MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25
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  MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25
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Author Topic: MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25  (Read 231968 times)
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1875 on: May 25, 2017, 12:20:23 AM »

Also, as someone else in IRC pointed out (forgive me; I forget who), this means that Gianforte will likely not run for Governor in 2020, meaning that Fox will probably do so rather than run against Tester. It's astonishing how one man's absolutely f-cking stupid actions will affect this entire state in the future.

Marc Raicicot could run against Tester then.


Can Montana actually afford to have a second special election? That was the big deal behind the mail in only ballot measure. If counties are in this serious of financial trouble,and Gianforte resigns(after winning the election) wouldn't Montana just let the seat remain vacant until '18?

Under state law, a special election has to be called for a date within 85-100 days of the vacancy beginning to exist. So if Assaulterforte were to resign on say, June 10th, a special election would have to happen between September 3 and September 18, inclusive.

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cxs018
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« Reply #1876 on: May 25, 2017, 12:22:18 AM »

Sure, but let's be honest. Fox would be a much better candidate against Tester than Racicot (if he even runs).
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cinyc
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« Reply #1877 on: May 25, 2017, 12:22:42 AM »

Can Montana actually afford to have a second special election? That was the big deal behind the mail in only ballot measure. If counties are in this serious of financial trouble,and Gianforte resigns(after winning the election) wouldn't Montana just let the seat remain vacant until '18?

No.  Montana law requires the governor call a special election from 85 to 100 days after a vacancy occurs.
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Angrie
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« Reply #1878 on: May 25, 2017, 12:28:16 AM »

Can Montana actually afford to have a second special election? That was the big deal behind the mail in only ballot measure. If counties are in this serious of financial trouble,and Gianforte resigns(after winning the election) wouldn't Montana just let the seat remain vacant until '18?

Wouldn't Gianforte be wealthy enough to donate the needed funding to the state? Seems like that would be the appropriate thing to do.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1879 on: May 25, 2017, 12:36:41 AM »

Gianforte will still win ...

Now more than ever.

All the shy Rs will be like:

"What ? He punched some librul, fake-news reporter ? Let's vote for him !"
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Matty
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« Reply #1880 on: May 25, 2017, 12:47:43 AM »

Gianforte will still win ...

Now more than ever.

All the shy Rs will be like:

"What ? He punched some librul, fake-news reporter ? Let's vote for him !"

I know you are trying to make a joke, but this isn't all that unrealistic, tbh.

which is sad.
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The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #1881 on: May 25, 2017, 12:48:28 AM »

Gianforte must appear in court by June 7

What a night.  Whoever wins, I'm thankful for all the laughs.
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Bakersfield Uber Alles
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« Reply #1882 on: May 25, 2017, 12:57:28 AM »


Yep. Can't say I expected this. What a crazy few hours. Nice to have some excitement that isn't Trump related. Hope the reporter is ok though.
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Bakersfield Uber Alles
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« Reply #1883 on: May 25, 2017, 01:00:28 AM »


Yep. Can't say I expected this. What a crazy few hours. Nice to have some excitement that isn't Trump related. Hope the reporter is ok though.
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rob in cal
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« Reply #1884 on: May 25, 2017, 01:05:49 AM »

  Predict it odds going up and down a bit, right now close to a 50-50 pick.  The comment section there makes Atlas look like one of those scholarly discussion panels on C-SPAN.
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Angrie
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« Reply #1885 on: May 25, 2017, 01:07:52 AM »

The Helena independent record has pulled their endorsement as well.

http://helenair.com/news/local/independent-record-withdraws-endorsement-of-gianforte/article_0d7d40b6-8d5d-587c-86f7-290a611b53db.html
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jfern
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« Reply #1886 on: May 25, 2017, 01:16:36 AM »

Hopefully these are all morning papers.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #1887 on: May 25, 2017, 01:17:12 AM »

When I first read the headline, this is roughly how I pictured the incident:



Now, this is how I imagine it:

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PredictIt User
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« Reply #1888 on: May 25, 2017, 01:31:36 AM »

PI User here,

Someone was messing with the market tonight so it is extremely volatile so I wouldn't trust the price. As for me, I have Quist YES and Gianforte NO. I think Quist has an EV lead of 5-7% but ultimately I still think Gianforte wins by like 2%.
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Shadows
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« Reply #1889 on: May 25, 2017, 01:41:58 AM »

I was going to post a Gianforte +1/+2 prediction before all this & I am sticking to this unless there is massive Dem turnout in which case Quist would win.

If this would have happened 3-4 days earlier with constant publicity regarding this - How is the reporter? Is he filling charges? Gianforte's denial! This reporter's interview & all - Ultimately ending with focus on the CBO score, it would have been better for Quist.

This is the Republican party where a man can make racist comments all the time, brag about sexually assaulting women, say sorry & get away with it. Doubt a huge chunk of GOP voters will give a shi* about this !

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Technocracy Timmy
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« Reply #1890 on: May 25, 2017, 02:00:52 AM »

I can't believe a fully fledged Berniecrat (based on what I've read on his policy positions) is gonna win a House seat in Montana.

President Cordray is very pleased.

As is TYT and Secular Talk.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #1891 on: May 25, 2017, 04:38:20 AM »

I can't believe a fully fledged Berniecrat (based on what I've read on his policy positions) is gonna win a House seat in Montana.

President Cordray is very pleased.

As is TYT and Secular Talk.

That's wonderful news! #lockhimup
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jfern
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« Reply #1892 on: May 25, 2017, 05:13:40 AM »

The reporter left the hospital with a sling.

4:36
http://www.krtv.com/clip/13359248/fox-news-film-crew-witnessed-altercation-between-gianforte-and-reporter-audio
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riceowl
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« Reply #1893 on: May 25, 2017, 05:38:42 AM »

Gianforte will still win ...

Now more than ever.

All the shy Rs will be like:

"What ? He punched some librul, fake-news reporter ? Let's vote for him !"

This. I keep reading the thread but am sincerely doubtful he suffers from this. You know everything on Hannity the last 4 months has been about the (quoting) "Destroy Trump Media"? An assault on the media is not going to play negatively with these people.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #1894 on: May 25, 2017, 05:55:26 AM »

The sheriff's comment asking people to stop calling 911 for information reminded me of the woman on Reno 911! who used to tell guys to call 911 if they wanted to ask her out.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #1895 on: May 25, 2017, 06:05:58 AM »

So what exactly did the journalist say to cause this rage? If it was nothing more than a simple question the authoritarian and fascist tendencies of the GOP have been displayed yet again

unreal. More generalizations.

I see some of the deepest, seething hatred for people you disagree with on here than anywhere else.

Dude, this goes beyond politics. You think this reflects the gop? Really? Does corrine brown reflect the dems?
Please don't try and deny that President Trump shows anything but contempt towards journalists and the very idea of a free press
Yes, he didn't like a lot of liberal journalists, but he never attacked the press for being free. That's just your imagination.

"Some people will say 'freedom of speech, freedom of speech' - these are stupid people"

- Donald Trump, on why it's ok to "shut down the internet"
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Cruzcrew
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« Reply #1896 on: May 25, 2017, 06:49:24 AM »

Honestly, I can really see Gianforte somehow winning after this whole body slamming thing with a bunch of Trumpkins loving the whole "body slamming the left/media" thing.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1897 on: May 25, 2017, 06:49:33 AM »


Does this mean we'll get a mugshot today?
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #1898 on: May 25, 2017, 06:51:24 AM »

No he can appear in court from today to June 7th.
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #1899 on: May 25, 2017, 06:57:00 AM »

ALL YOU HAD TO DO WAS NOT GET CHARGED WITH A CRIME
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