Trump to run the second term (user search)
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  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Trump to run the second term (search mode)
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Poll
Question: What are Trump's chances to run for the second term?
#1
More than 50%
 
#2
20%
 
#3
10%
 
#4
5%
 
#5
No chances at all
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 84

Author Topic: Trump to run the second term  (Read 1543 times)
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,757


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« on: January 20, 2017, 10:21:16 PM »

"Chances of running" and "chances of winning" are two completely different animals. I'd give you very different answers for both.

Yup, it's been a while since a President declined to run for a second term. The statistically improbable thing was that all 8 who weren't renominated (one was primaried) were in the 11 elections from 1844 to 1884.
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