It's now September 2020....

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

It's a day before the first presidential debate, predict what events took place in the past few years?

[pbrower2a]

1. End of Obama stock-market boom. It can;t last forever.

2. 2018 Gubernatorial elections in several critical states

3. Progressive/liberal equivalent of the Tea Party.

Highly likely:

Strikes, demonstrations, and riots.

[DPKdebator]

1. End of Obama stock-market boom. It can;t last forever.

2. 2018 Gubernatorial elections in several critical states

3. Progressive/liberal equivalent of the Tea Party.

Highly likely:

Strikes, demonstrations, and riots.

Obama didn't do anything to the stock market, it rose because of Trump's election.

[SCNCmod]

1. End of Obama stock-market boom. It can;t last forever.

2. 2018 Gubernatorial elections in several critical states

3. Progressive/liberal equivalent of the Tea Party.

Highly likely:

Strikes, demonstrations, and riots.

Obama didn't do anything to the stock market, it rose because of Trump's election.

The stock market has been rising long before Trump's Victory.... and would've likely also followed its gains since the election, if Hillary had won.

[Hindsight was 2020]

1. Russia invaded a Eastern European nation like Belarus or Lithuania. An a rumor has been running rampant that Trump gave an ok in exchange for the okaying of his debts
2.The reps botched the ACA repeal in 2017 and the healthcare system is a mess right now
3. The economy is sluggish and Trump got into a tariff war with China that blew up in his face
4. The dems took back the house in 2018 and have been investigating Trump leading to the resignations of Carson (due to HUD mismanaging funds), Flynn (over illegal contact with Russia), and Jared (over conflict of interests)

[SCNCmod]

1. The Economy is slowing ... due in part to Trump's Trickle Down Tax policy.

2. Flynn has resigned- been pushed out. (and Trump Campaign was in contact with Russia throughout the campaign)

3. Ivanka Trump taking the role of "Acting 1st Lady" has been far less successful than many predicted.

4. Obama-care has been repealed & Replaced by virtually the same policy (still a mandate). Dems are pushing for a public option.

5. A robust infrastructure jobs plan has been largely derailed by House Republicans.. (who want a privatized version of the plan).

6. Change to Trade Deals, has been largely blocked by Republicans.

7. Republicans lose House seats in 2018, but retain control.

8. Attorney General Sessions has.. (Either) surprised many on the left and has surprising good job approval numbers.... (OR) ... the exact opposite has happened and he has extremely low approval numbers.

9. Rex Tillerson is Very Popular as Secretary of State and has the highest favorability rating of any Republican.

(and my Wishful thinking...) 10. Dems regained Control of the Senate.. winning NV, IN & TX...

[Fuzzy Bear]

1. The Economy is slowing ... due in part to Trump's Trickle Down Tax policy.

2. Flynn has resigned- been pushed out. (and Trump Campaign was in contact with Russia throughout the campaign)

3. Ivanka Trump taking the role of "Acting 1st Lady" has been far less successful than many predicted.

4. Obama-care has been repealed & Replaced by virtually the same policy (still a mandate). Dems are pushing for a public option.

5. A robust infrastructure jobs plan has been largely derailed by House Republicans.. (who want a privatized version of the plan).

6. Change to Trade Deals, has been largely blocked by Republicans.

7. Republicans lose House seats in 2018, but retain control.

8. Attorney General Sessions... has either surprised many on the left and has surprising good job approval numbers.... or the exact opposite has happened and he has extremely low approval numbers.

9. Rex Tillerson is Very Popular as Secretary of State and has the highest favorability rating of any Republican.

(and maybe my Wishful thinking...) 10. Senate Dems pick up 2 seats in 2018.. winning in NV & TX...

I believe that Sessions and Tillerson will be EXTREMELY highly regarded.  I found Tillerson to be one of the most incredibly impressive nominees for any high Cabinet office in my lifetime.  This guy is going places, and is, IMO, a possible Presidential candidate in the future.

[SCNCmod]

1. The Economy is slowing ... due in part to Trump's Trickle Down Tax policy.

2. Flynn has resigned- been pushed out. (and Trump Campaign was in contact with Russia throughout the campaign)

3. Ivanka Trump taking the role of "Acting 1st Lady" has been far less successful than many predicted.

4. Obama-care has been repealed & Replaced by virtually the same policy (still a mandate). Dems are pushing for a public option.

5. A robust infrastructure jobs plan has been largely derailed by House Republicans.. (who want a privatized version of the plan).

6. Change to Trade Deals, has been largely blocked by Republicans.

7. Republicans lose House seats in 2018, but retain control.

8. Attorney General Sessions... has either surprised many on the left and has surprising good job approval numbers.... or the exact opposite has happened and he has extremely low approval numbers.

9. Rex Tillerson is Very Popular as Secretary of State and has the highest favorability rating of any Republican.

(and maybe my Wishful thinking...) 10. Senate Dems pick up 2 seats in 2018.. winning in NV & TX...

I believe that Sessions and Tillerson will be EXTREMELY highly regarded.  I found Tillerson to be one of the most incredibly impressive nominees for any high Cabinet office in my lifetime.  This guy is going places, and is, IMO, a possible Presidential candidate in the future.

I was also impressed by Tillerson.  I think Sessions is more likely to fall the opposite direction in public opinion.

[progressive85]

1. Trump's approval rating isn't that bad (48%).
2. The Obamas are the most admired people in America.  Barack's very active post-Presidency has made him even more popular than he was as President.
3. The Supreme Court has lost Ruth Bader Ginsburg, and she was replaced by a very conservative woman in the most bitter battle in American history - a tied vote, broken by VP Pence.
4. 65% of the country now supports full LGBTQ rights, a record high.  A lot of famous people have come out since 2017, including three NFL players and Tim Tebow.
5. Roe vs. Wade was overturned in June 2020, in an opinion written by John Roberts.  He was joined by the court's four other conservatives: William Pryor, Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito, and Diane Sykes.  About two dozen pro-life states immediately ban abortion.

[SCNCmod]

1. Trump's approval rating isn't that bad (48%).
2. The Obamas are the most admired people in America.  Barack's very active post-Presidency has made him even more popular than he was as President.
3. The Supreme Court has lost Ruth Bader Ginsburg, and she was replaced by a very conservative woman in the most bitter battle in American history - a tied vote, broken by VP Pence.
4. 65% of the country now supports full LGBTQ rights, a record high.  A lot of famous people have come out since 2017, including three NFL players and Tim Tebow.
5. Roe vs. Wade was overturned in June 2020, in an opinion written by John Roberts.  He was joined by the court's four other conservatives: William Pryor, Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito, and Diane Sykes.  About two dozen pro-life states immediately ban abortion.

I almost put for my #10 .... Ginsburg is in very poor health, but refuses to resign until after the election... putting Roe v Wade at the center of 2020.

[Person Man]

1. Trump's approval rating isn't that bad (48%).
2. The Obamas are the most admired people in America.  Barack's very active post-Presidency has made him even more popular than he was as President.
3. The Supreme Court has lost Ruth Bader Ginsburg, and she was replaced by a very conservative woman in the most bitter battle in American history - a tied vote, broken by VP Pence.
4. 65% of the country now supports full LGBTQ rights, a record high.  A lot of famous people have come out since 2017, including three NFL players and Tim Tebow.
5. Roe vs. Wade was overturned in June 2020, in an opinion written by John Roberts.  He was joined by the court's four other conservatives: William Pryor, Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito, and Diane Sykes.  About two dozen pro-life states immediately ban abortion.

Im not sure Trump would be at 48% after that.

[UncleSam]

1. Trump's approval rating isn't that bad (48%).
2. The Obamas are the most admired people in America.  Barack's very active post-Presidency has made him even more popular than he was as President.
3. The Supreme Court has lost Ruth Bader Ginsburg, and she was replaced by a very conservative woman in the most bitter battle in American history - a tied vote, broken by VP Pence.
4. 65% of the country now supports full LGBTQ rights, a record high.  A lot of famous people have come out since 2017, including three NFL players and Tim Tebow.
5. Roe vs. Wade was overturned in June 2020, in an opinion written by John Roberts.  He was joined by the court's four other conservatives: William Pryor, Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito, and Diane Sykes.  About two dozen pro-life states immediately ban abortion.

Im not sure Trump would be at 48% after that.

Repealing Roe Vs. Wade would make Trump a hero to the right, and remember that abortion is by far the least popular liberal social policy stance right now. If Trump made good on his campaign promises on immigration and healthcare reform (without completely botching the replacement of ObamaCare, which he will almost certainly put his name on because that's what he is) and the economy were doing fairly well, I could definitely see Trump at 48% - loved by conservatives across the country, having strong appeal to right-leaning moderates and some independents, but beyond despised by the entire left.

[Person Man]

1. Trump's approval rating isn't that bad (48%).
2. The Obamas are the most admired people in America.  Barack's very active post-Presidency has made him even more popular than he was as President.
3. The Supreme Court has lost Ruth Bader Ginsburg, and she was replaced by a very conservative woman in the most bitter battle in American history - a tied vote, broken by VP Pence.
4. 65% of the country now supports full LGBTQ rights, a record high.  A lot of famous people have come out since 2017, including three NFL players and Tim Tebow.
5. Roe vs. Wade was overturned in June 2020, in an opinion written by John Roberts.  He was joined by the court's four other conservatives: William Pryor, Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito, and Diane Sykes.  About two dozen pro-life states immediately ban abortion.

Im not sure Trump would be at 48% 38% after that.

Repealing Roe Vs. Wade would make Trump a hero to the right, and remember that abortion is by far the least popular liberal social policy stance right now. If Trump made good on his campaign promises on immigration and healthcare reform (without completely botching the replacement of ObamaCare, which he will almost certainly put his name on because that's what he is) and the economy were doing fairly well, I could definitely see Trump at 48% - loved by conservatives across the country, having strong appeal to right-leaning moderates and some independents, but beyond despised by the entire left.

FIFY. Legal access to abortion is still favored by about 2/3 of the country, if not more. A sudden ban on that would lose even some nominally pro-life people. Add to that other scandals or Twitter wars that will inevitably happen, and I think 48% is absurdly high. Though it's worth reminding ourselves that he didn't need a 48% favorable rating to win in 2016 either. I expect him to go hardcore negative on his opponent in 2020 and drag them through the mud.

And most recent polls are drifting away from scrubbing Roe.
There would definitely be a backlash at this point at least at the level of signing Obamacare.

The only way Trump is above water in 2020 is if the economy hasn't been disrupted by recession, we aren't at war or have been cucked on the world stage, and he hasn't veered us off on a hard-right path. The only way he is indisputable popular is if Democrats either gotten through a red wall in 2018 and overplayed their hand. The only way Trump is guaranteed to win is with the ultimate swiftboating.

[hyouzel the predictor]

Bumping this thread....

God damn this didn't age well

[Bootes Void]

Some of the predictions were fairly accurate but some were a bit crazy

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

A 279-59 Biden EC map is now probable, there is gonna be a delayed reaction to this Conservative Justice. Amy Coney Barrett is only go repeal the penalty tax on ACA and create no new amnesty for illegals and enforce the laws on the Books.

Mark Kelly may even lose, Trump numbers in AZ is now at 53%, if Mark Kelly or C Cunningham loses, there is no way Dems can Pack the Crts in a 50 tied Senate. Manchin isn't gonna do it, Dems need a majority control of the Senate to Crt pack, in event Biden wins.

If WI is contested, Amy Coney Barrett may throw out ballots that don't have signatures, thats why I am Early voting if my VBM doesn't come soon

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

1. Trump's approval rating isn't that bad (48%).
2. The Obamas are the most admired people in America.  Barack's very active post-Presidency has made him even more popular than he was as President.
3. The Supreme Court has lost Ruth Bader Ginsburg, and she was replaced by a very conservative woman in the most bitter battle in American history - a tied vote, broken by VP Pence.
4. 65% of the country now supports full LGBTQ rights, a record high.  A lot of famous people have come out since 2017, including three NFL players and Tim Tebow.
5. Roe vs. Wade was overturned in June 2020, in an opinion written by John Roberts.  He was joined by the court's four other conservatives: William Pryor, Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito, and Diane Sykes.  About two dozen pro-life states immediately ban abortion.

Nearly dead on....

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

1. Trump's approval rating isn't that bad (48%).
2. The Obamas are the most admired people in America.  Barack's very active post-Presidency has made him even more popular than he was as President.
3. The Supreme Court has lost Ruth Bader Ginsburg, and she was replaced by a very conservative woman in the most bitter battle in American history - a tied vote, broken by VP Pence.
4. 65% of the country now supports full LGBTQ rights, a record high.  A lot of famous people have come out since 2017, including three NFL players and Tim Tebow.
5. Roe vs. Wade was overturned in June 2020, in an opinion written by John Roberts.  He was joined by the court's four other conservatives: William Pryor, Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito, and Diane Sykes.  About two dozen pro-life states immediately ban abortion.

Nearly dead on....

Only 2 & 3 were dead on. Both of which seemed very likely even then (As much as folks didn't want to fathom RGB dying under Trump)

[coloradocowboi]

Bumping this thread....

God damn this didn't age well

Except the one below.

1. End of Obama stock-market boom. It can;t last forever.

2. 2018 Gubernatorial elections in several critical states

3. Progressive/liberal equivalent of the Tea Party.

Highly likely:

Strikes, demonstrations, and riots.

Although I have no idea what the second prediction is, but I'm gonna choose to believe it's referring to Dem takeovers (which happened in Michigan, Wisconsin, Maine, Nevada, New Mexico, arguably swing states).

1. Trump's approval rating isn't that bad (48%).
2. The Obamas are the most admired people in America.  Barack's very active post-Presidency has made him even more popular than he was as President.
3. The Supreme Court has lost Ruth Bader Ginsburg, and she was replaced by a very conservative woman in the most bitter battle in American history - a tied vote, broken by VP Pence.
4. 65% of the country now supports full LGBTQ rights, a record high.  A lot of famous people have come out since 2017, including three NFL players and Tim Tebow.
5. Roe vs. Wade was overturned in June 2020, in an opinion written by John Roberts.  He was joined by the court's four other conservatives: William Pryor, Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito, and Diane Sykes.  About two dozen pro-life states immediately ban abortion.

Nearly dead on....

Only 2 & 3 were dead on. Both of which seemed very likely even then (As much as folks didn't want to fathom RGB dying under Trump)

#4 hilariously wrong

[pbrower2a]

1. End of Obama stock-market boom. It can't last forever.

2. 2018 Gubernatorial elections in several critical states

3. Progressive/liberal equivalent of the Tea Party.

Highly likely:

Strikes, demonstrations, and riots.

Three years later...

1. The stock markets are still 'sort of OK', but market valuations are now the only game in town. Speculative booms are the last part of a boom economy to go bust... and then there is nothing left. The big collapse may happen during the Biden Presidency. 

2. Democrats won gubernatorial elections in Michigan, North Carolina, and Wisconsin, which means that Trump will need to win at least two of those states the hard way -- without help from the Governor.

3. Black Lives Matters may be the left-wing version of the Tea Party, except for being more polite and more diverse.

I did not expect  200,000 deaths from a respiratory infection (that is about the size of the population of Grand Rapids, hometown of the late President Gerald R. Ford...who would have never made the catastrophic mistakes that Trump did. How is that for a non-partisan swipe at the President?)

Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg survived longer than most of us expected... but not as long as I hoped. I expect Donald Trump and Mitch McConnell to try to stick it to Democrats by rushing some barely-qualified ideologue as the next Justice on the Supreme Court. That will not look good for the GOP.

OK, the good news for Trump: his base is intact, and it supports him as fanatically as ever. That will not be enough. Goldwater and McGovern won their bases too -- but practically nothing else.     

[Panda Express]

I believe that Sessions and Tillerson will be EXTREMELY highly regarded.  I found Tillerson to be one of the most incredibly impressive nominees for any high Cabinet office in my lifetime.  This guy is going places, and is, IMO, a possible Presidential candidate in the future.

lol