Canadian by-elections, 2017 (next event: Calgary-Lougheed, AB prov.: Dec 14)

[the506]

What about the Manitoba by-election to replace New Democrat Kevin Chief?

Called today. June 13.

http://news.gov.mb.ca/news/index.html?archive=&item=41543

[the506]

Saskatoon-Fairview Sask Party MLA Jennifer Campeau is stepping down. Could be another NDP gain.

http://www.leaderpost.com/saskatoon+jennifer+campeau+steps+down/13463711/story.html

[the506]

Louis-Hebert provincial by-election called for October 2.

[the506]

Not sure where else to put this, but there's also a plebiscite on Monday on creating a new rural municipality west of Fredericton. My gut says it's probably going to fail.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/nb-plebiscite-rural-community-1.4364491

[the506]

Missed this from a few weeks ago, but PEI Education Minister Doug Currie is leaving politics.
http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/prince-edward-island/pei-doug-currie-retiring-1.4361994

The by-election in Charlottetown-Parkdale will be held November 27, city councillor Rob Doiron has already won the Liberal nomination.
http://www.liberalpei.ca/by-election-to-be-held-november-27th/

EDIT: the Greens also nominated their candidate last night, Hannah Bell, in front of what CBC called a "packed house". They won 3 polls out of 11 here in 2015. They might actually have a shot at this.
http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/prince-edward-island/pei-green-party-nomination-1.4378589

[the506]

In NB, Campbellton-Dalhousie Liberal MLA Donald Arseneault, has resigned after Brian Gallant told him you, uh, kinda can't be both an MLA and lobbyist at the same time. He already wasn't going to run in 2018 and decided to start his new job early.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/donald-arseneault-lobbyist-liberal-mla-1.4385571

Should be a fairly easy Liberal hold, but stranger things have happened.

[the506]

The Charlottetown-Parkdale by-election looks surprisingly compelling.

NDP leader Mike Redmond is running, the Liberal and PC candidates are both Charlottetown city councillors, and the Green candidate has enough of a following herself. This is a real 4-way race.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/prince-edward-island/pei-district11-charlottetown-parkdale-byelection-1.4385695

[the506]

Also, surprised this hasn't been mentioned here yet, but Alberta Liberal leader David Khan is running in Calgary-Lougheed.

[the506]

Green candidate Hannah Bell wins in Charlottetown-Parkdale. 7% lead with all but 1 poll reporting.

EDIT: Final results, with change from 2015:
Hannah Bell (GRN) 35.4% (+16.2)
Bob Doiron (LIB) 28.2% (-15.5)
Melissa Hilton (PC) 27.0% (+0.8 )
Mike Redmond (NDP) 9.3% (-1.6)

[the506]

I think it's simple. The PEI Green party managed to luck out by choosing a more personable leader than the NDP, so they were in the best position to take advantage of the island's "Vermontification".

It's a very localized situation. In NS that hasn't happened at all, and the Greens remain a fringe party. In NB, Coon is popular in his own riding and among a certain segment of the population, but that hasn't translated into mass province-wide support.