Under what conditions would the preceding poster win the preceding state?

[OneJ]

The GOP opponent is boring and doesn't shake up the WWC well enough (not pay attention to the state in general). He/she is toxic to the suburban areas and urban centers.

South Carolina

[OneJ]

A weaker than usual economy strikes Ohio (and fingers get pointed at the GOP) and you sympathize with the voters using a strong populist campaign.

Arizona

[OneJ]

The Democrat makes a mistake and talks about crime in Chicago stating that "the Blacks all live on one street and they all kill each other."

Arizona

[OneJ]

Primary: Rename yourself Hillary Clinton and win in a close contest (LOL).

General: The Republican states in a hidden video that he/she loathes rural communities and farmers.

Montana

[OneJ]

A recession affects many of the WWC Ohioans that work in places such as factories and are fed up.

NE-02

[OneJ]

Terrible trade deals plague the state under previous Democratic presidency.

Iowa.

[OneJ]

Avoid saying something too controversial like supporting the transgender bathroom law and don't forget about working class whites of North Carolina and you should pull it off.

Louisiana