MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25

[Technocracy Timmy]

Apparently, all the precincts in Liberty county are reporting, and Wicks got 16.6% there! Any reason why he'd do so well there specifically?

Libertarian candidate = Liberty county.

[TheSaint250]

Both Gianforte and Wicks are over performing, imo.

[NOVA Green]

So how soon before we can expect to see ED results from the larger "urban" centers of the state?

[The Other Castro]

Beet, your posts are bad.

[krazen1211]

Gianforte is extending his lead!

[Maxwell]

Can we at least expect Crazy Greg's lead to stabilize now? If it gets over 10 this will be beyond pathetic.

there are still parts of the west not in + election day vote is not exactly going to be as good for Gianforte as it was for Republicans in GA-06 or Ron Estes in KS-04.

[Yank2133]

A reminder that the DCCC spent a tenth on this race what they've spent in GA-6 so far.

Quist has also raised millions of dollars, getting a fundraising advantage over The Piano Man.

Quiet, it just easier to blame the DCCC then to admit that left-wing populism isn't some magic elixir that is going to win over rural voters. 

uh I was agreeing with you that the DCCC is not to blame?

why can't anyone on this forum read?

I know.

I was being sarcastic.

[Libertarian in Name Only]

Apparently, all the precincts in Liberty county are reporting, and Wicks got 16.6% there! Any reason why he'd do so well there specifically?

LOL

[Kamala]

Both Gianforte and Wicks are over performing, imo.

My guess: Gianforte was headed to a two-digit win, but bled support to Wicks due to the bodyslamming - Quist's support remained constant.

[Beet]

Beet, your posts are bad.

I'm allowed to blow off a little steam after being browbeat for 7 months over how many Democrat but Clinton would have wiped the board. Bernie woulda won. Biden woulda won. Obama woulda won. O'Malley woulda won. It was a rejection of HER. LOL.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

CNN sounds like they're going to call it for Gianforte soon.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION: ASSAULTERFORTE WINS

CANDIDATE   PARTY   VOTES   PCT.   
Greg Gianforte
Rep.
117,308   49.9%   
Rob Quist
Dem.
104,119   44.3   
Mark Wicks
Lib.
13,572   5.8   
42% reporting (284 of 681 precincts)

[Matty]

Guys, remember quist isn't exactly prince charming here. Yea, he didn't assault anyone, but he has some major sketchy background issues. It probably turned a lot of potential voters away.

[Storebought]

So Trump was right after all: he, or, after today, any Republican, can shoot someone in broad daylight and it won't cost him a single vote.

[libertpaulian]

What is Schweitzer up to these days?

Recalibrating his gaydar.

The hell does that mean?

[heatcharger]

Beet, your posts are bad.

Some of it is deranged, but he's making pretty astute points about how left-wing populism is failing to deliver.

[Orser67]

I know some people are probably going to complain about the DCCC not investing in this race, but their decision not to invest and to lower expectations is looking pretty smart. Losing this race isn't a big deal. What would have been a bigger deal is if Republicans were able to both win the race and argue that they beat expectations (and the DCCC).

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Greg Gianforte (Republican)    49.8%   118,988
Rob Quist (Democratic)    44.5%   106,305
Mark Wicks (Libertarian)    5.8%   13,847

GG +5.3% over RQ, the margin is coming down.

[Libertarian in Name Only]

Apparently, all the precincts in Liberty county are reporting, and Wicks got 16.6% there! Any reason why he'd do so well there specifically?

LOL

Actually, Wicks' hometown in Hill County neighbors this county, guessing a lot of personal connections?

[Adam Griffin]

The NYT numbers seem... weird. For instance, both the NYT and the MT SOS report the same number of votes in Missoula, but the NYT says that 32/52 precincts are in while the MT SOS says that zero are. Is the NYT trying to estimate the percentage of the early vote to election day voters, or is something messed up with their reporting?

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/montana-house-special-election
http://mtelectionresults.gov/resultsSW.aspx?type=FED

Never pay any attention to NYT's "precincts reporting" stat.

[Hammy]

Beet, your posts are bad.

I'm allowed to blow off a little steam after being browbeat for 7 months over how any Democrat but Clinton would have wiped the board. Bernie woulda won. Biden woulda won. Obama woulda won. O'Malley woulda won. It was a rejection of HER. She wasn't far left enough. yada yada yada nonstop.

Those assertions are correct (except O'Malley who is utterly awful) and seeing a Berniecrat lose Montana (a state Sanders himself would've very likely lost) is not evidence to the contrary.

[Adam Griffin]

Beet, your posts are bad.

I'm allowed to blow off a little steam after being browbeat for 7 months over how any Democrat but Clinton would have wiped the board. Bernie woulda won. Biden woulda won. Obama woulda won. O'Malley woulda won. It was a rejection of HER. She wasn't far left enough. yada yada yada nonstop.

No, you're not, considering you adopted the very same shtick just a few months ago.

[Shadows]

The whole 4/5% margin came true. Anyways, 3/4th of the votes were in - It was naive of atlas to think the remaining votes (many hard right folks) will have so much swing due to the Greg assaulting a "liberal reporter" !

[Chief Justice Keef]

Beet, your posts are bad.

Some of it is deranged, but he's making pretty astute points about how left-wing populism is failing to deliver.

A Bernie delegate flipped a NY legislative seat that went for Trump by 18 points in 2016.

[Badger]

Guys, remember quist isn't exactly prince charming here. Yea, he didn't assault anyone, but he has some major sketchy background issues. It probably turned a lot of potential voters away.

True dat.