Can Democrats be competitive in any of these "dark red" states in 2018?
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  Can Democrats be competitive in any of these "dark red" states in 2018?
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Poll
Question: Can Democrats run a competitive gubernatorial race in any of these red states in 2018?
#1
Tennessee-Yes
 
#2
Tennessee-No
 
#3
Alabama-Yes
 
#4
Alabama-No
 
#5
Oklahoma-Yes
 
#6
Oklahoma-No
 
#7
Kansas-Yes
 
#8
Kansas-No
 
#9
Wyoming-Yes
 
#10
Wyoming-No
 
#11
Idaho-Yes
 
#12
Idaho-No
 
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Author Topic: Can Democrats be competitive in any of these "dark red" states in 2018?  (Read 2565 times)
Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
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« on: December 23, 2016, 01:32:14 PM »

Not necessarily asking if they can win, simply if they can make it competitive, as within 7 points or so.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1 on: December 23, 2016, 01:36:26 PM »

None of them, but Kansas, is the correct choice in my opinion.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #2 on: December 23, 2016, 01:41:34 PM »

Kansas, yes. Maybe Oklahoma, but that's a long shot. The others, no.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #3 on: December 23, 2016, 01:46:39 PM »

Kansas, yes. Maybe Oklahoma, but that's a long shot. The others, no.

This, unless Roy Moore runs in Alabama.
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HAnnA MArin County
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« Reply #4 on: December 23, 2016, 02:38:36 PM »

Is Gary Trauner still around in Wyoming? If so, he could possibly make it competitive seeing as how he IS the Democratic bench in Wyoming.

I agree about Kansas and possibly Oklahoma if DINO Boren runs?
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Xing
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« Reply #5 on: December 23, 2016, 02:52:50 PM »

Yes to Kansas, no to the rest.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #6 on: December 23, 2016, 03:29:53 PM »

Democrats can hypothetically be competitive in any state's Governor race. No state should be written off.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #7 on: December 23, 2016, 04:21:13 PM »

Tennessee - No, don't fool yourself.
Alabama - Almost certainly not, but still more likely than TN.
Kansas - Yeah.
Oklahoma - Probably, but it would still be difficult.
Utah - No.
Wyoming - No.
Idaho - Leaning no.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #8 on: December 23, 2016, 04:54:13 PM »

Kansas Republicans are truly embarrassing themselves, haha.  Kansas should be one of the easiest states in the Union for a Republican to win.
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GlobeSoc
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« Reply #9 on: December 23, 2016, 05:01:10 PM »

Although I don't think that they would be, all of these states except Wyoming have a potential to be competitive.

Kansas is obvious as the one where it would be more likely than not be competitive.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #10 on: December 23, 2016, 05:57:56 PM »

I said all but Alabama.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #11 on: December 23, 2016, 05:59:39 PM »

In order of likelihood:
1. Kansas

2. Alabama
3. Oklahoma



4. Wyoming
5. Tennessee
6. Idaho
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The Arizonan
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« Reply #12 on: December 23, 2016, 09:29:08 PM »

Wyoming, Kansas, and Oklahoma are doable, but forget about Utah and the rest of the states mentioned.
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JGibson
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« Reply #13 on: December 23, 2016, 11:51:38 PM »

Kansas, Oklahoma: Yes
Alabama: Marginal Yes if Roy Moore is GOP nominee, No otherwise.
Tennessee, Wyoming, Idaho: No.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #14 on: December 24, 2016, 01:56:59 AM »

Kansas only. Almost no bench in other states and no Kansas tradition of relatively strong moderate wing of Republican party, which can support Democratic candidate in case Republican is too extreme (as almost happened in 2014)
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TheDeadFlagBlues
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« Reply #15 on: December 24, 2016, 02:06:38 AM »
« Edited: December 24, 2016, 02:12:05 AM by TheDeadFlagBlues »

Idaho will probably be competitive, depending on who the GOP nominates. I think Brad Little would probably win rather easily but someone like Fulcher could lose. The state has been transformed over the past decade or so in ways that make it more ideological and more partisan but it remains a state that's more Democratic on the state level than at the presidential level. Don't count Democrats out here.

Here's my ranking:
1. Kansas
2. Oklahoma
3. Idaho
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Lachi
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« Reply #16 on: December 24, 2016, 08:24:02 AM »

Kansas, Alabama, and Oklahoma. Alabama should be a steal if Roy Moore is allowed to run, and wins the primary.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #17 on: December 24, 2016, 08:32:30 AM »

Kansas, Alabama, and Oklahoma. Alabama should be a steal if Roy Moore is allowed to run, and wins the primary.

Even if Roy Moore is a Republican candidate i would estimate his chances as better then 50/50
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SWE
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« Reply #18 on: December 24, 2016, 11:18:12 AM »

1. Kansas
2. Oklahoma
3. Idaho
4. Alabama
5. Tennessee
6. Wyoming

Voted Kansas through Alabama.
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JMT
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« Reply #19 on: December 24, 2016, 12:18:31 PM »

Kansas only if Paul Davis runs, and Oklahoma only if Dan Boren runs (he already said he won't be running, however). Both would make their races competitive, but skeptical that either of them could actually win.
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Bojack Horseman
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« Reply #20 on: December 24, 2016, 01:38:49 PM »

I thought I heard something about Brad Henry coming out of retirement in Oklahoma.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #21 on: December 24, 2016, 03:57:12 PM »

Kansas only if Paul Davis runs, and Oklahoma only if Dan Boren runs (he already said he won't be running, however). Both would make their races competitive, but skeptical that either of them could actually win.
Joshua Svaty has good potential in Kansas, as do Nancy Boyda, Jim Slattery, and Dennis Moore.
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Indy Texas
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« Reply #22 on: December 24, 2016, 11:03:15 PM »

Would Mark Parkinson (former Lt Gov who succeeded Sebelius) be a viable candidate for the KS Democrats?
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #23 on: December 25, 2016, 01:40:56 PM »

Would Mark Parkinson (former Lt Gov who succeeded Sebelius) be a viable candidate for the KS Democrats?
Maybe. He has amazing healthcare, legal, energy, and transportation credentials.
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Cashew
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« Reply #24 on: December 25, 2016, 08:05:06 PM »

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