MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25
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  MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25
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Author Topic: MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25  (Read 230458 times)
Figueira
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« on: December 13, 2016, 05:17:12 PM »
« edited: March 11, 2017, 10:28:39 PM by Figueira »

Linke

This shakes things up a bit. Who runs in the special election, and who runs against Tester?
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KingSweden
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« Reply #1 on: December 13, 2016, 05:19:11 PM »

I heard a rumor the guy who shot Bin Laden might run.

I think Fox wants to be Governor
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Figueira
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« Reply #2 on: December 13, 2016, 05:22:25 PM »

I heard a rumor the guy who shot Bin Laden might run.

I think Fox wants to be Governor

Zinke has said so himself
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #3 on: December 13, 2016, 05:28:56 PM »

I like CMR, but maybe she should stay in the House, she'd be a great Speaker. I'm kind of worried about the Special, plus the best tTester challenger has been removed from the field.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #4 on: December 13, 2016, 05:32:07 PM »

Zinke hasn't accepted yet. http://www.politico.com/story/2016/12/ryan-zinke-interior-secretary-trump-232590
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #5 on: December 13, 2016, 05:38:03 PM »
« Edited: December 13, 2016, 05:41:09 PM by Castro »

Denise Juneau might run again for MT-AL if Zinke leaves.
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #6 on: December 13, 2016, 05:40:07 PM »

https://mobile.twitter.com/JDiamond1/status/808803016686129152

They are saying he could serve 18 months and then run for Senate.
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JMT
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« Reply #7 on: December 13, 2016, 05:55:05 PM »

Maybe Denny Rehberg will make a comeback and decide to run for his old house seat? 
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JMT
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« Reply #8 on: December 13, 2016, 05:55:48 PM »

I'm very happy Zinke is a cabinet pick, though. It likely eliminates Tester's toughest challenger.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #9 on: December 13, 2016, 05:58:48 PM »

Maybe Denny Rehberg will make a comeback and decide to run for his old house seat? 
Doubt it. He joined a lobbying firm IIRC.
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BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #10 on: December 13, 2016, 08:45:32 PM »

Mike Cooney seems like he could be a good candidate for the Democrats. Currently serving as Bullock's Lt. Gov., and was formerly the Secretary of State. So he should have name recognition.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #11 on: December 14, 2016, 12:04:16 AM »

Reminds me of when Bush plucked Johanns for Agriculture when he was immensely popular in Nebraska removing him as a possible challenger to Ben Nelson.
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windjammer
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« Reply #12 on: December 14, 2016, 01:25:35 AM »

So now I wonder who will run.
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Klartext89
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« Reply #13 on: December 14, 2016, 02:33:34 AM »

The GOP will find a good challenger for Tester and if everything goes normal, they will be the slightly favourite to win the seat.
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Figueira
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« Reply #14 on: December 14, 2016, 03:40:25 AM »

The GOP will find a good challenger for Tester and if everything goes normal, they will be the slightly favourite to win the seat.

I think it's pretty clear that nothing is going "normal" in American politics right now.

Not that that means Tester is definitely going to win. He could lose in a landslide for all I know.
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Klartext89
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« Reply #15 on: December 14, 2016, 06:19:40 AM »

The GOP will find a good challenger for Tester and if everything goes normal, they will be the slightly favourite to win the seat.

I think it's pretty clear that nothing is going "normal" in American politics right now.

Not that that means Tester is definitely going to win. He could lose in a landslide for all I know.

Well, you definiteley have a point.
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Stranger in a strange land
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« Reply #16 on: December 14, 2016, 01:26:45 PM »

Perfect opportunity for nazi "think tank President" and future President Richard Spencer to launch his electoral career.
He'll lose. David Duke only got 3% in the LA Senate Jungle Primary, and Duke is much better-known and LA has a much longer history of racial tension to exploit. Open White Supremacy and Neo-Nazism still has a very small market.
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Xing
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« Reply #17 on: December 14, 2016, 01:30:12 PM »

This could be no big deal, and Republicans will hold MT-AL and still be very competitive in MT-SEN... or it could cost them dearly. A lot depends on how 2017 goes.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #18 on: December 14, 2016, 01:45:03 PM »

Republicans:
Neil Livingstone
Matthew Rosendale
Jon Sonju
Corey Stapleton

Democrats:
Linda McCulloch
John Morrison
Brian Schweitzer
John Walsh
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #19 on: December 14, 2016, 02:19:48 PM »

Republicans:
Neil Livingstone
Matthew Rosendale
Jon Sonju
Corey Stapleton

Democrats:
Linda McCulloch
John Morrison
Brian Schweitzer
John Walsh
John Walsh? You mean Mr. Plaigiarism? His career is over. Also, for Republicans, add Rob O'Neill, the SEAL who killed Osama.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #20 on: December 14, 2016, 02:26:29 PM »
« Edited: December 14, 2016, 03:06:43 PM by TN Volunteer »

I think that Indiana, Missouri, North Dakota, West Virginia and Ohio are all better pickup opportunities for Republicans than Montana, even though the race should be quite competitive, even without Zinke. I'd rate it a Tossup for now. We'll just have to see, I guess. Neither party should feel too confident about this race at this point.


Haha, I see what you did there. Just noticed this now.
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SATW
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« Reply #21 on: December 14, 2016, 03:04:08 PM »

Rob O'Neill would be my preferred candidate.
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coloradocowboi
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« Reply #22 on: December 14, 2016, 03:51:31 PM »

Tim Fox or Greg Gianforte would certainly make this a Tossup as well. Tester is still quite vulnerable. And barring a disastrous Trump presidency, Democrats aren't going to win MT-AL.

Edit: Whoa, now that I think about it... Gianforte running for Senate in 2018 and Fox running for governor in 2020 would kinda make sense.

Gianforte who underperformed Donald Trump by 27 points this year... yeah okay.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #23 on: December 14, 2016, 04:01:24 PM »
« Edited: December 14, 2016, 04:04:28 PM by TN Volunteer »

Tim Fox or Greg Gianforte would certainly make this a Tossup as well. Tester is still quite vulnerable. And barring a disastrous Trump presidency, Democrats aren't going to win MT-AL.

Edit: Whoa, now that I think about it... Gianforte running for Senate in 2018 and Fox running for governor in 2020 would kinda make sense.

Gianforte who underperformed Donald Trump by 27 points this year... yeah okay.

That's not how this works. Bullock is a popular incumbent who wasn't going to be beaten by any Republican. Fox MIGHT have done one or two points better, but that's about it. Popular Democratic incumbent governors in Montana don't lose reelection. Gianforte was not a perfect candidate, but he didn't really run a BAD campaign either. Had this been an open seat, Gianforte probably would have won the election.

Also try to find a better Republican candidate.... other than maybe Tim Fox, there really isn't one.
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #24 on: December 14, 2016, 05:19:45 PM »

O'Neill is probably the republicans top recruit for senate, Tim Fox is another candidate though he seems much more interested in Governor. Corey Stapleton is ambitious but he just got elected to SOS and turning that quickly for either house or senate would look bad
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