U.K Local By-Elections Thread
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #25 on: August 27, 2005, 09:08:05 AM »

Falkirk SDC, hERBERTSHIRE
snp 1019 (62.7%, +27.3%)
Lab 532 (32.7%, -21.5%)
Con 46 (2.8%, -7.6%)

bROXTOWE BC, sTAPLEFORD sOUTHwEST
Lab 466 (39.2%, -1.8%)
LD 353 (34%, - 9.7%)
CON 278 (26.8%, +11.5%)

More good showings for Labour against THE lIB dEMS. wITH THE cONS MAKING UP SOME GROUND AGAINST THE Lib Dems as well
What's wrong with your caps lock, man?
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« Reply #26 on: September 03, 2005, 03:41:37 PM »

By election results 1st September 2005

South Kesteven DC, All Saints (Stamford)
Con 271 (40.8%, -14.9%)
Lab 193 (29%, -15.3%)
Lib Dem 186 (28%, + 28%)
Ind 14 (2.1%, + 2.1%)
Con Hold

South Kesteven DC, Earlsfield (Grantham)
Lab 219 (62.2%, + 13.4%)
Con 133 (37.8%, + 6.2%)
Lab Hold

The two results were affected IMO by the Lib Dems putting a candidate into the first and not in the second contest
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #27 on: September 03, 2005, 03:49:12 PM »

I've alwaysed loved the irony of Grantham being a Labour inclined town Grin
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« Reply #28 on: September 03, 2005, 03:55:33 PM »

Ithink Grantham is split between the two parties certainly at Lincolnshire CC level.

South and East heavily Labour. North and west marginally Tory.

Good Holiday ?
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #29 on: September 03, 2005, 04:08:42 PM »

Ithink Grantham is split between the two parties certainly at Lincolnshire CC level.

South and East heavily Labour. North and west marginally Tory.

So overall Labour-inclined (albeit marginally so). Isn't irony great Smiley

But I don't know Grantham that well... isn't it a railway town?

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Yep Smiley
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« Reply #30 on: September 03, 2005, 04:13:24 PM »

Ithink Grantham is split between the two parties certainly at Lincolnshire CC level.

South and East heavily Labour. North and west marginally Tory.

So overall Labour-inclined (albeit marginally so). Isn't irony great Smiley

But I don't know Grantham that well... isn't it a railway town?
 Yes a bit like Crewe but not as heavily Labour inclined
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Yep Smiley
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« Reply #31 on: September 10, 2005, 02:38:00 PM »

Results 9th September 2005

Birmingham UA, Tyburn
Lab 1451 (52.4%, +19.3%)
Con 982 (35.5%, +12.5%)
LD 334 (12.1%, -4.3%)
Lab Hold

Castle Point DC, Canvey Island North
Lab 399 (45.8%, +20.1%)
CIIP 315 (36.1%, -11.5%)
Con 131 (15%, -7.8%)
LD 27 (3.1%, + 3.1%)
Lab GAIN from CIIP (Whoever they are ?)
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #32 on: September 10, 2005, 02:47:43 PM »

Canvey Island Independent Party
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« Reply #33 on: September 16, 2005, 03:05:43 PM »

this weeks contests

Hertfordshire CC, Shephall
Lab 1144 (45.5%, -5.5%)
LD 994 (39.6%, +18.8%)
Con 374 (14.9%, -13.3%)
Lab HOLD

Surrey CC, Goldaming, South Milford & Whitny
Con 2042 (49.4%, +0.01%)
LD 1974 (47.8%, +6.7%)
Lab 115 (2.8%, -6.7%)
Con HOLD

Solihull MBC, Knowle
Con 1247 (46.1% -15%)
LD 1232 (46%, +21.3%)
Green 134 (5%, +5%)
Lab 63 (2.3%, -11.4%)
Con HOLD

Southampton UA, Bitterne Park
Con 984 (37.1%, +5.8%)
Lab 791 (29.9%, - 10.4%)
LD 785 (29.6%, +0.2%)
Green 89
Con GAIN from Lab

Chelmsford BC, The Lawns
LD 1130 (65.3%, +20%)
Con 540 (31.2, -13.6%)
Lab 40 (2.3%, -3.9%)
UKIP 20 (1.1%, 1.1%)
LD HOLD

High Peak DC, Dinting
Con 322 (58.5%, +3.7%)
Lab 128 (23.3%, -4%)
LD 100 (18.2%, +0.3%)
Con HOLD

High Peak DC, Whitfield
Lab 212 (52.7%, +12%)
LD 135 (33.6%, +33.6%)
Con (13.7, 13.7%)
Lab GAIN from Glossop Independent
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #34 on: November 04, 2005, 07:37:18 AM »

Bump

Sorry I've not been keeping this up to date; more analysis/predictions coming fairly soon.

As for the by-elections, the overall pattern is similer to when I last updated this; Labour are doing much better in these contests than they have for years (especially in Lincolnshire oddly enough) with the exception being most of Southern England.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #35 on: November 04, 2005, 07:43:31 AM »

I've alwaysed loved the irony of Grantham being a Labour inclined town Grin
What's ironic about that?
I don't get it.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #36 on: November 04, 2005, 07:47:22 AM »

I've alwaysed loved the irony of Grantham being a Labour inclined town Grin
What's ironic about that?
I don't get it.

It's where Thatcher grew up
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #37 on: November 04, 2005, 07:51:34 AM »

I've alwaysed loved the irony of Grantham being a Labour inclined town Grin
What's ironic about that?
I don't get it.

It's where Thatcher grew up
Oh, alright then.
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Peter
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« Reply #38 on: November 04, 2005, 01:40:53 PM »

Labour are doing much better in these contests than they have for years (especially in Lincolnshire oddly enough)

I don't see why thats odd at all given the antics of some of the Conservative County councillors.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #39 on: November 04, 2005, 04:11:35 PM »

Labour are doing much better in these contests than they have for years (especially in Lincolnshire oddly enough)

I don't see why thats odd at all given the antics of some of the Conservative County councillors.

Good point Wink
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« Reply #40 on: November 06, 2005, 03:33:24 PM »

Labour are Generally doing well in the Midlands and Northern England, Badly in Southern England and Ironically quite good in London.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #41 on: November 11, 2005, 06:29:47 PM »

Labour have just lost another seat in Dacorum*. This is looking like a meltdown now...
Meanwhile we seem to have had some by-elections in a key marginal (The Wrekin) last night; Labour easily holding a very working class ward (with close to 65% of the vote) while the Tories picked up a ward off the Independents (Labour, who didn't run a candidate last time, polled about 22%).

*District Council in Hertfordshire. Contains Hemel Hempstead and Tring.
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« Reply #42 on: November 12, 2005, 05:36:06 AM »

Wrekin UA

Labour hold Arleston (South East Wellington)


Cons Gain College (East Wellington)
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #43 on: November 19, 2005, 06:12:39 AM »

Some more interesting results; Labour held a previously marginal ward in Kettering with over 60% of the vote (and a leap in % terms of about 11pts) and the LibDems had another bad night losing a ward in Penzance to the Tories after falling 18pts there, and nearly losing a ward in Herts to the Tories.

Amusingly George Galloway has just claimed that "Respect" will win seats in every local authority in the country... *sns*.
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Ben.
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« Reply #44 on: November 19, 2005, 06:31:25 AM »


Amusingly George Galloway has just claimed that "Respect" will win seats in every local authority in the country...


LOL! Cheesy

Though i think they stand to make big gains in tower hamlets, maybe a few in Newham and perhaps the odd gain in other bits of London (Hackney? Camden?)
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #45 on: November 19, 2005, 06:48:50 AM »


The only appropriate answer! Cheesy

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Things are complicated by the fact that London only has all out elections (unlike the other Met. Counties which only do that after a rewarding;  for those of you who don't know what that means it's all three seats in each ward being up for grabs. Each voter has three votes etc. I'm not a fan) a fact that certainly helps them in Newham where they won't win any wards but should get enough votes to win some 3rd and maybe a few 2nd seats. I don't see them doing well in Hackney (not nearly enough Bangladeshis) but they might well pick up some 3rd seats in Camden (St Pancras has a large Bangladeshi population IIRC, which explains the strange swing against Dobson in the General Election)... but the main area of interest is Tower Hamlet o/c... and I won't even dare to predict how things will turn out there. You know that (as of May at least) there's no safe wards for any party in the whole borough? Crazy; racist Bangladeshis vote for Respect, racist whites vote for the LibDems, Yuppies vote for the Tories and whoever is left out by that (especially what's left of the Jewish community, which isn't much sadly) votes Labour... yes I'll certainly be posting lots of stuff on that borough over the next few months...
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Peter
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« Reply #46 on: November 19, 2005, 10:10:13 PM »

EDIT: Actually next year's local elections should be interesting all over the place; and due to the inevitable regional differances in the results, will confuse people who like clear national swings. Like the media.

Lets be honest, we won't see a truly national swing for a long time now, in any election. I agree that I hope the media gets this message.

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Yes, lets see if Labour can't lose all of the remaining 19 councillors it has in Surrey. (Alas, this is not possible since at least 8 will not be up for election in 06).
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #47 on: November 20, 2005, 07:37:26 AM »

Lets be honest, we won't see a truly national swing for a long time now, in any election. I agree that I hope the media gets this message.

There hasn't been one (at any level) since the '70's Wink

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We have 19 councillers in Surrey? That many? How on earth did that happen?
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #48 on: November 20, 2005, 08:02:25 AM »

Lets be honest, we won't see a truly national swing for a long time now, in any election. I agree that I hope the media gets this message.

There hasn't been one (at any level) since the '70's Wink

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We have 19 councillers in Surrey? That many? How on earth did that happen?
I think he meant, including lower-level councils inside Surrey.
I seem to recall he posted Surrey County Council's results a while ago, and there's two Labour members. (And one of them appears quite safe. Smiley )
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #49 on: November 20, 2005, 09:07:32 AM »

I think he meant, including lower-level councils inside Surrey.

I'd guessed that; 19 is still far more than I'd thought there'd be... I thought maybe 8 or so at the most.

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*tries to get head round this*

*head explodes*
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