TX-SEN: Matt Dowd mulling Indie run

[RogueBeaver]

All I can say is LMAO.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

If the best replacement for Cruz is a Dubya operative, I truly fear for the welfare of our country.

[The Other Castro]

If he gets in and ends up pulling more support from Cruz, a three-way match-up with Beto O’Rourke could get interesting.

[justfollowingtheelections]

This is obviously really good news for O'Rourke or whoever is the Dem. nominee.  Winning a TX senate seat would be huge for the Democrats

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Anti-war, anti-Cruz? Endorsed. We need to throw Lyin Ted out of the Senate and into the garbage can of history.

[Maxwell]

Dowd would almost certainly pull more from Democrats than Republicans at this point.

[Chief Justice Keef]

I would lmao so hard if there's a Cruz/Dowd split of voters and O'Rourke ends up winning the seat.

[windjammer]

Well going to get 1% in the end, soooo no game changer

[GlobeSoc]

Could either become really important or a nothingburger.

[SATW]

Ted Cruz will be victorious no matter what low-energy clowns will try and stop him.

[The Mikado]

If he nabs the Libertarian Party line, he could hit 2-3% of the vote. As an Indie, he won't hit 1%.

[GlobeSoc]

If he nabs the Libertarian Party line, he could hit 2-3% of the vote. As an Indie, he won't hit 1%.

His performance would largely depend on whether Cruz is cancer among moderate conservatives or not. If Cruz isn't, he's fine, but if he is, a showing of 15-30% of the vote is possible.

I want this scenario to happen both because it would make a Dem pickup possible and because I have not seen the live results of a genuine three way race (I was hoping with McMullin, but that fell through) anywhere and think it would be really cool.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

If he nabs the Libertarian Party line, he could hit 2-3% of the vote. As an Indie, he won't hit 1%.

His performance would largely depend on whether Cruz is cancer among moderate conservatives or not. If Cruz isn't, he's fine, but if he is, a showing of 15-30% of the vote is possible.

I want this scenario to happen both because it would make a Dem pickup possible and because I have not seen the live results of a genuine three way race (I was hoping with McMullin, but that fell through) anywhere and think it would be really cool.

Nah, most nevertrumpers like him because he refused to endorse Trump for a long time and most farther right people like him despite that.

[GlobeSoc]

If he nabs the Libertarian Party line, he could hit 2-3% of the vote. As an Indie, he won't hit 1%.

His performance would largely depend on whether Cruz is cancer among moderate conservatives or not. If Cruz isn't, he's fine, but if he is, a showing of 15-30% of the vote is possible.

I want this scenario to happen both because it would make a Dem pickup possible and because I have not seen the live results of a genuine three way race (I was hoping with McMullin, but that fell through) anywhere and think it would be really cool.

Nah, most nevertrumpers like him because he refused to endorse Trump for a long time and most farther right people like him despite that.

I'm hoping for a Cruz approval poll in the next few months to understand the situation.

[The Mikado]

If he nabs the Libertarian Party line, he could hit 2-3% of the vote. As an Indie, he won't hit 1%.

His performance would largely depend on whether Cruz is cancer among moderate conservatives or not. If Cruz isn't, he's fine, but if he is, a showing of 15-30% of the vote is possible.

I want this scenario to happen both because it would make a Dem pickup possible and because I have not seen the live results of a genuine three way race (I was hoping with McMullin, but that fell through) anywhere and think it would be really cool.

Absolutely not. There is no circumstance in which Dowd gets more than 5% of the vote in this race, and I hesitate to imagine a situation where he gets over 2 or 3%. He is a nobody in terms of name id and no one in the TX GOP wants to actually give that Senate seat to the Dems, as much distaste as people have for Cruz.

Cruz may lose in the primary to someone, but if he makes it to the general Cruz will cruise.

[RogueBeaver]

O'Rourke says he's very likely to run.

[Since I'm the mad scientist proclaimed by myself]

Likely R, tilt R if he starts polling well(10%+)

[peterthlee]

Likely R, tilt R if he starts polling well(10%+)

Likely R, Cruz by 52-44 or so. If he polls well, it is a midnight alarm for Reps.

[Young Conservative]

Likely R, tilt R if he starts polling well(10%+)

Likely R, Cruz by 52-44 or so. If he polls well, it is a midnight alarm for Reps.

The Democrat will not get 44% of the vote in a midterm.

[Since I'm the mad scientist proclaimed by myself]

Likely R, tilt R if he starts polling well(10%+)

Likely R, Cruz by 52-44 or so. If he polls well, it is a midnight alarm for Reps.

The Democrat will not get 44% of the vote in a midterm.

Mid terms will always, forever favor the republican party, and that will never change .

[windjammer]

Btw , I know O'rourke has no chance but:
- there are no many other opportunities
- there are now 3 Clinton house rep seats and I guess increase turniut by competing more elections would help.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Anything new on this???

[Kamala]

LOL Matt fricken Dowd running for the Senate. Look no one can make it as an independent in Texas anymore, especially if it is statewide. He has a -99% of winning the general. I hate to admit it but Cruz is unbeatable now that Rick Perry got tapped for Energy Secretary.

Look, I don't doubt that he can't win, but he's got a decent shot at nabbing a chunk of the electorate, both Friedman and Strayhorn got a decent showing in the 2006 gubernatorial.

[MAINEiac4434]

I would lmao so hard if there's a Cruz/Dowd split of voters and O'Rourke ends up winning the seat.

Yeah, this is only good news for liberals.