VA-GOV 2017: Utter Panic and Doom (General election: Nov 7th)
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  VA-GOV 2017: Utter Panic and Doom (General election: Nov 7th)
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Author Topic: VA-GOV 2017: Utter Panic and Doom (General election: Nov 7th)  (Read 159870 times)
SoLongAtlas
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« Reply #425 on: June 13, 2017, 02:35:44 PM »

So, anecdotally I'm hearing very low turnout. But also anecdotally, I'm seeing on Twitter comparisons to 2009 and it seems that every precinct posted on Twitter is approaching 2009 turnout before the PM rush has started.

2009 had 40.4% turnout. Not too shabby but not great. I think it will be lower due to the fact that the GOP candidate is all but decided. Will be interesting to see if Confederate Corey comes in a close second (or if he gets the nod in a surprise - that will be something to see).
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #426 on: June 13, 2017, 03:08:41 PM »

Think Perriello's gonna squeak it.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #427 on: June 13, 2017, 03:09:54 PM »

VA Department of Elections website.

If anyone is wondering how election night reporting usually goes in Virginia:

Chesterfield County usually reports first, with Virginia Beach reporting 5-10 minutes after. Northam will probably have a sizable lead at this point.

Then rural VA starts coming in rather quickly, which I expect Perriello to get large margins in, but I'm not entirely sure whether he'll take the lead at this point.

Richmond, and particularly Northern Virginia, historically take a long time to report, but in a pretty low turnout primary, I expect 95% reporting by 9 PM. We'll see if that's good enough to declare a winner (I suspect it might not be).

Also, I heard Prince William County modernized their return system after 2016, as the precinct results will get sent to the county office digitally, so hopefully that comes in earlier.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #428 on: June 13, 2017, 03:54:08 PM »

Yeah based on the scattered Twitter reports, turnout could be high enough to make this a close race.
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SoLongAtlas
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« Reply #429 on: June 13, 2017, 04:38:45 PM »
« Edited: June 13, 2017, 04:41:57 PM by VirginiaModerate »

Just got back from voting at my Prince William polling place. Very light turnout but most people aren't back from work yet or still stuck on 95. One ME or Indian man came in with his family and when they asked for his id he said "Which one? Russian or US?" The whole room laughed, including me.

Edit: also want to point out that Northam was first on the Democratic primary ballot which will help him with undecideds or folks that don't care that much.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #430 on: June 13, 2017, 04:40:15 PM »

Turnout is apparently abysmal on the Republican side. Enough for an upset? We'll see.
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SoLongAtlas
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« Reply #431 on: June 13, 2017, 04:42:37 PM »

Turnout is apparently abysmal on the Republican side. Enough for an upset? We'll see.

The Sothron Avenger might have his day! Lol
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Shameless Lefty Hack
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« Reply #432 on: June 13, 2017, 04:48:41 PM »

Turnout is apparently abysmal on the Republican side. Enough for an upset? We'll see.

The Sothron Avenger might have his day! Lol

Looks like my friend's choice to vote tactically against Stewart might have been smarter than I thought.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #433 on: June 13, 2017, 04:55:31 PM »
« Edited: June 13, 2017, 04:58:00 PM by Castro »

Anecdotal, but I'm driving around Alexandria right now and there are a ton of Perriello signs, a few Northam signs.

Edit: Also a few Gene Rossi signs.
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AelroseB
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« Reply #434 on: June 13, 2017, 05:12:48 PM »

What area of the city?  Del Ray seemed inundated with Northam signs when I was out today.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #435 on: June 13, 2017, 05:23:54 PM »

What area of the city?  Del Ray seemed inundated with Northam signs when I was out today.

I was around the Old Town area.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #436 on: June 13, 2017, 05:51:39 PM »

Anecdotal, but I'm driving around Alexandria right now and there are a ton of Perriello signs, a few Northam signs.

Edit: Also a few Gene Rossi signs.

That's weird because I literally have not seen a single Perriello or Northam sign in my immediate area. The only political yard signs I've seen in my territory of Fairfax Co. have been either Republican or for State Delegate, even at my voting precinct.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #437 on: June 13, 2017, 05:55:23 PM »

Anecdotal, but I'm driving around Alexandria right now and there are a ton of Perriello signs, a few Northam signs.

Edit: Also a few Gene Rossi signs.

That's weird because I literally have not seen a single Perriello or Northam sign in my immediate area. The only political yard signs I've seen in my territory of Fairfax Co. have been either Republican or for State Delegate, even at my voting precinct.

Hmm might have just been a weird, non representative area I was going by. Also, here are the Alexandria 4PM turnout numbers: Democrats 13.62%, Republicans 2.97%.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #438 on: June 13, 2017, 06:00:57 PM »

Polls have closed
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #439 on: June 13, 2017, 06:02:27 PM »

Calling it right now that Perrielo and Stewart win, probably will be wrong though.
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Hydera
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« Reply #440 on: June 13, 2017, 06:08:38 PM »

If Northam wins: Progressives threaten to stay home.

If Perriello wins: Progressives brag about winning.
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Progressive
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« Reply #441 on: June 13, 2017, 06:11:02 PM »

ANY numbers yet?
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Suburbia
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« Reply #442 on: June 13, 2017, 06:11:35 PM »

If Northam wins: Progressives threaten to stay home.

If Perriello wins: Progressives brag about winning.

True. I wonder how Virginia centrists will vote. Gillespie? Write in Mark Warner?
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« Reply #443 on: June 13, 2017, 06:11:55 PM »


Patience is a virtue.
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jro660
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« Reply #444 on: June 13, 2017, 06:12:21 PM »


I'm a lifelong NYer =/
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #445 on: June 13, 2017, 06:18:36 PM »

Governor
Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Ralph Northam
740   69.2%
Tom Perriello
330   30.8
<1% reporting (9 of 2,561 precincts)

Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Edward Gillespie
349   43.5%
Corey Stewart
327   40.7
Frank Wagner
127   15.8
<1% reporting (10 of 2,561 precincts)
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« Reply #446 on: June 13, 2017, 06:19:35 PM »

Lieutenant Governor
Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Justin Fairfax
617   60.9%
Susan Platt
257   25.4
Gene Rossi
139   13.7
<1% reporting (9 of 2,561 precincts)

Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Bryce Reeves
369   47.1%
Jill Vogel
262   33.5
Glenn Davis
152   19.4
<1% reporting (10 of 2,561 precincts)
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Hydera
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« Reply #447 on: June 13, 2017, 06:20:36 PM »

If Northam wins: Progressives threaten to stay home.

If Perriello wins: Progressives brag about winning.

True. I wonder how Virginia centrists will vote. Gillespie? Write in Mark Warner?



Centrist Democrats will vote for their party.
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JA
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« Reply #448 on: June 13, 2017, 06:21:28 PM »

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Ralph Northam
2,430   60.5%   
Tom Perriello
1,587   39.5   
1% reporting (20 of 2,561 precincts)

Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Edward Gillespie
1,619   46.3%   
Corey Stewart
1,516   43.3   
Frank Wagner
363   10.4   
1% reporting (24 of 2,561 precincts)
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McGovernForPrez
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« Reply #449 on: June 13, 2017, 06:22:21 PM »

Corey Stewart is way too close for comfort.
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