VA-GOV 2017: Utter Panic and Doom (General election: Nov 7th)

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I like Ralph Northam and Tom Perriello. Both would be good candidates. Northam would be a good Cabinet secretary in a future Democratic administration.

[Suburbia]

It will be a close Virginia Democratic primary. I wonder who Doug Wilder will endorse? His endorsement could prove critical in the Black and Latino community, including rural whites, who some of them voted for in 1989.

Perriello made a mistake with the 9/11 statement. It could hurt him with suburban voters near the Pentagon area and the military voters. Lt. Gov. Northam could win those voters in the primary, if some of them are registered Democratic.

However, if Bernie Sanders or Barack Obama, or Bill Clinton campaign in VA this fall, the Democrat could win. Perriello or Northam will tie Trump or Pence to the Va. GOP, and they will try to distance from Trump or Pence.

[Suburbia]

It may be another proxy battle between Sanders and Clinton. Reliving the 2016 Democratic presidential primaries.

Tom Perriello has some good ideas, but he may be too anti-gun and anti-military to win in Virginia. The Democratic primary is Lean Northam at this point.

We'll see. I think Northam can do well in the rural areas of Virginia, but Perriello could do well with the anti-gun NOVA suburbanites that have flooded Virginia over the past couple of years.

However, Ed Gillespie probably wants Perriello as the Democratic opponent in this open seat. RGA would pour money into this race, and yes, Republicans can still win Virginia despite it being an off-year in Trump/Pence-era politics.

http://www.politico.com/story/2017/04/bernie-sanders-endorses-tom-perriello-236858

[Suburbia]

Corey Stewart is an idiot. Gillespie will win the GOP nomination, and he will give both Democrats a run.

[Suburbia]

Still Lean Northam.

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I can see this Democratic gubernatorial primary heading towards a recount. That would be Ed Gillespie's dream, as whoever wins the Democratic nod could be damaged in the general election, but in 2008, people said that about Obama vs. Clinton in the Democratic primary, and McCain lost to Obama in a landslide.

[Suburbia]

I see Northam winning by 6 points tonight. Perriello should have ran for Lt. Governor, or ran for his old congressional seat that he lost in 2010.

I don't see him challenging Sen. Tim Kaine as a progressive vs. centrist battle like this year's contest.

[Suburbia]

If Northam wins: Progressives threaten to stay home.

If Perriello wins: Progressives brag about winning.

True. I wonder how Virginia centrists will vote. Gillespie? Write in Mark Warner?

[Suburbia]

This will be a long night.

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Ed Gillespie can go back to lobbying or run in 2021 under favorable Republican circumstances.

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It looks like Northam will win. Virginia Democrats are pretty center-left I would say.

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Is Perriello popular with black voters?

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Perriello can run for Virginia governor in 2021 or 2025 or 2029. He could be the future of the Democratic Party.

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At least we don't have to deal with Prez or VP speculation for Perriello now.

If he wins a congressional seat in 2018, he could be a dark horse for VP in 2020 or 2024.

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It looks like grassroots Virginia conservatives are still around. The Stewart wing of the GOP is probably the Trump wing!

[Suburbia]

Gillespie wins, not surprising, but a close primary race for Gillespie.

I wonder if the Virginia Republican Party will unite, or will it be another post-Cuccinelli divide.

[Suburbia]

Will suburban white Virginia women vote for Gillespie or Northam?

[Suburbia]

If Corey Stewart was the VA GOP gubernatorial nominee, I wonder if the VA GOP would have forced him to drop out of the race?

[Suburbia]

Gillespie could still win parts of NOVA. He could win some of the ancestral Republicans that are still there and could win some Independents as well.

This race is Tilt D/Tossup. Gillespie is not Cuccinelli.

[Suburbia]

I wonder who a black Gillespie voter would be....

[Suburbia]

Describe a Ed Gillespie for 2017 VA Governor African-American voter in Virginia.

[Suburbia]

Describe a Ed Gillespie for 2017 VA Governor African-American voter in Virginia.

A black man, or black women, who casts his or her ballot for Ed Gillespie.

Some black Virginia voters aren't so enamored with Northam either, I wonder if they will stay home due to the Fairfax issue.