SC-5 special election: Vincent Sheheen for Congress?

[Suburbia]

South Carolina Rep. Mick Mulvaney has been chosen by President-elect Donald Trump to be the next director of the Office of Management and Budget. He will be likely confirmed. With that, could former South Carolina 2010 and 2014 Democratic gubernatorial nominee Vincent Sheheen run for the seat and win in 2018? Once South Carolina Gov. Henry McMaster creates a special election, he lives in the district and could run, which is a pretty large district.

http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2016/12/17/donald-trump-picks-sc-rep-mick-mulvaney-budget-director/95554342/

[KingSweden]

He'd be the best Democrat for the race, though I'd still call it Likely R

[windjammer]

Sheheen lost this district by 5 points in his bid for governor in 2010 just ftr.
Likely Rep with him

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Sheheen lost this district by 5 points in his bid for governor in 2010 just ftr.
Likely Rep with him

I suspect he's damaged goods by now.  For that matter, I wasn't too impressed with his 2014 campaign.

[Heisenberg]

Sheheen lost this district by 5 points in his bid for governor in 2010 just ftr.
Likely Rep with him

I suspect he's damaged goods by now.  For that matter, I wasn't too impressed with his 2014 campaign.

That and he hasn't run for a federal race yet. Also in 2014 he did way worse. Still Likely R, and closer to safe than lean.

[windjammer]

Sheheen lost this district by 5 points in his bid for governor in 2010 just ftr.
Likely Rep with him

I suspect he's damaged goods by now.  For that matter, I wasn't too impressed with his 2014 campaign.

Yes I think that too, that's why it's only Likely Rep for me

[Mr.Phips]

Sheheen lost this district by 5 points in his bid for governor in 2010 just ftr.
Likely Rep with him

I believe he won the district in 2010. 

[Suburbia]

Sheheen lost this district by 5 points in his bid for governor in 2010 just ftr.
Likely Rep with him

I suspect he's damaged goods by now.  For that matter, I wasn't too impressed with his 2014 campaign.

I think he can make it a little competitive.
Yes I think that too, that's why it's only Likely Rep for me

[JMT]

http://www.live5news.com/story/34088060/sheheen-calls-national-dems-sissies-and-gop-elitist-billionaires-in-post

Sheheen says people have asked him to consider running for Congress, and he laid out what his message would be if he decided to run. Sounds like he is actually thinking about running. I hope he does, I think he could make this race competitive 

[SCNCmod]

Thomas McElveen is probably the best bet from that district... and could win... although I'm not sure if he would run.

[SATW]

I wonder if he will call his opponent a "whore" this time too? He's an HP and will lose.

[Suburbia]

http://www.live5news.com/story/34088060/sheheen-calls-national-dems-sissies-and-gop-elitist-billionaires-in-post

Sheheen says people have asked him to consider running for Congress, and he laid out what his message would be if he decided to run. Sounds like he is actually thinking about running. I hope he does, I think he could make this race competitive 

He's a no-nonsense moderate Democrat. He'd make the race competitive.

[136or142]

Maybe Fran(cis) Person could run again.  He's one Person who I wouldn't mind seeing in Congress.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Sheheen lost this district by 5 points in his bid for governor in 2010 just ftr.
Likely Rep with him

I believe he won the district in 2010. 

He may have won the 5th in 2010, but only on the old borders.

[Mr.Phips]

Sheheen lost this district by 5 points in his bid for governor in 2010 just ftr.
Likely Rep with him

I believe he won the district in 2010. 

He may have won the 5th in 2010, but only on the old borders.

The district only moved like two points to the right in redistricting, didn't it?

[Vega]

I love to think big, but this almost an R+10 district.

[smoltchanov]

I love to think big, but this almost an R+10 district.

And not especially elastic to boot. "Normal" conservative Republican must win it without much difficulty. Only far-right winger may have some problems...

[freepcrusher]

I love to think big, but this almost an R+10 district.

And not especially elastic to boot. "Normal" conservative Republican must win it without much difficulty. Only far-right winger may have some problems...

spratt won the seat 14 times.

[Maxwell]

Sheheen probably couldn't win this in a normal year, but in a low turnout special election against a wacko? it's possible.

[smoltchanov]

I love to think big, but this almost an R+10 district.

And not especially elastic to boot. "Normal" conservative Republican must win it without much difficulty. Only far-right winger may have some problems...

spratt won the seat 14 times.

That was before 2010. Gene Taylor also won MS-04 many times. And a lot of other southern Democrats - too. Now almost all these seats are unwinnable even in a wave year.