Will Jim Justice run against Shelley Moore-Capito in 2020?
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  Will Jim Justice run against Shelley Moore-Capito in 2020?		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Will Jim Justice run against Shelley Moore-Capito in 2020?  (Read 4794 times)
I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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« on: January 16, 2017, 03:02:41 PM »
Will Justice run for US Senate in 2020?
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mds32
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« Reply #1 on: January 16, 2017, 03:10:34 PM »
Even if he did she would probably blow him out at this point in time.
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wjx987
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« Reply #2 on: January 16, 2017, 03:11:16 PM »
He'll run for governor again. It's the one big statewide office that is currently viable for Democrats.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #3 on: January 16, 2017, 03:15:43 PM »
Nah, I doubt it. She'd be a much tougher opponent than Bill Cole.
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Figueira
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« Reply #4 on: January 16, 2017, 03:17:24 PM »
I highly doubt it.
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PAK Man
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« Reply #5 on: January 16, 2017, 03:18:05 PM »
I don't see Democrats seriously challenging SMC while she's in office. Once she retires, they may try to recruit someone to go for it, but as long as she's in, she's safe.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #6 on: January 16, 2017, 03:39:33 PM »
No. He doesn't have a suicide mania...
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #7 on: January 16, 2017, 03:47:08 PM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on January 16, 2017, 03:42:27 PM
Quote from: smoltchanov on January 16, 2017, 03:39:33 PM
No. He doesn't have a suicide mania...

I doubt he would be DOA. Red states are much more likely to elect a "moderate" Senator from the opposite party than blue states. And WV is really not a deep Republican state (it's a bit similar to MT, I guess), not to mention that Capito is not even a good fit for the state.
This is very, very true. Anyway, in an open seat race I could still see Justice winning, but I'm almost certain he'll run for reelection, that would be much safer for him.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #8 on: January 16, 2017, 04:00:38 PM »
Maybe he'd win to replace Manchin - if Manchin for some reason leaves office - but I think Capito is too popular.
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JMT
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« Reply #9 on: January 16, 2017, 05:25:23 PM »
No, he'll run for reelection. It would be nice if Earl Ray Tomblin ran against Captio, though.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #10 on: January 16, 2017, 06:18:06 PM »
So did I.

Moore Capito is sufficiently moderate to be undefeatable. I suspect Justice is more likely to run for the other seat in 2024.
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Figueira
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« Reply #11 on: January 16, 2017, 10:21:07 PM »
Quote from: Kingpoleon, Never The Best/Worst Poster on January 16, 2017, 06:18:06 PM
So did I.

Moore Capito is sufficiently moderate to be undefeatable. I suspect Justice is more likely to run for the other seat in 2024.

She isn't "sufficiently moderate" to be undefeatable; she's just a decent fit for West Virginia.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #12 on: January 16, 2017, 11:37:46 PM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on January 16, 2017, 03:42:27 PM
Quote from: smoltchanov on January 16, 2017, 03:39:33 PM
No. He doesn't have a suicide mania...

I doubt he would be DOA. Red states are much more likely to elect a "moderate" Senator from the opposite party than blue states. And WV is really not a deep Republican state (it's a bit similar to MT, I guess), not to mention that Capito is not even a good fit for the state.

Capito IS a good fit for the state, She comes from famous family, she IS a Republican, and she is a pragmatic moderate-conservative with some "porker" inclinations. Excellent fit.
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BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #13 on: January 17, 2017, 12:08:40 AM »
Quote from: JMT on January 16, 2017, 05:25:23 PM
No, he'll run for reelection. It would be nice if Earl Ray Tomblin ran against Captio, though.
This. Tomblin could go well and not put someone young and upcoming (Boothe?) out of a job.
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I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #14 on: January 17, 2017, 12:16:15 AM »
Quote from: BuckeyeNut on January 17, 2017, 12:08:40 AM
Quote from: JMT on January 16, 2017, 05:25:23 PM
No, he'll run for reelection. It would be nice if Earl Ray Tomblin ran against Captio, though.
This. Tomblin could go well and not put someone young and upcoming (Boothe?) out of a job.
Will Tomblin run against Moore-Capito?
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Santander
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« Reply #15 on: January 17, 2017, 12:19:38 AM »
Justice is as crooked as they come, so I hope not.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #16 on: January 17, 2017, 04:28:20 AM »
Quote from: Santander on January 17, 2017, 12:19:38 AM
Justice is as crooked as they come, so I hope not.

Proofs?
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
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« Reply #17 on: January 17, 2017, 08:16:57 AM »
This would be one of rare instances I'd strongly root for a GOP nominee.
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JMT
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« Reply #18 on: January 17, 2017, 08:36:17 AM »
Quote from: ERM64man on January 17, 2017, 12:16:15 AM
Quote from: BuckeyeNut on January 17, 2017, 12:08:40 AM
Quote from: JMT on January 16, 2017, 05:25:23 PM
No, he'll run for reelection. It would be nice if Earl Ray Tomblin ran against Captio, though.
This. Tomblin could go well and not put someone young and upcoming (Boothe?) out of a job.
Will Tomblin run against Moore-Capito?

I have no idea if he will run, I would like it if he did. He probably would be the best Democratic candidate, he seems pretty popular in WV
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Blackacre
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« Reply #19 on: January 17, 2017, 12:20:24 PM »
He might run in 2024 to replace Manchin should he retire then
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rbt48
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« Reply #20 on: January 17, 2017, 09:53:21 PM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on January 16, 2017, 03:42:27 PM
Quote from: smoltchanov on January 16, 2017, 03:39:33 PM
No. He doesn't have a suicide mania...

I doubt he would be DOA. Red states are much more likely to elect a "moderate" Senator from the opposite party than blue states. And WV is really not a deep Republican state (it's a bit similar to MT, I guess), not to mention that Capito is not even a good fit for the state.

He'll be 69 in 2020 and 73 in 2024.  I really don't see him running for the Senate for the first time at either of those ages.  But, like Trump, he is old enough to do whatever he wants.
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rbt48
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« Reply #21 on: January 17, 2017, 10:11:42 PM »
Does anyone know why Justice changed from being a Republican to a Democrat in 2014, just as his state was becoming more solidly Republican?  Was it perhaps because he didn't think he could get the Republican gubernatorial nomination over Cole?

He must be the most conservative Democratic governor in the nation, even more conservative than John Bell Edwards, I believe.
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I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #22 on: January 17, 2017, 11:05:11 PM »
« Edited: January 17, 2017, 11:09:07 PM by ERM64man »
Quote from: rbt48 on January 17, 2017, 10:11:42 PM
Does anyone know why Justice changed from being a Republican to a Democrat in 2014, just as his state was becoming more solidly Republican?  Was it perhaps because he didn't think he could get the Republican gubernatorial nomination over Cole?

He must be the most conservative Democratic governor in the nation, even more conservative than John Bell Edwards, I believe.
WV is a semi-closed primary state. He probably believed he couldn't beat Cole in the GOP primary. Independents can vote in primaries. WV has several conservative registered Democrats. He is more conservative than John Bel Edwards. Justice even refused to endorse Hillary Clinton.
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SATW
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« Reply #23 on: January 18, 2017, 01:51:21 AM »
No, Capito is a much better candidate and politician then Bill Cole was.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #24 on: January 20, 2017, 08:10:28 PM »
Quote from: Figueira on January 16, 2017, 10:21:07 PM
Quote from: Kingpoleon, Never The Best/Worst Poster on January 16, 2017, 06:18:06 PM
So did I.

Moore Capito is sufficiently moderate to be undefeatable. I suspect Justice is more likely to run for the other seat in 2024.

She isn't "sufficiently moderate" to be undefeatable; she's just a decent fit for West Virginia.

Her personality might be, but a libertarian moderate seems the exact opposite of most WV moderates.
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