MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25

[Pyro]

Frightening.

[Pyro]

Kyle Kondik‏ @kkondik
Kyle Kondik Retweeted Brian Rosenwald
Probably two-thirds of total vote or so is already cast

https://twitter.com/kkondik/status/867529076201967616

As was said, undecideds vote on Election Day. That may be all it takes.

[Pyro]

Regardless of the outcome, interesting to think how the result would have differed if early voting had not been a factor.

[Pyro]

I'm absolutely taken aghast that a Republican can literally bodyslam a reporter and still even have a chance of winning a congressional seat. It's madness.

"A few days ago I called the fake news the enemy of the people, and they are — they are the enemy of the people." - The Current President

[Pyro]

This result is expected - although this was a winnable contest, it was a long-shot for Dems from the start with the headlong anti-Quist spree from the Right. Gianforte's stunt yesterday seems to have not affected the race in a meaningful way, as frightening as that is, and he looks to be finishing between 6-10 pts at the moment. A loss is a loss, but that not an awful margin for Quist's poorly run and underfunded Montana campaign. Georgia should give us a clearer picture on how the national landscape is shaping up.

[Pyro]

I mean come on, democrats improved by 14 points compared with Hillary. It's not a bad result.

That's the real story people should be paying attention to. A 14-point swing towards Democrats nationally would be a complete wave.

The swing also may be indicating a warmer, more active response to left-ish populist tactics (taking into account Quist's mediocre campaign) from the Democrats over hurrah-centrism of the past cycles.