Will Sherrod Brown lose next year?

[jamestroll]

I think 2018 will be a moderately democratic year. As in they will not be blown out in Senate, regain some foot hold in state governments and get in a better position in the house. Perhaps a narrow take over. Could be way off track though.

But the party needs to rebuild itself. If we choose to rely on Demographics there will be no topics in this board asking if an incumbent Democratic Senator in Ohio will win reelection.

[jamestroll]

I think 2018 will be a moderately democratic year. As in they will not be blown out in Senate, regain some foot hold in state governments and get in a better position in the house. Perhaps a narrow take over. Could be way off track though.

But the party needs to rebuild itself. If we choose to rely on Demographics there will be no topics in this board asking if an incumbent Democratic Senator in Ohio will win reelection.

Agree with this assessment. I think R's will pick up a few Senate seats (IN and MO come to mind), but this one will not be one of them.

Yea and it might not be MO and IN that fall. For all we know it could be WI and OH that fall. I know I am making a bunch of predictions here that some will likely not come true, but I do not see multiple blanchings in 2018. Like even if McCaskill loses by 7, it gives downballot Democrats a chance. That is compared to losing by 19+ in which would have been possible if Hillary was being sworn in on Friday.

Brown is uncontroversial in himself but his voting record more than others could well be hammered in the campaign. On the other hand, this Mandel guy has MURPHY vibes all over him.

[jamestroll]

Guys, the only confident prediction we can make at this time is this:

Democrats will have a good night in at least one of the next several elections. The Republicans will win the elections that Democrats do not have a good night in. A neutral year is indeed possible. 2018 seems to have the structure of a neutral year at the start Unfavorable Senate Map for Democrats but also the House and Governorships provide opportunity for Democrats.

But let's look at Trumps's first 100 days before we all get hostile to each other over predictions.

Clinton would have probably won without the Comey Letter or ObamaCare.