How would a battle b/n Castro, Booker, (and a 3rd candidate) play out?
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  How would a battle b/n Castro, Booker, (and a 3rd candidate) play out?
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Author Topic: How would a battle b/n Castro, Booker, (and a 3rd candidate) play out?  (Read 280 times)
SCNCmod
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« on: January 22, 2017, 08:38:53 PM »
« edited: January 22, 2017, 08:42:32 PM by SCNCmod »

How would a Battle between Castro, Booker, + whoever emerges as the 3rd Person ... play out regarding Primary Votes... (assuming Booker is the only Afr Am in the Primary)

I'm thinking it could end up being a pretty close 3 way battle (I don't think there has ever been a really strong AA & a really strong Latino candidate in the Primary at the same time)...

Castro would likely be strong in :TX, NV, NM, FL, CA, CO, AZ

Booker would likely be strong in:NJ, NY, AL, MS, GA, SC, NC, TN, MD

3rd Candidate: likely strong in the Midwest & upper NE (more states... but not many large states left)
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #1 on: January 22, 2017, 08:41:42 PM »

Depends on the third candidate. Al Franken?
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SCNCmod
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« Reply #2 on: January 22, 2017, 08:43:12 PM »


I was thinking Franken, Brown, or Warren could emerge as the 3rd candidate..

Playing with the numbers... its hard to tell how the votes may fall if you have Booker, Castro, (Franken/Brown/ or Warren)
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UWS
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: January 22, 2017, 09:39:06 PM »

What if the third Democratic candidate is Bernie Sanders?
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SCNCmod
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« Reply #4 on: January 22, 2017, 09:42:39 PM »

What if the third Democratic candidate is Bernie Sanders?

I think Sanders & Clinton both know that either of them running again would be too divisive for the dem party
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UWS
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: January 22, 2017, 09:57:02 PM »

What if the third Democratic candidate is Bernie Sanders?

I think Sanders & Clinton both know that either of them running again would be too divisive for the dem party

Maybe the Democratic nominee should not be from the establishment, which might have hurt Hillary Clinton in 2016.
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jfern
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« Reply #6 on: January 22, 2017, 10:02:13 PM »

What if the third Democratic candidate is Bernie Sanders?

I think Sanders & Clinton both know that either of them running again would be too divisive for the dem party

Bernie did not run a divisive campaign. Hillary did.
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Rjjr77
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« Reply #7 on: January 22, 2017, 10:15:57 PM »

Depends heavily on who the third candidate is. Thinking a Generic Midwestern democrat, booker wipes the floor with the other two, largely due to his fundraising apparatus. Identity and regional politics I great and all but cash is still king
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #8 on: January 22, 2017, 11:26:33 PM »

The racial breakdown on PPP's latest national poll of Dems and Dem-leaners had the nationwide breakdown of such voters as:

white 57%
black 22%
Hispanic 14%
other 7%

Does that match up with the distribution of voters who actually vote in Democratic primaries?  I suppose you could work it out by looking at exit polls across all states, but I'm wondering if anyone has bothered to do that much work.
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