Heisenberg
SecureAmerica
Sr. Member
Posts: 3,112
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« on: January 16, 2017, 10:23:25 PM » |
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Brown is a die-hard liberal in a state that went for Trump by 9, and already had a R+ PVI going into the election. Josh Mandel has already been elected statewide twice, and did not do as badly as people think last time, holding Sherrod Brown to only 50.7%. An independent conservative candidate got about 4.6% of the vote, most would have probably gone to Mandel). In 2018, unless Trump is really unpopular, I still expect a slightly more R-friendly electorate, and this time Mandel should win the three Demosaur Coal Counties on the Ohio River he lost in 2012 (Monroe, Belmont, Jefferson; Trump easily won all 3), plus improve his rural margins.
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