Any chance Dems could pull a Senate upset in Nebr or Mississippi in 2018?

[(Still) muted by Kalwejt until March 31]

Defeat Flake and Heller, while keeping all the other Senate seats. But unless it's in a recession, no reason for it to happen.

[(Still) muted by Kalwejt until March 31]

Defeat Flake and Heller, while keeping all the other Senate seats. But unless it's in a recession, no reason for it to happen.

I actually think Ds winning a deep red state like UT in an upset is more likely to happen than them holding all their other seats. Both are very, very unlikely, though.

-Incumbency has stopped being an advantage to Senate candidates? Or is it just not as big as it used to be?

[(Still) muted by Kalwejt until March 31]

Defeat Flake and Heller, while keeping all the other Senate seats. But unless it's in a recession, no reason for it to happen.

I actually think Ds winning a deep red state like UT in an upset is more likely to happen than them holding all their other seats. Both are very, very unlikely, though.

-Incumbency has stopped being an advantage to Senate candidates? Or is it just not as big as it used to be?

Incumbency doesn't matter if your state has decided that it just can't vote for your party anymore. MO will almost certainly never vote for a statewide democrat again, and its likelier than not that the same is true of Indiana.

Sorry, but this is a straight-up dumb comment. I'm sure people said the same thing about MA when Romney left the Governor's office--remember January 2010? Or LA when Landrieu was defeated. Or that NH would never elect a Republican Governor.

Sure, at this point, it's likelier than not that a Republican will win those Senate seats, but we are two years away. We could have ten major scandals before then, for all we know (and quite frankly, I wouldn't at all be surprised, and I feel like most Americans wouldn't be either).

-Partisanship works very differently in gubernatorial races than it does in Senate races.