MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

People are apparently calling 911 there giving political commentary and the police there want it to stop.

[Ebsy]

People are apparently calling 911 there giving political commentary and the police there want it to stop.

I'm sure arresting the dangerous criminal who they let flee the scene would help out in that regard.

[AtorBoltox]

Safe D

[ApatheticAustrian]

Gootkin: Charges not filed at the scene "because we didn't have all the information at the time." #mtal

Gootkin: 911 center getting calls mostly from out-of-state media as well as public "with their two cents worth." #mtal

Gootkin: #Gallatin Co Sheriff's Office detective division taking over case. #mtal

Gootkin: If there is video, we will retrieve it as part of investigation. #mtal

Gootkin does not identify other four witnesses. #mtal


https://twitter.com/wabermes/status/867562311925542912

[Adam Griffin]

I've never once worked for a campaign that allowed canvassing after 6:00 PM. It's like campaigning 101. It tends to annoy otherwise approachable voters. I'd be amazed if either candidate has people out past sunset.

In Florida? Everybody is like 1,000 years old there so that makes sense.

[Maxwell]

People are apparently calling 911 there giving political commentary and the police there want it to stop.

I'm sure arresting the dangerous criminal who they let flee the scene would help out in that regard.

he did sound pretty deranged in that clip when he body slammed the reporter. They should've perp walked him but the Gallatin Sherriff not only endorsed Gianforte but donated to his campaing.

[Skill and Chance]

The real question now is: What would the MT GOP prefer in 2018? Running against an incumbent Quist or running the incumbent Greg Gianforte? (assuming he even serves a full term - he might be pressured into retiring).

Probably the former.  Quist should go down to a competent challenger unless it's a Dem wave year, and even then, he's probably toast in 2020 with Trump's base turnout.  

Unless MT-02 happens, in which case Quist could entrench himself, however that looks unlikely.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Safe D

My god people, stop overeacting. Is this great for Quist, yes. But stop blowing this out of proportion, this race is still VERY MUCH IN PLAY, pure tossup.

[Matty]

It's moments like these where you would love accurate polling to see what the race was like before this incident. If emerosn and gravis are right and it's a 15 point lead for G, then it would be pretty tough for this to actually lead to a quist win. If the race is/was within 5 or 6, it's quist's to lose now.

ing polling.

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

It's moments like these where you would love accurate polling to see what the race was like before this incident. If emerosn and gravis are right and it's a 15 point lead for G, then it would be pretty tough for this to actually lead to a quist win. If the race is/was within 5 or 6, it's quist's to lose now.

ing polling.

Have to agree with you on that.

Safe D

My god people, stop overeacting. Is this great for Quist, yes. But stop blowing this out of proportion, this race is still VERY MUCH IN PLAY, pure tossup.

Especially with most votes being locked in already.

[The_Doctor]

It's moments like these where you would love accurate polling to see what the race was like before this incident. If emerosn and gravis are right and it's a 15 point lead for G, then it would be pretty tough for this to actually lead to a quist win. If the race is/was within 5 or 6, it's quist's to lose now.

ing polling.

Didn't the GOP internal poll say that Gianaforte was under 50% and the race was 2-4%? This was NOT the Gravis poll. I referenced it a few pages back. It would also dovetail with MT Treasurer's take.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

I've never once worked for a campaign that allowed canvassing after 6:00 PM. It's like campaigning 101. It tends to annoy otherwise approachable voters. I'd be amazed if either candidate has people out past sunset.

In Florida? Everybody is like 1,000 years old there so that makes sense.

Have you ever had a 43 year old house wife shriek at you on her porch at 3:00 PM? Imagine if I interrupted dinner!

[cinyc]

It's moments like these where you would love accurate polling to see what the race was like before this incident. If emerosn and gravis are right and it's a 15 point lead for G, then it would be pretty tough for this to actually lead to a quist win. If the race is/was within 5 or 6, it's quist's to lose now.

ing polling.

It would be ironic if this made my crap Google Survey the most accurate poll.  I still don't think that's going to happen.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

It's moments like these where you would love accurate polling to see what the race was like before this incident. If emerosn and gravis are right and it's a 15 point lead for G, then it would be pretty tough for this to actually lead to a quist win. If the race is/was within 5 or 6, it's quist's to lose now.

ing polling.

Gianforte could definitely win, but not by the ungodly numbers presented by Gravis. People need to stop referencing the polls to predict this election, they are worthless.

[Matty]

It's moments like these where you would love accurate polling to see what the race was like before this incident. If emerosn and gravis are right and it's a 15 point lead for G, then it would be pretty tough for this to actually lead to a quist win. If the race is/was within 5 or 6, it's quist's to lose now.

ing polling.

Have to agree with you on that.

Safe D

My god people, stop overeacting. Is this great for Quist, yes. But stop blowing this out of proportion, this race is still VERY MUCH IN PLAY, pure tossup.

Especially with most votes being locked in already.

Even if most votes are locked in, it still matters who turns out on election day. Remembe rthe louisiana gop primary, where trump demolished cruz in early vote, then saw his lead collapse as ED vote came in?

[Adam Griffin]

I've never once worked for a campaign that allowed canvassing after 6:00 PM. It's like campaigning 101. It tends to annoy otherwise approachable voters. I'd be amazed if either candidate has people out past sunset.

In Florida? Everybody is like 1,000 years old there so that makes sense.

Have you ever had a 43 year old house wife shriek at you on her porch at 3:00 PM? Imagine if I interrupted dinner!

That's just the liquor talking!

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

I've never once worked for a campaign that allowed canvassing after 6:00 PM. It's like campaigning 101. It tends to annoy otherwise approachable voters. I'd be amazed if either candidate has people out past sunset.

In Florida? Everybody is like 1,000 years old there so that makes sense.

Have you ever had a 43 year old house wife shriek at you on her porch at 3:00 PM? Imagine if I interrupted dinner!

That's just the liquor talking!

She looked like a white wine zombie mom actually.

[Technocracy Timmy]

People are apparently calling 911 there giving political commentary and the police there want it to stop.

Half of the callers are probably Atlas posters.

[AtorBoltox]

Tolerant right at it again!

[GeorgiaModerate]

Every week, I become a little more convinced that we're all living in a badly-written VR scenario.

[NeederNodder]

Good on quist for not using this to exploit voters. Hoping a miracle happens in Montana.

[Adam Griffin]

People are apparently calling 911 there giving political commentary and the police there want it to stop.

Half of the callers are probably Atlas posters.

"Hello? There's a violent criminal on the loose rampaging through the streets of Montana, bodyslamming people left and right - and the police refuse to arrest him!"

[Matty]

Good on quist for not using this to exploit voters. Hoping a miracle happens in Montana.

Given this development, would it really be a "miracle" if quist won?

[AtorBoltox]

If Gianforte wins after this can we finally admit that Republicans are deplorable and are just simply bad people?

[Adam Griffin]

People are apparently calling 911 there giving political commentary and the police there want it to stop.

Half of the callers are probably Atlas posters.

"I was wanting to get your take on how big of a swing you'd expect among females who haven't voted and who live in counties where domestic violence rates are higher than average? I'm imagining around 10 points. Discuss with maps."