(Still) muted by Kalwejt until March 31
Eharding
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,934
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« on: January 09, 2017, 05:54:58 PM » |
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Trump only won Ohio by as much as he did due to his 1920s GOP economic views. Hoover 1932, after all, nearly won Ohio due to these views. If he demonstrates commitment to them, I think union support for the Dems in OH might erode further. Trump may or may not win Ohio by double digits in 2020, but I suspect he will be unable to win there by the 20 points Portman actually did unless he has a truly horrible opponent -the party system is simply too polarized these days and Trump's personality is simply repellent to too many college-educated voters for him to win by nearly as much as Portman did among them.
By this line of reasoning, we could ask if Trump could lose Texas if he runs in 2020. My guess is still "unlikely".
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