Any chance Dems could pull a Senate upset in Nebr or Mississippi in 2018?

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In the sense that anything can happen in politics, sure. But the most likely path to the Senate goes through NV, AZ, and TX. Which still has only about a 5% chance of happening.

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This is the sort of map the democrats have to pull off to win NE:



(51-49 senate victory from 2000)

I doubt the map would look like that nowadays. Sarpy County would vote Democratic, and I think a lot of those rural counties would vote Republican.

[Figueira]

This is the sort of map the democrats have to pull off to win NE:



(51-49 senate victory from 2000)

I doubt the map would look like that nowadays. Sarpy County would vote Democratic, and I think a lot of those rural counties would vote Republican.

In order to win Nebraska, Democrats would have to win some rural counties. Not enough urban vote in the state to do it on urban areas alone.

Some rural counties, certainly, but probably not all of the ones on the map.

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With a universal swing from 2016, Democrats can actually win Nebrsska with only six counties: Douglas, Sarpy, Lancaster, Saline, Thurston, and Dakota. That said, universal swings don't exist so I'm not sure if that's actually the most likely winning map.