MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25

[Maxwell]

the same Amanda Curtis that ran in 2014? huh

[Maxwell]

ugh the Baucus family sucks

[Maxwell]

ugh the Baucus family sucks

You have more achievements? Or judge people by names, not deeds?

Well Baucus was a pretty worthless Senator when he was in office, even by "moderate hero" standards, and he tried to get his wife confirmed to an office she wasn't confirmed. I have little confidence "Zeno" is going to be much better.

yes i know your schtick is to defend every single conservative democrat or liberal republican regardless of how worthwhile they actually are because that's what you do. and then act superior about it.

[Maxwell]

so we only get to judge "very serious" politicians if we get elected anywhere? then what the  is this forum for?

Quite literally this forum would only be Muon talking in a vaccum if that were the case.

[Maxwell]

Quist and Curtis are both lefty - Curtis was accused of being a psuedo-commie when she ran for Senate.

[Maxwell]

yes Republicans please keep calling him Bernie Sanders, the most popular politician in the country.

[Maxwell]

Sounds like it's gonna be Rich Dude (R) vs. Music Dude (D)

[Maxwell]

This is not a Pennsylvania thread.

That being said, Sestak was pretty much a trainwreck in his 2016 campaign and McGinty did much better than I expected her to (running even with Clinton and doing much better in rural PA). Sestak would've 100% done worse.

Quist has received the Our Revolution endorsement.

[Maxwell]

I'm listening to Quist's music, and dude's a fantastic musician. Smooth voice too.

Then again I love me some bluegrass so...

[Maxwell]

but pelosi is the worst dem leader because muh republican tv ads.

[Maxwell]

I'd be surprised if Wicks only got 3%. Libertarian protest votes tend to do very well in Montana.

[Maxwell]

hillary supporters really are the sorest primary election winners/general election losers.

[Maxwell]

I give his ad an A+. Total Boss.

[Maxwell]

With regard to Emerson, here is a poll from February saying Americans trust Trump more than they trust the media.  Take that as you will.

but if you ask them SPECIFIC media sources, every poll has shown that Americans trust CNN more than Trump, even the failin' New York Times more than Trump. If you ask them about "the media", people think of their own ghoulish impressions of it (even from a left perspective) and pick Trump.

[Maxwell]

Look - Democrats don't have to care about electing Rob Quist to the House. They should be energized to oppose god damn Greg Gianforte, of carpet bagging, sales tax instituting, creation museum creating, public land selling fame. He's a genuine HP who deserves to be beat and beat badly.

[Maxwell]

I don't want to be a stereotypical lame lib, but until Trump releases his tax returns I really don't give a hoot what happens with Quists taxes and I assume many Montanans feel he's just an honest guy being attacked by Gianforte henchmen.

[Maxwell]

Cant Betwixt the Quist!

[Maxwell]

lol watch Quist win anyways. I mean the margin in this race is getting closer, not further away.

[Maxwell]

I know Donal Trump is President, but I honestly don't get how this is still competitive given Quist's history.

Quist is running a great campaign and seems identifiable in a way that Gianforte is just not.

[Maxwell]

Quist's crappy campaign is giving them an excuse to look bipartisan.

More like Quist's grab bag of baggage.

[Maxwell]

This will be a test in

1) how much baggage a Democrat can have and still (potentially) win?
2) how mad people are about AHCA?
3) how well a very flawed Bernie-ite candidate can do?

Also, considering how high Quist's name recognition is in Montana (most people have seen him perform), I doubt muh newspaper endorsements are going to matter all that much considering a) how divisive Gianforte is and b) how other scandals have hit Quist and have not dented his polling numbers.

[Maxwell]

Gianforte on donating to suspected white nationalist: 'I was unaware of some of his views'
Missoulian/JAYME FRASER

This story is in the Montana media today.  Apparently, Gianforte donated money to all Republican state house candidates last cycle, including one or two who the Southern Poverty Law Center and liberal Montana bloggers think are white nationalists. 

My views on the SPLC are fairly well known -for reasons better explained by this recent article in the Federalist, the SPLC is a partisan Democratic group masquerading as an anti-hate group whose word about things should not be taken at face value.  They tend to label all conservatives as hate groups.

I dont think stuff like this hurts politicians anymore. It honestly seems like vague white supremacy is ''in'' these days in American politics.

Maybe I'm biased, but I think this stuff is going to hurt Gianforte more because he's the frontrunner.

[Maxwell]

if only Quist were winning by 5

[Maxwell]

Final Prediction:
50% Gianforte
47% Quist

[Maxwell]

Also House polls are generally pretty bad.