MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25 (user search)
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  MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25 (search mode)
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Author Topic: MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25  (Read 232253 times)
#TheShadowyAbyss
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« on: May 24, 2017, 06:58:05 PM »
Quote from: Not_Madigan on May 24, 2017, 06:57:21 PM
THIS IS HOW YOU DEAL WITH FAKE NEWS

By assaulting people? How crass.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #1 on: May 24, 2017, 07:26:05 PM »
CNN is now playing the audio.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #2 on: May 24, 2017, 07:42:54 PM »
Quote from: Sherrod Brown Hack on May 24, 2017, 07:42:04 PM
Quote from: Technocratic Timmy on May 24, 2017, 07:41:46 PM
Quote from: Classic on May 24, 2017, 07:40:19 PM
What the hell? Even though Jacobs shouldn't have gone into the room, this is not a good thing for Gianforte to do. I'll still support him because I like his positions on the issues but this was very idiotic and cruel.

Of course you will.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #3 on: May 24, 2017, 07:52:28 PM »

Of course they haven't.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #4 on: May 24, 2017, 08:12:49 PM »
I have a feeling this does nothing tomorrow.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
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Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #5 on: May 24, 2017, 08:16:25 PM »
Quote from: Brittain33 on May 24, 2017, 08:14:26 PM
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on May 24, 2017, 08:12:49 PM
I have a feeling this does nothing tomorrow.

You don't think that this is going to discourage some lukewarm Republican voters, who were already on the fence because of the AHCA, from getting out to vote for someone who may be under arrest by the time they get to the polls?

I think we're being too quick to judge how this will work out, I think his MoV will be narrowed, but not enough to allow Quist to win the seat. If I'm wrong, I'll be happy. But I think we need to be rational here.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #6 on: May 24, 2017, 09:11:44 PM »
People are apparently calling 911 there giving political commentary and the police there want it to stop.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
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Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #7 on: May 24, 2017, 10:27:19 PM »
Can we get back on topic and stop arguing over which side is more violent?
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
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Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #8 on: May 24, 2017, 10:40:53 PM »
is the other 1/3rd enough to sway it to Quist? I still think Gianforte will win, but it will be close and wouldn't be surprised to see Wick at 3.5%+
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
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Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #9 on: May 25, 2017, 04:38:04 PM »
people have been calling in asking if they could change their vote - according to CNN, and only 1 voter out of 75 said they changed their vote from GG to RQ and Pubs tended to agree with GG and encouraged his behavior according to Kyung Lah
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
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Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #10 on: May 25, 2017, 04:59:03 PM »
So, are we for the most part going into this blind, since all we had were pretty sh!tty pollsters and then Google Consumer Surveys?

Why did no really good pollsters poll the race?
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
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Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #11 on: May 25, 2017, 05:23:41 PM »
Where can we see results coming in?
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #12 on: May 25, 2017, 05:38:43 PM »
I think it's gonna end up being:

GG - 49%
RQ - 46%
MW - 5%
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #13 on: May 25, 2017, 06:07:28 PM »
Regardless of what happens tonight, even if Gianforte wins, the GOP should be concerned that this race was ever as close as it was.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
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Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #14 on: May 25, 2017, 07:10:34 PM »
https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/montana-house-special-election

NYT map is up.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
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Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #15 on: May 25, 2017, 07:23:21 PM »
I just realized the NYT map is a precinct map, not county map.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
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Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #16 on: May 25, 2017, 07:36:27 PM »
So, could I be wrong about predicting a Gianforte +3 win?
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
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Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #17 on: May 25, 2017, 08:01:38 PM »
59 minutes left until the show begins.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #18 on: May 25, 2017, 08:34:02 PM »
So....is that encouraging news for Quist?

Quote from: Mondale Won 1 State on May 25, 2017, 08:26:28 PM
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
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Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #19 on: May 25, 2017, 08:51:44 PM »
Gotta love Nate Silver....
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
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Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #20 on: May 25, 2017, 08:56:52 PM »
Just 4 more minutes, the nerd in me is excited.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
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Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #21 on: May 25, 2017, 09:01:09 PM »
Yellowstone is a good place to watch, Gianforte needs to do very well there.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #22 on: May 25, 2017, 09:05:42 PM »
Found this in twitter...don't know if true:

First results for Missoula: Quist 19,499. Gianforte 10,866.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #23 on: May 25, 2017, 09:06:09 PM »
BREAKING: Hour+ long wait to cast ballot in Browning (Blackfeet rez). Stay in line!
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #24 on: May 25, 2017, 09:09:23 PM »
Greg Gianforte
Rep.
35,228   52.5%   
Rob Quist
Dem.
27,656   41.2   
Mark Wicks
Lib.
4,277   6.4   
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