MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25

[Gass3268]

Here is what one of the morning papers look like:

[ajc0918]

With 2/3rds of Montanans already voting, did this come too late for Quist?

[heatcharger]

Also, as someone else in IRC pointed out (forgive me; I forget who), this means that Gianforte will likely not run for Governor in 2020, meaning that Fox will probably do so rather than run against Tester. It's astonishing how one man's absolutely f-cking stupid actions will affect this entire state in the future.

No? Why would this incident change Fox's mind? He could still run for Senate if he wants to. I think Rosendale might be the GOP nominee for governor in 2020 assuming Fox runs against Tester. Republicans will probably lose the gubernatorial race by 2-4 or so.

I don't really understand CX's logic, but I think Fox could win an open gubernatorial rather comfortably. I wonder if that's more appealing to him than having to run in a barn burner of a race against Tester.

[Nyvin]

Gianforte is still going to win,  I'm pretty confident of this.

[MT Treasurer]

I don't really understand CX's logic, but I think Fox could win an open gubernatorial rather comfortably. I wonder if that's more appealing to him than having to run in a barn burner of a race against Tester.

Maybe, who knows. He could run for Senate and if he lost narrowly (and it wouldn't be by more than 1 or 2 points IMO) he could still run for governor. It really didn't hurt Gianforte very much either.

Also, I'm not sure why people expect Fox to win the open gubernatorial race without breaking a sweat? The race would maybe be Lean R, but in reality closer to Tossup. Democrats will probably run Mike Cooney.

But it will be interesting for sure. I still predict that all three races (MT-SEN 2018, MT-SEN 2020, MT-GOV 2020) will be tossups and highly competitive by election day.

[Shameless Lefty Hack]

To a certain extent, provided the public is made fully aware of this, GG getting elected today doesn't matter; DCCC will throw it on the top of the target list for 2018.

[GlobeSoc]

Garbage polls+ EV leans D+ ED vote affected by recent events= Moderate Quist Win.

[Figueira]

Oh, don't get me wrong, I'm still not totally convinced that Quist will win yet, nor did I ever get the impression that Gianforte was an Akin-type before all of this. I still think that post is gold, though.

Fair enough.

Also, as someone else in IRC pointed out (forgive me; I forget who), this means that Gianforte will likely not run for Governor in 2020, meaning that Fox will probably do so rather than run against Tester. It's astonishing how one man's absolutely f-cking stupid actions will affect this entire state in the future.

No? Why would this incident change Fox's mind? He could still run for Senate if he wants to. I think Rosendale might be the GOP nominee for governor in 2020 assuming Fox runs against Tester. Republicans will probably lose the gubernatorial race by 2-4 or so.

Also, Mark Racicot isn't going to run for anything.

I think the logic is that Fox would rather run for Governor and not Senate, and was only considering running for Senate because he didn't want to challenge Gianforte in a gubernatorial primary. Not sure how likely that is.

[Hindsight was 2020]

It's really getting depressing reading endless RW reactions loving what he did like this is really getting scary guys

[Progressive]

It's really getting depressing reading endless RW reactions loving what he did like this is really getting scary guys

I know. People have lost their minds. But I guess the bar is set so low now, that so much is considered acceptable. Like the McDonald's presidency of junk and filth.

[ApatheticAustrian]

Gianforte is doing a big Nbc interview tonight with chuck todd.

and fox is - on air - downplaying this and hiding their own reporter, while spreading GF's take.



https://mobile.twitter.com/MattGertz/status/867711836707311617

[MasterJedi]

It's really getting depressing reading endless RW reactions loving what he did like this is really getting scary guys

I know. People have lost their minds. But I guess the bar is set so low now, that so much is considered acceptable. Like the McDonald's presidency of junk and filth.

Sadly what do you expect when people have been brainwashed for so long that liberals are the enemy and actually evil. So they don't care when violence happens. And people wonder how things like the Holocaust happened in Germany.

[Gass3268]

Violent Greg cancelled his appearance on MTPDaily

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[Tintrlvr]

Violent Greg cancelled his appearance on MTPDaily

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Seeking the safety of Fox News.

[Progressive]

Violent Greg cancelled his appearance on MTPDaily

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Seeking the safety of Fox News.

Canceled his appearance on Fox too

[Dr. Arch]

Will NYT have a map up? What will be the best places to track results as they come in tonight?

[Chief Justice Keef]

Violent Greg cancelled his appearance on MTPDaily

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Seeking the safety of Fox News.

Canceled his appearance on Fox too

Probably the best thing for him to do at this point.

[PredictIt User]

What time do results come in? 10-15 minutes after polls close? and what counties report first?

[Tintrlvr]

I assume we'll get a big dump of early votes within half an hour after polls close and then a slow trickle of day-of results after that. Typical pattern in rural states is that the tiny rural counties generally report early and cities (such as they are in Montana) report last, but don't know for sure if that is true of Montana.

[Tintrlvr]

Violent Greg cancelled his appearance on MTPDaily

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Seeking the safety of Fox News.

Canceled his appearance on Fox too

Fair enough.

[ApatheticAustrian]

poll closing is 8 p.m. MST?

i think, for a change i am not going to stay up! XD

[Adam Griffin]

Would be kind of dumb to go on the air in the final hours of voting - would have minimal impact. If he was going to go on any shows, he should have done it first thing this morning.

[ApatheticAustrian]

seems like FN finally dared to air Acuna
https://twitter.com/BraddJaffy/status/867734607692779521

https://twitter.com/TomNamako/status/867737914045861889



MSNBC's Joe Scarborough blames Trump for GOP candidate Greg Gianforte's alleged assault of a reporter
http://theweek.com/speedreads/701327/msnbcs-joe-scarborough-blames-trump-gop-candidate-greg-gianfortes-alleged-assault-reporter



Rep. Duncan Hunter said of MT reporter assault, “It’s not appropriate behavior. Unless the reporter deserved it.”
https://twitter.com/MCJalonick/status/867750282276605953

[GlobeSoc]

Any turnout reports yet?

[#gravelgang #lessiglad]

seems like FN finally dared to air Acuna
https://twitter.com/BraddJaffy/status/867734607692779521

https://twitter.com/TomNamako/status/867737914045861889



MSNBC's Joe Scarborough blames Trump for GOP candidate Greg Gianforte's alleged assault of a reporter
http://theweek.com/speedreads/701327/msnbcs-joe-scarborough-blames-trump-gop-candidate-greg-gianfortes-alleged-assault-reporter



Rep. Duncan Hunter said of MT reporter assault, “It’s not appropriate behavior. Unless the reporter deserved it.”
https://twitter.com/MCJalonick/status/867750282276605953

Assault is never "deserved."