MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25

[Gass3268]

White Nationalist Richard Spencer thinking of running.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/richard-spencer-white-nationalist-congress_us_58540839e4b0b3ddfd8c2f4b?khc1yynjws7qr529

With Trump winning the Presidency I won't discount anything, but it would be nice for Montana 2018 to become the Colorado of 2016.

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The worst thing about a Quist victory will be the national media interpreting this as a "rejection of the Republican Party" and people here saying that Tester is safe in 2018, etc. Ugh, it's going to be so awful.

If Quist wins by a lot, this will probably happen on Atlas for a few days, maybe a week or two tops. Because we wont have real 2018 data, it'll be easy to extrapolate from this. But it'll die down soon.

That same meme will probably get a few days of news cycle too.

[Gass3268]

Quist is starting to get money that would make some Senatorial campaigns blush:

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[Gass3268]

Emerson is trash, but this probably means Gianforte is up in the high single digits.

[Gass3268]

Why would Quist be gaining in this race? Obviously Trump is in meltdown but would that change enough voters minds? I thought Pianoforte was up by 7ish in the polls?

We don't know whether Quist is gaining in this race, but the polls showing Republicans up by a massive amount were always junk. Pianoforte had the higher name recognition due to his gubernatorial campaign and Democrats always come home in the end. This happens in almost every election in MT (a reverse VA, if you want), there is nothing surprising about this.

If you believe Eric Erickson, he said polling has moved hard recently. Take it for what it's worth.

[Gass3268]

The specials held in the shadow of stupid watergate will be disasters for the republicans!

I feel like this shift has more to do with AHCA than Russiagate, but regardless, seems like Quist is definitely gaining.

Agreed that Trumpcare plays better in these more populist areas, but Russiagate is obviously playing a part.

[Gass3268]

Can Gianforte just behave himself for the next week? Doesn't he realize that if he loses, a BERNIECRAT gets elected? This is honestly getting a little scary.

There already are a number of Bernicrat's in Congress. That's a good thing.

[Gass3268]

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This could be a big deal here, especially with Quist making preexisting conditions the closing argument of his campaign. Unless something big comes out on Russia/Trump, all of the news across the country is going to be about AHCA less than 24 hours before voting starts.

[Gass3268]

Roll Call moved this from Likely R to Tilts R

[Gass3268]

So this happened:

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[Gass3268]

Greg Gianforte is skyrocketing up the trending list on Twitter.

[Gass3268]

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HOLY CRAP

It looks like this twitter account was just created.

Chris Hayes is leading with this story.

[Gass3268]

Alexis Levinson is now being interviewed by Chris Hayes.

[Gass3268]

quist goes the high road.....

https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/867529888714149888

Looking at that video I'm guessing he literally just found about it from the reporter. Good for him taking the high road, I guess.

Basically what McCaskill did after legitimate rape

It's better to let the story speak for itself.

[Gass3268]

Alexis Levinson confirmed that Jacobs left in an ambulance as a precaution, but he's okay.

[Gass3268]

I laughed...

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[Gass3268]

Here is the audio

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Ben Jacobs is currently talking on MSNBC with Chris Hayes

[Gass3268]

Jacob sounds extreamly frazzled in his interview.

[Gass3268]

Gianforte campaign completely lies in his statement

[Gass3268]

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[Gass3268]

DCCC calls on Gianforte to drop out

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[Gass3268]

The police scanner of the incident is in this article

[Gass3268]

is MT known to be an early vote state? and....election day vote is still more republican, eh?

Generally it is, yeah.

So will there be a video of this or just the audio?

jacobs only talked about an audio release, so i guess no video of his own...and i don't think, GF is likely to release possible campaign screenings.

Local news was set up there, no word if they were recording.