VA-GOV 2017: Utter Panic and Doom (General election: Nov 7th)

[TheSaint250]

Gillespie will win the GOP nomination, and he will give both Democrats a run.

[TheSaint250]

If Corey Stewart is out, that just makes Ed Gillespie's job to win the primary easier and results in the Democrats wasting more money in the primary while Gillespie continues building up his war chest.

[TheSaint250]

Hoping Gillespie wins this.

And larger Northam win than I thought.

[TheSaint250]

This is actually kinda exciting. A little nervous though. I want Gillespie to win

[TheSaint250]

Wagner is taking away a lot of needed support for Gillespie in the Hampton Roads area.

If Gillespie loses, many people (including yours truly) will say he should've dropped out and endorsed Gillespie

[TheSaint250]

Stewart is creeping up--only .5% behind Ed

[TheSaint250]

Stewart now 0.4% behind.

[TheSaint250]

Kinda ironic: Gillespie surprised everyone by coming within less than 1 point of beating Warner in 2014.

Now, Stewart is surprising everyone by remaining within less than 1 point of Gillespie who, like Warner, will most likely win.

[TheSaint250]

Stewart did much better in Fairfax than he should have. I don't see how Gillespie wins in November.

He probably won't. Virginia is not purple like the GOP would have you believe. It is a purplish blue/indigo.

MA is deep blue and they have a GOP governor.  Not saying Ed will win, but it's not impossible.

[TheSaint250]

60% of voters tonight pulled a Democratic ballot: interesting. What did it look like four years ago?

Pro tip:

57% of the voters in the 2016 Presidential primary in Virginia pulled the GOP ballot! Clearly that led to a landslide victory in Virginia.

Enough excuses, own this L.

*presents numbers that are supposed to be favorable to Democrats*
*presents counter argument disproving significance of first bit of evidence*
"Ignore the past and accept Gillespie lost the race before it really began

[TheSaint250]

Fmr Sen. John Warner (R) endorses Gillespie, after previously endorsing Mark Warner against Gillespie in 2014.

https://twitter.com/PoliticoKevin/status/910241273566646272

What was his reason in 2014?

I assume it wasn’t due to same last names

[TheSaint250]

Gillespie is now running ads on radio stations like 100.3 Big 100 a classic rock station out of MD that has reach in DC and NoVA all the way down to Fredericksburg and below. I heard it this morning driving to work and it went something like "Northam believes that $17,000 is rich and that's why he's never voted for any tax cut. I'm Ed Gillespie and I believe that tax cuts will grow Virginia's economy and will provide more money for education and give our teachers a needed pay raise."

He is pivoting to the center to hook NoVA voters. I don't think many will switch their votes based off of this alone, but it will stick in the minds of many undecideds, especially if they vote on economics. Gillespie is trying his best to make Ralph Northam look like a tax increase lover and friend of gangs. It's shameful but it might stick.

He botched this campaign, it seems, by focusing on Confederate statues and illegal immigration much more than necessary in a Virginia election.

[TheSaint250]

New Poll from the world of non-junk: Northam +6: https://blumenthalresearchdaily.weebly.com/

Any poll with Gillespie losing is junk.

/s

[TheSaint250]

The campaign statement didn't reject the ad.

https://twitter.com/PoliticoKevin/status/925045143299817473

[TheSaint250]

This has been one of the worst campaigns ever run.

[TheSaint250]

I was referring to the election campaign in general.

[TheSaint250]

EW Jackson

[TheSaint250]

Beet's analysis of VA-Gov, greatest hits:

I think I'll be really sad when this guy loses due to be outspent by Northam. If you're in Virginia guys vote Perriello. Please!

Don't be surprised if Gillespie narrowly wins in November.

You be the judge. Am I the smartest one here when it comes to American politics, or what? Uh-huh, uh-huh, uh-huh. Badabing Badaboom, baby.

We’re all so impressed that you made two claims that were/are both essentially plausible and we’re totally not mentioned by anyone else but you.

[TheSaint250]

I made about one-hundred calls into NOVA today, a little over one-hundred to be exact. There's great enthusiasm amongst moderates and independents for Ed specifically in the Loudon County area. If you want to make calls for Ed, just send me a PM and I'll link you up!

Can't even spell Loudoun county right.

Just canvassed in Arlington. Huge enthusiasm for Northam, everybody voting or already voted. I have seen literally no signs of a campaign presence for Gillespie, not one sign on in the medians, and only a few yard signs scattered throughout the county. Still think he's going to win though, based off recent events.

I say this seriously, thank you both for taking part directly for your respective campaigns. It's wuite admirable that each of you feel that passionately about your caniddates and that's what makes America great. I always feel bad for the workers on a losing campaign who gave so much of their own time, often with little reward.

Thanks.

What if Northam lost by a few hundred votes? It's happened before (MN 2008, FL 2000). In that case, I would never forgive myself for not canvassing and helping, when I could've made a tangible difference. That's why I work for the candidates I like, even if they stumble in their campaigns and polling.

Honestly, there’s only so much you can do. As PNM said, working for campaigns truly is something great. I had the chance to work on the Rubio campaign’s local office, and I’ll never forget it. But in the end, if your candidate loses, don’t stress yourself out about what you could have done. It’s much better to look toward the future for an opportunity to push for a new candidate to succeed.