Tulsi Gabbard in Democratic Primaries
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  Tulsi Gabbard in Democratic Primaries
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Author Topic: Tulsi Gabbard in Democratic Primaries  (Read 1202 times)
American2020
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« on: December 23, 2016, 07:17:45 AM »

How far would Tulsi Gabbard go in the Democratic Primaries ?

Shoe-in:

  • HI
    American Samoa
    Asian voters
    CA
    OR
    WA
    AK
    Millennials
    Progressive
    VI
    American Abroad
    MT
    ND
    SD
    WY
    ID
    NE
    UT
    NH
    VT
    WI
    MN
    MI
    MO

Big tests:
  • African American voters
    Moderate voters
    Latino voters
    NV
    NM
    CO
    Southern states
    PA
    OH
    NY

Biggest test: IA
She has to prove she can win a state whose population is 95% white, like Obama in 2008. If she wins, she could attract minorities voters in southern and western states.
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jfern
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« Reply #1 on: December 23, 2016, 07:25:12 AM »

Biggest test: IA
She has to prove she can win a state whose population is 95% white, like Obama in 2008. If she wins, she could attract minorities voters in southern and western states.

If she wins Iowa, we'll be hearing about how Iowa is an urban Asian state next to Hawaii. Tongue
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Shadows
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« Reply #2 on: December 23, 2016, 07:35:31 AM »

I don't think she is ready to run.

But we had all the lies & mis-information that IW was the most liberal state in the Union with NH. Freaking Iowa!
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LLR
LongLiveRock
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« Reply #3 on: December 23, 2016, 09:23:38 AM »

She'll poll at 5% and maybe win Alaska and Hawai'i. Nobody knows who she is, and she has a tenuous relationship with the left. She's also an Islamophobe.

No way she wins Wyoming or Missouri (or any other on your list but let's ignore that)

Also, she's a three-term Representative. I think she runs in '24 or '28.
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Oakvale
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« Reply #4 on: December 23, 2016, 09:44:12 AM »

Good to know the Russian Tulsibots have arrived here in full force.
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JA
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« Reply #5 on: December 23, 2016, 10:17:37 AM »

Good to know the Russian Tulsibots have arrived here in full force.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #6 on: December 23, 2016, 10:46:23 AM »

I could accept Bernie as the nominee, I don't think I could accept Tulsi. Sorry, that's a step too far for a lot of democrats.
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houseonaboat
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« Reply #7 on: December 23, 2016, 10:50:29 AM »

Tulsi Gabbard is the Brian Schweitzer of Atlas.
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Figueira
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« Reply #8 on: December 23, 2016, 12:04:35 PM »

She would get attacked ruthfully for being praised by Bannon and Duke.
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Saint Milei
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« Reply #9 on: December 23, 2016, 05:41:51 PM »

She doesn't have the same presence as Kucinich. I think she will do worse especially if there are more females such as Gilibrand and Warren. The possibility of Booker will make it even worse. She needs to run for senate. Hell, I would vote for her
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GoTfan
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« Reply #10 on: December 23, 2016, 06:08:03 PM »

She'll poll at 5% and maybe win Alaska and Hawai'i. Nobody knows who she is, and she has a tenuous relationship with the left. She's also an Islamophobe.

No way she wins Wyoming or Missouri (or any other on your list but let's ignore that)

Also, she's a three-term Representative. I think she runs in '24 or '28.

Criticising Islam does not make one an Islamohpobe
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GoTfan
GoTfan21
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« Reply #11 on: December 23, 2016, 06:08:55 PM »

Good to know the Russian Tulsibots have arrived here in full force.

Yes, let's blame Russia for everything.

Seriously, that's just red-baiting. That's how wars start.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #12 on: December 24, 2016, 11:19:51 PM »

The OP is such a massive stretch. How is SD a shoe-in state? Are you looking at how it actually voted the last two primaries or just throwing out huge assumptions? For that matter there's also Michigan and Missouri, WTF?

Really I think calling any state a shoe-in for her except Hawaii is absurd, but most of that just defies logic.
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vote for pedro
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« Reply #13 on: December 25, 2016, 10:39:42 AM »

The OP is such a massive stretch. How is SD a shoe-in state? Are you looking at how it actually voted the last two primaries or just throwing out huge assumptions? For that matter there's also Michigan and Missouri, WTF?

Really I think calling any state a shoe-in for her except Hawaii is absurd, but most of that just defies logic.

A sliding scale from shoe-in to biggest test. 

If you think SD is too big of a test, that answers the original question.

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Doimper
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« Reply #14 on: December 25, 2016, 10:51:40 AM »
« Edited: December 25, 2016, 01:53:48 PM by Doctor Imperialism »

She'll poll at 5% and maybe win Alaska and Hawai'i. Nobody knows who she is, and she has a tenuous relationship with the left. She's also an Islamophobe.

No way she wins Wyoming or Missouri (or any other on your list but let's ignore that)

Also, she's a three-term Representative. I think she runs in '24 or '28.

Criticising Islam does not make one an Islamohpobe

Saying that there's no other possible reason for Islamic extremism than the religion itself does, however, make one an idiot and/or xenophobe

Tulsibots are, by and large, people who have no depth to their political beliefs other than "BERNIE GOOD, NOT BERNIE BAD"
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Flake
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« Reply #15 on: December 25, 2016, 01:38:00 PM »

^ as a Tulsi person (who has supported a ton of candidates well before Bernie, including interning); no.
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White Trash
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« Reply #16 on: December 25, 2016, 01:43:33 PM »

I figure she'd do well in the DINO states with low Black population(OK, AR, KY, WV)
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American2020
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« Reply #17 on: December 25, 2016, 02:01:15 PM »

She could have gains depending on Asian Americans population.





But as I said, African Americans would certainly be a Big test for her.
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LLR
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« Reply #18 on: December 25, 2016, 02:17:35 PM »

Except that no demographic will vote for her when she polls at 2%
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GoTfan
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« Reply #19 on: December 25, 2016, 03:40:30 PM »

Except that no demographic will vote for her when she polls at 2%

The day she's  written off is the day she wins. I've said it before, and I'll say it again. The Republicans didn't take Trump seriously, and we all know how that turned out.

And didn't  Bernie start at 3%
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LLR
LongLiveRock
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« Reply #20 on: December 25, 2016, 05:14:44 PM »

Except that no demographic will vote for her when she polls at 2%

The day she's  written off is the day she wins. I've said it before, and I'll say it again. The Republicans didn't take Trump seriously, and we all know how that turned out.

And didn't  Bernie start at 3%

Would you like to make a bet?

-If Tulsi finishes in the top two in a primary, or top three in a pre-Super Tuesday primary, I'll give you $5
-If she doesn't, you give me $5
-if she doesn't run (likely imo) this is void.

What do you say?
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #21 on: December 25, 2016, 09:26:09 PM »

I think Putin and the white nationalists will throw a lot of support behind her. We saw how easily the Bernie bots were brainwashed this year with Revolution media and all that; now imagine the Internet propaganda campaign turned up to 11. Trump will probably encourage his supporters to cross over in open primaries as well. Especially in a divided field, she could just emerge as the frontrunner.
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VPH
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« Reply #22 on: December 25, 2016, 10:29:48 PM »

Far too fraught with cultish links and conspiracy fodder
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White Trash
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« Reply #23 on: December 25, 2016, 11:32:35 PM »

I think Putin and the white nationalists will throw a lot of support behind her. We saw how easily the Bernie bots were brainwashed this year with Revolution media and all that; now imagine the Internet propaganda campaign turned up to 11. Trump will probably encourage his supporters to cross over in open primaries as well. Especially in a divided field, she could just emerge as the frontrunner.
The white nationalists are going to support a left-wing Hindu Indian-American woman. Okay.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #24 on: December 25, 2016, 11:49:05 PM »

I honestly don't even see why she should run in 2020. The only possible scenario I would understand is if none of the top Democrats wanted to run, and that seems unlikely. She has little to no name rec, no interesting reason to run, and lacks progressive credentials. Just a mistake, IMO.

Trump lacked all these things EXCEPT for name rec.
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