Gore - H.R. Clinton comparison county map
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 29, 2024, 06:48:56 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  Gore - H.R. Clinton comparison county map
« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2]
Author Topic: Gore - H.R. Clinton comparison county map  (Read 5128 times)
CatoMinor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,007
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #25 on: February 03, 2017, 05:09:39 PM »


How so? It just shows that the dumbs live where we expected them to.

How is voting for George W. Bush less 'dumb' than voting for Donald Trump? Smiley

Depends, people voting for George "Humble foreign policy" Bush the first time I feel can be excused. The second time however, not so much.
Logged
Oldiesfreak1854
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,674
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #26 on: February 14, 2017, 09:57:29 AM »

What has happened over the last 20 years is an unprecedented separation of the parties along urban and rural lines. Look at this map from the Chicago Tribune of the last 6 presidential elections in IL.



The drain of Dems from the rural counties into the Chicago metro area and vice verse for the Pubs is obvious. When Dems were spread throughout the rural US a swing in popular vote would swing enough EVs so that the PV and EV tracked each other for over 100 years until 2000. Now that the Dems are so highly concentrated it's much easier to swing a bunch of EVs without swinging the PV as much. That's what happened this year - large concentrations of Dems in CA and NY weren't matched by large numbers of Pubs in TX so those Dem concentrations didn't convert into EVs.

The Dem strength in the Chicago suburbs in 2008 and 2012 was primarily a favorite son effect for Obama, and in 2016 was due to Trump's high negatives with suburban professionals.  If Republicans had nominated someone else in 2016, they would've won those counties back, though not by much.
Logged
Pages: 1 [2]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.019 seconds with 11 queries.