NH-GOV 2018: Molly Kelly (D) running

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If Sununu remains moderate he probably stays for a bit. Democrats probably have a State Rep or Senator run until 2020 when they have a better shot at beating him.

Why do Democrats have a better shot at beating him in 2020 than 2018?

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Frank Edelblut has not ruled out a rematch with Chris Sununu for the GOP nomination.Edelblut lost the primary to Sununu 30-29.

http://www.nh1.com/news/edelblut-tells-nh1-news-he-s-not-closing-any-doors-to-2018/

I forgot about him. I wonder what his future is.

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Sununu is by far the most vulnerable Republican incumbent in New England. Not really saying much though.

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Sununu is by far the most vulnerable Republican incumbent in New England. Not really saying much though.

Is Sununu not very popular?

Everyone else is Extremely popular (Baker, Scott, LePage), and in comparison he is vulnerable.

LePage's approvals are in the mid-thirties.

LePage is term-limited. If he weren't I would say he was the most vulnerable.

My reasoning is that Baker is popular and Scott, while he was just elected, looks like a Baker type and Vermont tends to love incumbents. Also both of them have very little power since Democrats control the legislatures.

Sununu's party on the other hand has full control over the state, so voters actually have policies to vote against. Also the last Republican Governor there lost after one term. I think Sununu is slightly favored but not to the extent that Baker is. And Baker is more vulnerable than Scott.

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^ Well, they can get back a congressional seat. NH-1 is a tilt R district, carried by Trump and Ayotte, Guinta just had too many scandals.

I don't think the 2nd district is out of reach either, although probably not happening in 2018.

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I think NH-02 might have been closer than usual this time largely because of depressed Sanders voters.

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Is there an explanation for why NH is turning into a safe D state but Maine is trending R?

NH isn't turning Safe D. The reason it's not trending R the way ME is is because ME's trend is mostly in the north, away from the population centers of NH.

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Is there an explanation for why NH is turning into a safe D state but Maine is trending R?

NH isn't turning Safe D. The reason it's not trending R the way ME is is because ME's trend is mostly in the north, away from the population centers of NH.

BTW, the northernmost county of New Hampshire (Coos), which may have some similarities with likewise counties in Maine (strong blue-collar Democratic areas mixed with some ancestrally Republican one, not especially high level of education, and so on) also swung heavily to Trump... It's relatively small, so it didn't influenced New Hampshire results too much, but - still...

Same with Essex County, Vermont. For whatever reason, that huge region of Essex, Coos, every inland county in Maine, and Washington County swung heavily towards Trump.

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Good that reasonable Republicans, not voting for idiotic legislation, and having their own (distinct from party leadership) opinion on isuues still exist. AFAIK - there are similar Democrats too....

Huh, pleasantly surprised you're anti-RTW.

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Steve Marchand running again.

He was one of the Democratic candidates last time. Probably not the best candidate, but at least someone is running.