Elections you're excited about in 2017?
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  Elections you're excited about in 2017?
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Poll
Question: ?
#1
Ecuador
 
#2
Chile
 
#3
France
 
#4
Germany
 
#5
Netherlands
 
#6
Serbia
 
#7
Albania
 
#8
Armenia
 
#9
Norway
 
#10
Czechia
 
#11
Kenya
 
#12
Liberia
 
#13
Iran
 
#14
Korea
 
#15
East Timor
 
#16
Hong Kong
 
#17
New Zealand
 
#18
Other
 
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Total Voters: 67

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Author Topic: Elections you're excited about in 2017?  (Read 3686 times)
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CrabCake
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« on: January 04, 2017, 08:57:31 AM »

?
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #1 on: January 04, 2017, 09:01:03 AM »

The only one I have some expectation will go well is South Korea. Norway New Zealand and Chile might surprise me, and I don't know enough about Iran, Liberia and Armenia to know what to expect. All the others will probably keep making the world a worse place.
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Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan
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« Reply #2 on: January 04, 2017, 11:34:18 AM »

All of them, I like elections Smiley
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #3 on: January 04, 2017, 11:37:54 AM »

Mostly the European ones, but Iran is also interesting.

Maybe there's an early Austrian election too (in the fall, or in May) - if SPÖVP start their intrigues again and to f**k each other.
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Mike88
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« Reply #4 on: January 04, 2017, 12:53:24 PM »

Chile's election will be interesting with the prospect of the return, possibly, of Piñera as President; France, of course, how will Le Pen poll and how bad the PS candidate result will be; In Germany will the rising of the AfD undermine Merkel; In Netherlands will the PVV be in first place?; and Iran, will the current moderate president win reelection.

Also very excited about my own country's local elections in October. These elections could be make or break for the PSD and also for the government.
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Frodo
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« Reply #5 on: January 04, 2017, 10:17:47 PM »

Isn't there a general election in the UK that PM Theresa May is supposed to be calling sometime this year after Brexit passed? 
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DavidB.
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« Reply #6 on: January 04, 2017, 11:22:54 PM »
« Edited: January 04, 2017, 11:26:20 PM by DavidB. »

France, Germany, the Netherlands and Norway -- though out of interest, not necessarily for their results (none of them are probably going to have a government I like, though I suppose the right could theoretically still win in Norway). Some of the other ones will be interesting too but not enough to be "excited about".
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Cashew
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« Reply #7 on: January 05, 2017, 12:13:27 AM »

Chile, France, Germany, Iran, Korea
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #8 on: January 05, 2017, 12:45:38 AM »

Isn't there a general election in the UK that PM Theresa May is supposed to be calling sometime this year after Brexit passed?  

It could happen, but probably not. She's under no obligation to call one (and never made a public statement indicating she would, despite a fair amount of speculation), and there's enough disunity in the Conservative caucus over Brexit that it seems unlikely despite the tempting possibility to take advantage of Labour's utter haplessness.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #9 on: January 05, 2017, 07:01:06 AM »

Netherlands is always fun. What a mess of parties.
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jaichind
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« Reply #10 on: January 05, 2017, 08:11:17 AM »

Well, since I am writing a lot of about it, I am excited by the India UP Assembly elections.  While it is a regional election it has national ramifications and is an election that involves an Indian state that has 200 million people, greater than any of the elections listed in this thread.
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parochial boy
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« Reply #11 on: January 05, 2017, 09:36:28 AM »

I'm looking forward to the 6 or so referendums that various European countries are bound to hold on issues nobody knows or cares about, yet which get turned into a way to kick the incumbent governments.
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CrabCake
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« Reply #12 on: January 05, 2017, 10:01:05 AM »

I didn't do any election we don't know for certain - so no Japan snap (which would be boring anyway), no UK, no Greek or Italian early election (which would be great spectacles), no Iceland redo etc.

I also didn't go for any subnational entities but I am interested in UK locals, West Australia, Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Virginia off the top of my head. (BC might be fun, but I'm very bored of reading endless arguments on the thread).
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #13 on: January 05, 2017, 10:06:55 AM »

France and Germany.
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IceAgeComing
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« Reply #14 on: January 05, 2017, 05:59:06 PM »

Isn't there a general election in the UK that PM Theresa May is supposed to be calling sometime this year after Brexit passed? 

Brexit won't have "passed" by 2019 at the earliest; they aren't going to go for a general election right in the middle of the two-year negotiation period
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joevsimp
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« Reply #15 on: January 06, 2017, 05:08:15 AM »

Isn't there a general election in the UK that PM Theresa May is supposed to be calling sometime this year after Brexit passed? 

Brexit won't have "passed" by 2019 at the earliest; they aren't going to go for a general election right in the middle of the two-year negotiation period

There are local council elections though. Which will be interesting as it will be the first tune that Ukip are defending tje seats that they dramatically gained in 2013
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CrabCake
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« Reply #16 on: January 06, 2017, 04:17:31 PM »
« Edited: January 06, 2017, 04:19:50 PM by 🦀🎂 »

I'm exited for:

> France - It will be interesting to see what will happen with Marine Le Pen. Will it be a repeat Chirac vs Lepen or will FN do much better, even win?

> Germany - Will Merkel be able to stay in power despite her idiotic migration policies? How well will AFD do?

> Turkey - Will Erdogan be able to go ahead with his power grab?

> Iran - Will incumbent Rouhani stay in power or will he lose to the hardliners?

> Netherlands - Will Wilders be the next Dutch PM?

it's pretty much impossible for Merkel to lose and Wilders to be PM. Not like "oh well Trump would be unprecedented level" - like logistically impossible, especially the latter (although Wilders may play a role in the next government, even if it is external support and everybody is at constant loggerheads). Le Pen has a little more chance, but it will be an uphill climb given the FN's underperfomance in regionals. Sadly Erdogan will almost certainly win on his quest to become Supreme Leader, but I'm pretty certain Rouhani will win now that Ahmadinejad was barred from running.
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ilikeverin
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« Reply #17 on: January 07, 2017, 02:07:31 PM »

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nOLSajG15Qg
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SNJ1985
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« Reply #18 on: January 08, 2017, 05:42:44 PM »

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Orthogonian Society Treasurer
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« Reply #19 on: January 09, 2017, 05:08:37 AM »

France is the only one that I'm genuinely excited for but I'll be paying attention to the Dutch election.
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peterthlee
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« Reply #20 on: January 09, 2017, 07:40:25 AM »

Most excited: Hong Kong (home city, CE election coupled with a probably pro-Beijing wave by-election) >
France (Fillon-Le Pen-Valls-Macron-Melenchon) >
Germany (to what extent will CDU/CSU-SPD vote share decrease? A little bit only?) >
Norway (will Labour Party grab power from Solberg again?) >
Korea (will the Liberal win in a historic cornerstone blowout by 15-20 points, wiping out swing states like the Chungcheongs, Sejong, Daejong and even have a decent shot in Busan and Gangwon, plus winning Seoul by 10+ points?) >
Turkey (is Erdogan certainly cruising to being the most empowered president since the Republic era?)
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #21 on: January 13, 2017, 11:53:40 PM »

Merkel is having her worst polling numbers in years and she's still a dozen points up on the SPD. Wilders' PVV will almost certainly be the single largest party in the parliament but he won't be able to get enough support to enter government alone and no other leader will risk alienating their base by going into a coalition with him. If I had to guess right now, a center-right coalition of VVD, CDA and D66 in the Netherlands with maybe outside support from PvdA and/or the smaller Christian parties (Christian Union, Reformed Party).

Norway is the only election where the left looks like it has any sort of shot. Come on, Arbeiderpartiet! Of course, they always finish first.* They're gonna need the Center Party and Socialist Left to pick up seats or else it's Solberg again.

*I actually looked it up. The last time Arbeiderpartiet did not finish first in a Norwegian election was 1924. It's been the single largest party in every single election since. 22 straight, nearly 100 years.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #22 on: January 14, 2017, 11:57:12 AM »

*I actually looked it up. The last time Arbeiderpartiet did not finish first in a Norwegian election was 1924. It's been the single largest party in every single election since. 22 straight, nearly 100 years.

Don't jinx it! These longtime records have a tendency to get broken these days. Sad
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DavidB.
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« Reply #23 on: January 14, 2017, 12:44:04 PM »

Wilders' PVV will almost certainly be the single largest party in the parliament but he won't be able to get enough support to enter government alone and no other leader will risk alienating their base by going into a coalition with him.
Too strong a statement. Let's remember the SP was firmly first in the polls until four weeks before the 2012 election. It's probably more likely than not that the PVV will come first at this point, but far from "almost certain." As for other parties alienating their base by cooperating with the PVV, that would not be the case for the VVD and 50Plus, who are damned if they do and damned if they don't.
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Lumine
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« Reply #24 on: January 14, 2017, 05:08:56 PM »

France and Germany, naturally, and while I think the election here in Chile will be a trainwreck of proportions given the quality of the candidates, I am pretty excited with the idea of the left going down in flames after the awful years of Bachelet II.
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