Trump to run the second term

[gruen]

Trump announced his intention to run for the second term. Does he have any chances?

[nicholas.slaydon]

If the Democrats don't get their act together he has a greater than 50% chance of winning in 2020.

[Donerail]

Right now the most likely scenario seems to be Dems nominating someone like Booker or Cuomo, spending months trashing Trump supporters and congratulating themselves on their guaranteed victory, and then waking up on November 9th and realizing they lost. Again.

[Chunk Yogurt for President!]

I was going to make a prediction, but predictions are pretty much worthless right now anyway.

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

The answer to this question depends on far too many variables that are unknowable today for any prediction made here to be worth the time it takes to type it out. If Trump is successful and reasonably popular on Election Day, he will stand a good chance of being reelected; if not, he will stand a good chance of being defeated. Ask again in three years.

[The_Doctor]

Trump won't have a second term.

[Medal506]

To be honest I would say probably a 65 percent chance he'll run for re election

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

"Chances of running" and "chances of winning" are two completely different animals. I'd give you very different answers for both.

Yup, it's been a while since a President declined to run for a second term. The statistically improbable thing was that all 8 who weren't renominated (one was primaried) were in the 11 elections from 1844 to 1884.

[Kringla Heimsins]

Right now the most likely scenario seems to be Dems nominating someone like Booker or Cuomo, spending months trashing Trump supporters and congratulating themselves on their guaranteed victory, and then waking up on November 9th and realizing they lost. Again.

I agree with this.

You know what ? I agree too. The Dem leadership is out of touch with a large part of the electorate.

[toko]

Right now the most likely scenario seems to be Dems nominating someone like Booker or Cuomo, spending months trashing Trump supporters and congratulating themselves on their guaranteed victory, and then waking up on November 9th and realizing they lost. Again.

I agree with this.

You know what ? I agree too. The Dem leadership is out of touch with a large part of the electorate.

How can it be out of touch if Obama's rating is more than 60%?

[Hindsight was 2020]

Right now the most likely scenario seems to be Dems nominating someone like Booker or Cuomo, spending months trashing Trump supporters and congratulating themselves on their guaranteed victory, and then waking up on November 9th and realizing they lost. Again.

I agree with this.

You know what ? I agree too. The Dem leadership is out of touch with a large part of the electorate.

How can it be out of touch if Obama's rating is more than 60%?

People for some weird reason seem to think that the DNC chair is a determinative factor in whether or not party nominees win when usually their role is to just raise money. So it's a ridiculous point. Obama won in 2012 and D's won a lot of red states despite DWS being chair, and Republicans made massive gains in 2010 despite the Tea Party being viewed outside the main stream and Michael Steele doing a mediocre job.

^This

[JoshPA]

he imply a second term in his victory speech.

[Anti-Bothsidesism]

The answer to this question depends on far too many variables that are unknowable today for any prediction made here to be worth the time it takes to type it out. If Trump is successful and reasonably popular on Election Day, he will stand a good chance of being reelected; if not, he will stand a good chance of being defeated. Ask again in three years.

[Figueira]

If the Democrats don't get their act together he has a greater than 50% chance of winning in 2020.

The Republicans didn't get their act together this time, and they still won.

[Frodo]

In a rigged election in which only whites could effectively vote, he is guaranteed reelection.  It would make a mockery of our beleaguered republic, but at least appearances could be maintained. 

Otherwise, he would never have declared so early.

[GoTfan]

His chances of running are pretty good. Actually winning? Can't say.

[GoTfan]

In a rigged election in which only whites could effectively vote, he is guaranteed reelection.  It would make a mockery of our beleaguered republic, but at least appearances could be maintained. 

Otherwise, he would never have declared so early.

Realistically, that would result in massive civil unrest.

[Vovapu]

Much depends on his health. He never provided health certificate an we know nothing about it.

[catscanjumphigh]

He'll run again and will be laughed at but what were the results last time?