MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25

[Sumner 1868]

I'm far more hopeful about this race than GA-06.

[Sumner 1868]

What a weird turn this thread made...

Anyway, the NRCC posted a preview of what kind of rhetoric we should expect in this race. About what I expected.

[Sumner 1868]

In other other news, 800k in TV ads have already been spent on the race.

All of them on the GOP side.

Figures. D's probably won't spend a cent there until GA-06 is over.

[Sumner 1868]

It looks like MT Republicans are currently trying to replay their 2010 card and tie Quist with Nancy Pelosi.

[Sumner 1868]

A 12-point gap in a subpar pollster over a month before the election shouldn't be insurmountable.

Yeah, we aren't going to see real polls for a while out here.

[Sumner 1868]

Sanders is apparently going to campaign for Quist. Good for him or bad?

http://www.kpax.com/story/35167743/bernie-sanders-to-campaign-for-rob-quist-across-montana

[Sumner 1868]

Running a candidate who supports gun control was a terrible idea.

[Sumner 1868]

Running a candidate who supports gun control was a terrible idea.

Quist isn't pro-gun control?

He wants firearms federally registered. The Republicans have been attacking him for that for weeks.

[Sumner 1868]

Democrats gained no House seats in the 2005 special elections for the record.

[Sumner 1868]

We can win these voters for sure (here's me being optimistic), but it'll take 3rd way Clintonite centrists like Jim Justice, John Bel Edwards, and Joe Manchin, not far-left purity troll-endorsed candidates who are foisted on the party by the likes of ssuperflash and jfern.

Ah, yes, let's just keep doing the exact same thing we did in 2016. That worked out really well.

Suburban whites across the board are more liberal then rural whites, since a good portion of them are college educated.

If you want to win over rural voters, you are going to have to shift to the right on both economics and  social issues and I know that is something you don't want to do.

You really think Democrats couldn't successfully appeal to rural voters stricken by massive economic anxiety with policies that involved broad wealth redistribution?

Nope sorry to break it to you but rural areas are finishing a turn red that has been happening since Reagan an now suburban areas are shifting blue. An like some reps would of been saying about rural voters with Reagan you are dead wrong on suburanties be only a temporary shift

What? Rural areas were Republican long before Reagan.

[Sumner 1868]

The FDR coalition didn't really end until 1980. Even Eisenhower and Nixon by and large governed like New Deal Democrats. Reagan set the stage for a completely different outlook on government and he was boosted by Tip O'Neill and the Democrats who helped Reagan get most of his agenda through during the 80's.

We had a thread a while back that observed much of the New Deal Coalition was actually still intact as late as 1996:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=227711.0