VA-GOV 2017: Utter Panic and Doom (General election: Nov 7th)

[The Other Castro]

Aides to Warner and Kaine say that both Senators still back Northam.

[The Other Castro]

Both would probably be favored against Gillespie (or whoever wins the GOP nomination), but this is still Northam's race to lose.

[The Other Castro]

Both would probably be favored against Gillespie (or whoever wins the GOP nomination), but this is still Northam's race to lose.

I'm not sure, a PPP poll from July 2015 showed Mark Herring leading Northam 33-9 in the primary. Northam hasn't really done anything since then to raise his name ID.

Endorsements aren't everything, but Northam does currently enjoy the support of three former Governors/two current Senators, as well as that same popular Mark Herring. Hopefully we get a poll of this match-up soon. I suppose involvement on Obama's part for Perriello could be a variable, since Perriello was a big ally of his in Congress.

[The Other Castro]

Good. A bitter democratic primary can only help Gillespie.

Who says it will be bitter? Also, Trump won probably the most bitter primary of all time, and then won the general in a major upset.

[The Other Castro]

I think I may have underestimated Perriello a bit. This could be a serious fight.

[The Other Castro]

Apparently Perriello has been out campaigning for candidates in tomorrow's special elections

Hmm and what has Northam been doing?

[The Other Castro]

I think the idea of trying to categorize these two into rival camps a la Bernie/Hillary is misplaced. Both seem like good choices that care about the state and the state party.

[The Other Castro]

Perriello hires people from the Sanders and Clinton campaigns:

[The Other Castro]

Perriello foot in mouth..

http://wavy.com/2017/02/15/democratic-candidate-apologizes-for-sept-11-comparison/

Congrats, Governor Northam.

[The Other Castro]

Northam says he voted for George W. Bush both times.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/democratic-candidate-for-virginia-governor-says-he-voted-for-george-w-bush-twice_us_58b48eb9e4b0780bac2c68d5

[The Other Castro]

In a rare bit of news from the Republican side, candidate Corey Stewart likens the tearing down of Confederate monuments to ISIS attacks.

https://twitter.com/CoreyStewartVA/status/856506483411910656

[The Other Castro]

New timely Perriello ad

Pretty good ad.

I believe it's made by the same people that did the Kander rifle ad.

[The Other Castro]

Post-Schar poll of GOP primary:



https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/virginia-politics/post-schar-poll-finds-ed-gillespie-with-big-lead-for-gop-gubernatorial-nomination/2017/05/15/de15e92c-3992-11e7-8854-21f359183e8c_story.html?tid=ss_tw&utm_term=.80afedb505e1

[The Other Castro]

Ed Gillespie is running an ad with translations for Spanish, but also for Korean which you don't really see every day.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jXyhJ9c_i30
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N0qYhoLI8vQ

[The Other Castro]

Mark Murray @mmurraypolitics
Internal Northam poll (May 15-17) has Northam +17 among LVs -- 50%-33%.

That's in contrast to today's WaPo poll, which had Perriello +2

https://twitter.com/mmurraypolitics/status/865288534466457600

[The Other Castro]

My gut still says Northam will win the primary, but it's feeling very close. I'm confident that either would pretty easily win the general though.

[The Other Castro]

I'm doing results volunteering for DDHQ from Alexandria.

[The Other Castro]

Pollster that nailed Mt finds perriello up 54/46 & Gillespie Stewart tied 42/41.

I am highly skeptical of this pollster.

[The Other Castro]

Yeah based on the scattered Twitter reports, turnout could be high enough to make this a close race.

[The Other Castro]

Turnout is apparently abysmal on the Republican side. Enough for an upset? We'll see.

[The Other Castro]

Anecdotal, but I'm driving around Alexandria right now and there are a ton of Perriello signs, a few Northam signs.

Edit: Also a few Gene Rossi signs.

[The Other Castro]

What area of the city?  Del Ray seemed inundated with Northam signs when I was out today.

I was around the Old Town area.

[The Other Castro]

Anecdotal, but I'm driving around Alexandria right now and there are a ton of Perriello signs, a few Northam signs.

Edit: Also a few Gene Rossi signs.

That's weird because I literally have not seen a single Perriello or Northam sign in my immediate area. The only political yard signs I've seen in my territory of Fairfax Co. have been either Republican or for State Delegate, even at my voting precinct.

Hmm might have just been a weird, non representative area I was going by. Also, here are the Alexandria 4PM turnout numbers: Democrats 13.62%, Republicans 2.97%.

[The Other Castro]

I feel like Gillespie will still probably win, but this must be hugely embarrassing.

[The Other Castro]

At least we don't have to deal with Prez or VP speculation for Perriello now.