didn't even tweet a link to it, just screenshots of the PDF from their phone... total joke pollster and I wouldn't be surprised if they're fake.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1143 on: May 22, 2017, 09:45:04 PM »


More.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #1144 on: May 22, 2017, 09:45:20 PM »

Gravis is going to be humiliated.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #1145 on: May 22, 2017, 09:45:20 PM »

Feeling pretty good about my Gianforte +5 prediction now, but it's Gravis. No way Gianforte will win by 14, though, LOL.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1146 on: May 22, 2017, 09:45:44 PM »

They didn't even tweet a link to it, just screenshots of the PDF from their phone... total joke pollster and I wouldn't be surprised if they're fake.

That's pathetic of them, what total BS.
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GlobeSoc
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« Reply #1147 on: May 22, 2017, 09:47:30 PM »

"poll" Gravis "marketing"
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #1148 on: May 22, 2017, 09:49:03 PM »

Bullock approval: 40-34 (+6)
Tester approval: 36-40 (-4)
Trump approval: 50-42 (+8)

Gianforte - 49%
Quist - 35%
Wicks - 8%
Undecided - 9%

Democrat - 26%
Republican - 37%
Independent/Other - 37%
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #1149 on: May 22, 2017, 09:49:18 PM »

>Congressional races are hard to poll

Some teenager in his basement I swear to god.
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