2016: Jeb/Kasich v. Clinton/Kaine v. Sanders/Brown

[RC (a la Frémont)]

Republican Primary Scenario: Donald Trump doesn't do well in the Iowa and New Hampshire primaries and drops out. During those primaries and future ones, Jeb Bush has a significantly higher poll rating than most candidates running, with the exception of Ted Cruz, who he mostly focuses on battling for the nomination during the primaries. Jeb wins the nomination, he taps Kasich for his VP nominee. He grudgingly accepts, being quoted before as saying that "he would not accept a Vice President nomination."

Democratic Primary Scenario: The primaries go the same as in IRL, with the DNC and the Clinton campaign screwing over Sanders. Hillary receives the Democratic nomination, but Sanders does not endorse Clinton, instead opting to run as an Independent. Sanders chooses Oregon Governor Kate Brown for Vice President.

So, the 2016 election is set, with Jeb and Kasich being significantly more popular than Trump IRL, and Sanders attracting much of the Millenial vote and some regular democratic votes. How would the election turn out? Discuss using maps.

[tomhguy]

[DPKdebator]

Considering Sanders was running an independent campaign, I find it hard to have him winning 50-60% in NH, the best he could do is probably a 30-45% plurality.

[West_Midlander]

Practical repeat of 1912.
The Republicans are Wilson.
Clinton is Taft.
Sanders is Roosevelt.