Rating of: Bill Nelson v. Ileana Ros-Lehtinehen

[Kingpoleon]

Pick one.

I think Lean R, right between Tilt and Likely.

[Young Conservative]

Tilt/Lean R. Lena Ros Lehtinen can't unite the base of Florida Republicans and she isn't charismatic. She's far too liberal to win the nomination anyway.

[peterthlee]

Likely to safe D (closer to strong Dem hold). Nelson is too powerful to take down, I bet. And IRL can't unite the conservative brand of GOP. She will lose by 7-11 points, I project.
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Gossip joke for myself: My first impression of IRL is on Falun Gong (she usually speaks at Falun Gong rally, decrying Chinese 'persecution' (which the State Deparment once denied in 2006)), but not her (liberal?) voting record.

[Nyvin]

IRL would do horribly in the Panhandle,  which is crucial to any Republican statewide in Florida.

[Bojack Horseman]

Lean D, he'll be fine.

[edtorres04]

I went with likely D.  I don't see any way for IRL to win against Nelson. 

[Heisenberg]

Tilt to Lean D. She would underperform in the panhandle, and the middle part of the state. I can see her doing great in Miami Dade, but that's it.
Nelson is probably the best Democrat (other than Gwen Graham) for the panhandle, and IRL is one of the worst Republicans.
Republicans' ideal candidate against Nelson would be White and from Middle or Northern Florida.

[Figueira]

Tilt D, close to Lean. If it were a midterm with a Democratic President, she might actually be favored.

[DrScholl]

Likely D, because it's not like she's really a match for any part of the state outside of South Florida.

[SATW]

I would love Ileana to run for Senate, but I echo many of the other people's comments here. She'd struggle in the panhandle.

[Xing]

Lean D for now. I doubt that Republicans will nominate IRL, though.

[Maxwell]

IRL isn't running, please write that on a chalk board 100x

[Stranger in a strange land]

Likely to safe D (closer to strong Dem hold). Nelson is too powerful to take down, I bet. And IRL can't unite the conservative brand of GOP. She will lose by 7-11 points, I project.
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Gossip joke for myself: My first impression of IRL is on Falun Gong (she usually speaks at Falun Gong rally, decrying Chinese 'persecution' (which the State Deparment once denied in 2006)), but not her (liberal?) voting record.

Interesting to be sure, but remember that at most 10% of voters even know what Fauln Gong is, and maybe 1-2% actually care about it.

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

Yeah IRL has a good grasp of the local machine she is based in, but would scale up terribly.

[Vosem]

Ros-Lehtinen is, or intends to be (considering 2016 was her first single-digit race since the 1989 special that first elected her...), a House lifer. She won't run for the Senate; it seems like Rick Scott has basically locked down the Republican nomination for that anyway. And if Scott doesn't run the initial favorite would probably be DeSantis.